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Admira Praha v Povltava FA

Admira Praha
3–2Full time
Povltava FA

3. liga - CFL A · SUN 18 OCT · Stadium Admira Prague

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 12:06
Admira Praha 3–2 Povltava FA ADMIRA PRAHA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Admira Praha win58%
The market said63%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.266
The market’s Brier score0.204

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay16 notes · 22 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Admira Praha win at 58%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Admira Praha 58% before kick-off, 58% now. 0–0 · 58–21–21
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Admira Praha v Povltava FA
  4. 23′🟨 YELLOW · 23' Admira Praha
  5. 27′Admira Praha score on 26′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 78–14–7
  6. 27′We said Admira Praha at 58% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 78%. 1–0 · 78–14–7
  7. 27′⚽ GOAL · 26' Admira Praha 1–0 Povltava FA
  8. 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 27' Admira Praha win: 58% at kick-off, 78% now
  9. 29′Admira Praha find the net on 28′. 2–0. 2–0 · 93–5–2
  10. 29′⚽ GOAL · 28' Admira Praha 2–0 Povltava FA
  11. 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 29' Admira Praha win: 58% at kick-off, 93% now
  12. 30′We said Admira Praha at 58% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 93%. 2–0 · 93–5–2
  13. 42′The goal count is tracking the 3.5 we expected. 2–0 · 94–5–1
  14. 45′HALF-TIME Admira Praha 2–0 Povltava FA
  15. 46′SECOND HALF Admira Praha 2–0 Povltava FA
  16. 47′We said Admira Praha at 58% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
  17. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Admira Praha · On: N. Dobias · Off: K. Nazarenko
  18. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Povltava FA · On: A. Novotny · Off: M. Muller
  19. 64′A goal for Povltava FA on 64′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 82–15–3
  20. 64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Admira Praha 2–1 Povltava FA
  21. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Admira Praha win: 58% at kick-off, 82% now
  22. 65′We said Admira Praha at 58% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 82%. 2–1 · 82–15–3
  23. 68′D. Budinsky scores for Povltava FA on 63′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 83–14–2
  24. 72′We said Admira Praha at 58% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–2
  25. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Admira Praha win: 58% at kick-off, 88% now
  26. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Admira Praha · On: V. Zaruba · Off: V. Burysek
  27. 79′🟨 YELLOW · 79' Povltava FA
  28. 83′Admira Praha score on 82′ to make it 3–1. 3–1 · 100–0–0
  29. 83′We said Admira Praha at 58% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
  30. 83′⚽ GOAL · 82' Admira Praha 3–1 Povltava FA
  31. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' Admira Praha win: 58% at kick-off, over 99% now
  32. 84′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.5 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 100–0–0
  33. 84′🟨 YELLOW · 84' Admira Praha
  34. 90′Povltava FA find the net on 90′. 3–2. 3–2 · 96–4–0
  35. 90′5 goals already, more than the 3.5 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 96–4–0
  36. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 90' Admira Praha
  37. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90+1' Admira Praha 3–2 Povltava FA
  38. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 90+3' Admira Praha
  39. FTFULL TIME Admira Praha 3–2 Povltava FA
  40. FTAdmira Praha 3–2 Povltava FA · Admira Praha win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Admira Praha are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Admira Praha 58%, draw 21%, Povltava FA 21%. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 64%.

The AI’s read on Admira Praha v Povltava FABefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Admira Praha win58%
Draw21%
Povltava FA win21%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 09:15

RoundGroup A · matchday 11

VenueStadium Admira Prague

Line-ups

Admira Praha

Povltava FA

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Admira Praha

Povltava FA

8Days since last match8

Last match: 10 Oct · 3. liga - CFL A

Last match: 10 Oct · 3. liga - CFL A

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
10Admira Praha10−411
16Povltava FA10−182

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Admira Praha

Formation not confirmed

3 V. Pavlicek

4 L. Horalek

6 K. Nazarenko

9 J. Mraz

13 V. Burysek

18 A. Cizek

19 S. Zahalka

20 D. Ademuwagun

21 M. Horak

23 A. Durdik

25 J. Vlcek

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · V. Hynek

7 · M. Arendac

8 · M. Lana

14 · N. Dobias

16 · A. Shatkovskyi

17 · V. Zaruba

24 · R. Rajcinec

Povltava FA

Formation not confirmed

1 D. Kalanin

2 S. Hrodek

3 M. Muller

6 A. Bruna

7 F. Drobilek

8 F. Mares

11 T. Fronek

12 D. Kuzma

14 L. Jakobovsky

16 M. Novy

17 D. Budinsky

Coach · –

Substitutes

4 · M. Vlasak

9 · T. Spousta

10 · A. Novotny

18 · M. Macek

19 · S. Nikl

20 · M. Korenek

Our number · admira praha winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
58% The market63%
Us58%
Market63%

We make Admira Praha a 58% chance to win. The market has them at 63%. We are 5 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.2–1.3.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Admira Praha v Povltava FA2.23 – 1.28
Form · last six in 3. liga - CFL A this season · since 6 SeptW2 D2 L2 · W0 D1 L5
Table places · points 11 v 210 v 16
The market · Admira Praha win63% · ours 58%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
55%60%65% 12 OCT 04:0118 OCT 08:38
Our probability · Admira Praha win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 63% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Admira Praha win58%63%−5
Draw21%19%+2
Povltava FA win21%17%+4
Over 2.5 goals67%69%−2
Both teams to score64%63%+1
Over 1.5 goals86%86%0
Over 3.5 goals46%49%−3
Admira Praha or draw79%83%−4
Admira Praha clean sheet28%––
Povltava FA clean sheet12%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.2%
0123450 3.7 3.6 2.6 1 6.4 9.0 5.4 2.4 2 7.4 9.2 5.8 2.5 3 5.4 6.7 4.3 4 3.1 3.8 2.4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Admira Praha down, Povltava FA across0–5 goals a side shown (96.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting3.38
Over 2.57 of 8
Both scored6 of 8
Last meetingsPOV 1–2 ADM · ADM 2–2 POV · POV 2–0 ADM · ADM 1–3 POV

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. liga - CFL A this season · since 6 Sept

ADMIRA PRAHA

LDWLDW0–1 · 1–1 · 4–1 · 2–3 · 4–4 · 4–1

POVLTAVA FA

DLLLLL0–0 · 2–4 · 1–2 · 0–2 · 0–4 · 1–3

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1České Budějovice11+2125
2Králův Dvůr10+1325
3Jiskra Domažlice10+1021
4Motorlet Praha11+820
5Viktoria Plzeň II9+517
6Sparta Praha II9+1116
7Loko Vltavín11−315
8Slavia III11+214
9Písek10−311
10Admira Praha10−411
11Příbram II10−310
12Bohemians 1905 II10−910
13Aritma Praha10−148
14Dukla Praha II10−77
15Benešov10−97
16Povltava FA10−182

Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.