Slavia Praha W v Baník Ostrava W prediction · 1. Liga Women

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 15:38

Slavia Praha W 3–0 Baník Ostrava W SLAVIA PRAHA W WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG6–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Slavia Praha W win~~99%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.000

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 8 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Slavia Praha W win at 99%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Slavia Praha W 99% before kick-off, 98% now. 0–0 · 98–1–0
1′KICK-OFF Slavia Praha W v Baník Ostrava W
38′A goal for Slavia Praha W on 38′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 99–1–0
38′⚽ GOAL · 38' Slavia Praha W 1–0 Baník Ostrava W
39′Slavia Praha W score on 39′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 100–0–0
39′⚽ GOAL · 39' Slavia Praha W 2–0 Baník Ostrava W
45′HALF-TIME Slavia Praha W 2–0 Baník Ostrava W
47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Baník Ostrava W · On: D. Brinzikova · Off: K. Krupnikova
47′SECOND HALF Slavia Praha W 2–0 Baník Ostrava W
48′Slavia Praha W find the net on 47′. 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
48′⚽ GOAL · 47' Slavia Praha W 3–0 Baník Ostrava W
FTFULL TIME Slavia Praha W 3–0 Baník Ostrava W
FTSlavia Praha W 3–0 Baník Ostrava W · Slavia Praha W win: right · Over 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 6–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Slavia Praha W are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Slavia Praha W 99%, draw 1%, Baník Ostrava W <1%. Over 2.5 goals 96%, both teams to score 35%.

The AI’s read on Slavia Praha W v Baník Ostrava WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Slavia Praha W win99%

Draw1%

Baník Ostrava W win<1%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Slavia Praha W

Baník Ostrava W

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · 1. Liga Women

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · slavia praha w winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

99% The market–

Us99%

We make Slavia Praha W a 99% chance to win. The model expects 6.4–0.4, and 6–0 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Slavia Praha W v Baník Ostrava W~~6.40 – 0.45

~~Form · last six in 1. Liga Women this season · since 29 Aug~~W6 D0 L0 · W1 D0 L5

~~Table places · points 24 v 4~~1 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Slavia Praha W win	99%	–	–
Draw	1%	–	–
Baník Ostrava W win	<1%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	96%	–	–
Both teams to score	35%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	99%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	89%	–	–
Slavia Praha W or draw	>99%	–	–
Slavia Praha W clean sheet	65%	–	–
Baník Ostrava W clean sheet	<1%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 6–0 at 9.3%

0123450 1 2 2.6 3 5.0 2.4 4 7.5 3.5 5 9.0 4.1

under 2% 5% 12%+Slavia Praha W down, Baník Ostrava W across0–5 goals a side shown (40.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 431 1. Liga Women matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1. Liga Women matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.3% of games this season, across 31 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 7 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 7.14 goals a meeting; 6 of 7 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Slavia Praha W at home: 4.33 scored, 0.33 conceded a game (last 6). Baník Ostrava W away: 1.17 scored, 3.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

6.40 goals for Slavia Praha W, 0.45 for Baník Ostrava W. Most likely score 6–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~7.14

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 7

~~Both scored~~0 of 7

~~Last meetings~~BAN 0–6 SLA · BAN 0–4 SLA · SLA 8–0 BAN · BAN 0–2 SLA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. Liga Women this season · since 29 Aug

SLAVIA PRAHA W

WWWWWW9–0 · 2–1 · 4–0 · 9–0 · 2–0 · 3–0

BANÍK OSTRAVA W

LLWLLL0–1 · 0–3 · 7–0 · 0–8 · 1–2 · 0–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Slavia Praha W	8	+42	24
2	Sparta Praha W	8	+18	18
3	Slovan Liberec W	7	+8	15
4	Prague Raptors W	7	0	12
5	Slovácko W	8	−13	10
6	Viktoria Plzeň W	8	−13	9
7	Baník Ostrava W	8	−15	4
8	Horní Heršpice W	8	−27	0