Prague Raptors W v Sparta Praha W prediction · 1. Liga Women

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 12:44

Prague Raptors W 0–1 Sparta Praha W SPARTA PRAHA W WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Sparta Praha W win~~73%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.109

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay7 notes · 13 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Sparta Praha W win at 73%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Sparta Praha W 73% before kick-off, 73% now. 0–0 · 10–17–73
1′KICK-OFF Prague Raptors W v Sparta Praha W
33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' Sparta Praha W win: 73% at kick-off, 63% now
37′We said Sparta Praha W at 73%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 61%. 0–0 · 12–27–61
41′We said Sparta Praha W at 73%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 59%. 0–0 · 12–29–59
43′🟨 YELLOW · 43' Prague Raptors W
45′🟨 YELLOW · 45' Sparta Praha W
45′HALF-TIME Prague Raptors W 0–0 Sparta Praha W
46′🟨 YELLOW · 45+2' Prague Raptors W
46′SECOND HALF Prague Raptors W 0–0 Sparta Praha W
47′Sparta Praha W find the net on 46′. 0–1. 0–1 · 2–10–88
47′We said Sparta Praha W at 73% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 88%. 0–1 · 2–10–88
47′⚽ GOAL · 46' Prague Raptors W 0–1 Sparta Praha W
47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 47' Sparta Praha W win: 73% at kick-off, 88% now
65′We said Sparta Praha W at 73% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 0–1 · 1–9–90
70′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Sparta Praha W · On: R. Paulenova · Off: K. Elmore
77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Sparta Praha W win: 73% at kick-off, 93% now
82′We said Sparta Praha W at 73% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
88′🟨 YELLOW · 88' Sparta Praha W
FTFULL TIME Prague Raptors W 0–1 Sparta Praha W
FTPrague Raptors W 0–1 Sparta Praha W · Sparta Praha W win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Sparta Praha W are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Prague Raptors W 10%, draw 16%, Sparta Praha W 73%. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 47%.

The AI’s read on Prague Raptors W v Sparta Praha WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Prague Raptors W win10%

Draw16%

Sparta Praha W win73%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 10:00

RoundMatchday 8

VenueSatalice Stadium

Line-ups

Prague Raptors W

Sparta Praha W

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Prague Raptors W

Sparta Praha W

21Days since last match17

Last match: 26 Sept · 1. Liga Women

Last match: 30 Sept · UEFA Europa Cup - Women

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Sparta Praha W	7	+17	15
4	Prague Raptors W	6	+1	12

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Prague Raptors W

Formation not confirmed

4 A. Cordeiro

8 L. Skrcena

16 M. Ringelova

18 Z. Obertova

20 N. Kavalova

26 G. Matouskova

29 S. Balazsova

31 K. Krutova

33 A. Vejrova

35 A. Trachtova

50 H. Sloupova

Coach · –

Substitutes

2 · N. Holeckova

5 · L. Douderova

10 · N. Houbova

12 · A. Kolowrat

13 · Z. Navratilova

17 · A. Reinders

22 · H. Vavrova

24 · Y. Shtefura

40 · E. Urbancova

Sparta Praha W

Formation not confirmed

3 D. Huvarova

4 H. Bergford

9 E. Bartonova

10 A. Pochmanova

16 T. Hansen

18 K. Elmore

22 F. Cerna

23 E. Ospeck

25 A. Petryk

27 N. Peskova

44 N. Harantova

Coach · Jessica Torny

Substitutes

5 · L. Fuchs

6 · H. Breslin

8 · S. Keresova

15 · E. Nechutova

17 · R. Paulenova

19 · L. Retkesova

24 · K. Danickova

26 · D. Rancova

32 · Z. Kozurikova

Our number · sparta praha w winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

73% The market–

Us73%

We make Sparta Praha W a 73% chance to win. The model expects 0.8–2.4, and 0–2 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Prague Raptors W v Sparta Praha W~~0.77 – 2.44

~~Form · last six in 1. Liga Women this season · since 15 Aug~~W4 D0 L2 · W4 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 12 v 15~~4 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Prague Raptors W win	10%	–	–
Draw	16%	–	–
Sparta Praha W win	73%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	61%	–	–
Both teams to score	47%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	40%	–	–
Prague Raptors W or draw	27%	–	–
Prague Raptors W clean sheet	10%	–	–
Sparta Praha W clean sheet	48%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–2 at 11.9%

0123450 5.0 10.7 11.9 9.4 5.8 3.01 3.3 7.1 8.3 6.7 4.2 2.22 2.8 3.4 2.8 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Prague Raptors W down, Sparta Praha W across0–5 goals a side shown (95.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 427 1. Liga Women matches up to 27 Sep 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1. Liga Women matches have gone over 2.5 in 72.0% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2026/27 in every competition we cover, 4.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Prague Raptors W at home: 2.00 scored, 0.00 conceded a game (last 3). Sparta Praha W away: 2.33 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.77 goals for Prague Raptors W, 2.44 for Sparta Praha W. Most likely score 0–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026/27

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~0 of 1

~~Last meetings~~SPA 4–0 PRA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. Liga Women this season · since 15 Aug

PRAGUE RAPTORS W

LWWWWL0–4 · 1–0 · 3–0 · 1–0 · 2–0 · 0–2

SPARTA PRAHA W

WWLLWW3–1 · 3–0 · 1–2 · 2–3 · 8–0 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Slavia Praha W	7	+39	21
2	Sparta Praha W	7	+17	15
3	Slovan Liberec W	6	+6	12
4	Prague Raptors W	6	+1	12
5	Viktoria Plzeň W	7	−10	9
6	Slovácko W	7	−16	7
7	Baník Ostrava W	7	−12	4
8	Horní Heršpice W	7	−25	0