Slovan Liberec W v Sparta Praha W prediction · 1. Liga Women

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 12:41

Slovan Liberec W 1–6 Sparta Praha W SPARTA PRAHA W WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Sparta Praha W win~~72%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.121

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay14 notes · 8 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Sparta Praha W win at 72%.
12′Sparta Praha W find the net on 1′. 0–2. 0–2 · 1–4–95
12′We published Sparta Praha W at 72%. Our model now makes it 95%. 0–2 · 1–4–95
14′Sparta Praha W ahead on 7′ through M. Khyrova. 0–2. 0–2 · 1–4–95
15′Sparta Praha W ahead on 9′ through M. Khyrova. 0–2. 0–2 · 1–4–95
20′A goal for Sparta Praha W on 20′ — 0–3. 0–3 · 0–1–99
20′⚽ GOAL · 20' Slovan Liberec W 0–3 Sparta Praha W
34′Sparta Praha W score on 33′ to make it 0–4. 0–4 · 0–0–100
34′We published Sparta Praha W at 72%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 0–4 · 0–0–100
34′⚽ GOAL · 33' Slovan Liberec W 0–4 Sparta Praha W
35′4 goals already, more than the 4.0 we expected for the whole match. 0–4 · 0–0–100
40′Sparta Praha W find the net on 40′. 0–5. 0–5 · 0–0–100
40′That is 5, and we only asked for 4.0 across ninety minutes. 0–5 · 0–0–100
40′⚽ GOAL · 40' Slovan Liberec W 0–5 Sparta Praha W
45′A goal for Slovan Liberec W on 45′ — 1–5. 1–5 · 0–0–100
45′6 goals already, more than the 4.0 we expected for the whole match. 1–5 · 0–0–100
45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Slovan Liberec W 1–5 Sparta Praha W
45′HALF-TIME Slovan Liberec W 1–5 Sparta Praha W
46′SECOND HALF Slovan Liberec W 1–5 Sparta Praha W
84′Sparta Praha W score on 84′ to make it 1–6. 1–6 · 0–0–100
84′That is 7, and we only asked for 4.0 across ninety minutes. 1–6 · 0–0–100
84′⚽ GOAL · 84' Slovan Liberec W 1–6 Sparta Praha W
FTFULL TIME Slovan Liberec W 1–6 Sparta Praha W
FTSlovan Liberec W 1–6 Sparta Praha W · Sparta Praha W win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Sparta Praha W are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Slovan Liberec W 13%, draw 15%, Sparta Praha W 72%. Over 2.5 goals 75%, both teams to score 64%.

The AI’s read on Slovan Liberec W v Sparta Praha WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Slovan Liberec W win13%

Draw15%

Sparta Praha W win72%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 10:00

RoundMatchday 9

VenueStadium Hradek

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Slovan Liberec W

Sparta Praha W

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · 1. Liga Women

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Sparta Praha W	8	+18	18
3	Slovan Liberec W	7	+8	15

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sparta praha w winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

72% The market–

Us72%

We make Sparta Praha W a 72% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–2.8, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Slovan Liberec W v Sparta Praha W~~1.16 – 2.83

~~Form · last six in 1. Liga Women this season · since 22 Aug~~W4 D0 L2 · W4 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 15 v 18~~3 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Slovan Liberec W win	13%	–	–
Draw	15%	–	–
Sparta Praha W win	72%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	75%	–	–
Both teams to score	64%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	90%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	56%	–	–
Slovan Liberec W or draw	28%	–	–
Slovan Liberec W clean sheet	6%	–	–
Sparta Praha W clean sheet	32%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 8.3%

0123450 5.6 7.5 6.9 4.9 2.81 2.4 5.9 8.3 7.8 5.5 3.22 3.5 4.9 4.5 3.2 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Slovan Liberec W down, Sparta Praha W across0–5 goals a side shown (92.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 431 1. Liga Women matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1. Liga Women matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.3% of games this season, across 31 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 6.00 goals a meeting; 9 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Slovan Liberec W at home: 2.33 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Sparta Praha W away: 1.83 scored, 0.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.16 goals for Slovan Liberec W, 2.83 for Sparta Praha W. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~6.00

~~Over 2.5~~9 of 10

~~Both scored~~6 of 10

~~Last meetings~~SPA 3–1 SLO · SLO 0–1 SPA · SPA 7–0 SLO · SPA 4–1 SLO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. Liga Women this season · since 22 Aug

SLOVAN LIBEREC W

LWLWWW1–3 · 5–0 · 0–4 · 5–1 · 2–1 · 2–0

SPARTA PRAHA W

WLLWWW3–0 · 1–2 · 2–3 · 8–0 · 2–0 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Slavia Praha W	8	+42	24
2	Sparta Praha W	8	+18	18
3	Slovan Liberec W	7	+8	15
4	Prague Raptors W	7	0	12
5	Slovácko W	8	−13	10
6	Viktoria Plzeň W	8	−13	9
7	Baník Ostrava W	8	−15	4
8	Horní Heršpice W	8	−27	0