Baník Ostrava W v Slovácko W prediction · 1. Liga Women

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 17:28

Baník Ostrava W 0–3 Slovácko W SLOVÁCKO W WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Slovácko W win~~58%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.262

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay12 notes · 15 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Slovácko W win at 58%.
2′Much as we predicted: Slovácko W was 58% before kick-off and our model makes it 58% now. 0–0 · 22–20–58
2′KICK-OFF Baník Ostrava W v Slovácko W
9′Slovácko W find the net on 9′. 0–1. 0–1 · 9–13–78
9′We published Slovácko W at 58%. Our model now makes it 78%. 0–1 · 9–13–78
9′⚽ GOAL · 9' Baník Ostrava W 0–1 Slovácko W
9′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 9' Slovácko W win: 58% at kick-off, 78% now
11′D. Hruzikova scores for Slovácko W on 11′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 3–6–92
11′We published Slovácko W at 58%. Our model now makes it 92%. 0–2 · 3–6–92
11′⚽ GOAL · 11' Baník Ostrava W 0–2 Slovácko W · D. Hruzikova
11′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 11' Slovácko W win: 58% at kick-off, 92% now
13′🟨 YELLOW · 12' Baník Ostrava W
23′SUBSTITUTION · 19' Slovácko W · On: N. Korimova · Off: T. Ohlidalova
26′🟨 YELLOW · 26' Baník Ostrava W
42′Goals are coming at about the 3.5 we expected. 0–2 · 1–5–94
45′D. Hruzikova scores for Slovácko W on 11′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 1–5–94
45′We published Slovácko W at 58%. Our model now makes it 94%. 0–2 · 1–5–94
45′Goals are coming at about the 3.5 we expected. 0–2 · 1–5–94
45′HALF-TIME Baník Ostrava W 0–2 Slovácko W
47′We published Slovácko W at 58%. Our model now makes it 95%. 0–2 · 1–4–95
47′SECOND HALF Baník Ostrava W 0–2 Slovácko W
57′🟨 YELLOW · 57' Baník Ostrava W
69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' Slovácko W win: 58% at kick-off, 98% now
70′Slovácko W score on 69′ to make it 0–3. 0–3 · 0–0–100
70′We published Slovácko W at 58%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 0–3 · 0–0–100
70′⚽ GOAL · 69' Baník Ostrava W 0–3 Slovácko W
92′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' Slovácko W
FTFULL TIME Baník Ostrava W 0–3 Slovácko W
FTBaník Ostrava W 0–3 Slovácko W · Slovácko W win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Slovácko W are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Baník Ostrava W 22%, draw 20%, Slovácko W 58%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 62%.

The AI’s read on Baník Ostrava W v Slovácko WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Baník Ostrava W win22%

Draw20%

Slovácko W win58%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 8

VenueBazaly

Line-ups

Baník Ostrava W

Slovácko W

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Baník Ostrava W

Slovácko W

21Days since last match20

Last match: 26 Sept · 1. Liga Women

Last match: 27 Sept · 1. Liga Women

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Slovácko W	7	−16	7
7	Baník Ostrava W	7	−12	4

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Baník Ostrava W

Formation not confirmed

1 B. Ruzickova

20 N. Vondrousova

21 S. Lutsan

5 Z. Obadalova

4 M. Gunisova

12 N. Kundrtova

7 K. Waltrova

9 V. Kubickova

18 K. Lachka

11 N. Rehova

13 N. Pajunkova

Coach · –

Substitutes

30 · S. Waszutova

47 · K. Kruk

10 · T. Babicova

19 · V. Stepanova

Slovácko W

Formation not confirmed

1 M. Stefanikova

2 M. Speek

4 T. Ohlidalova

8 M. Jancarova

10 E. Jurenikova

11 N. Trckova

17 D. Hruzikova

18 D. Jonasova

20 S. Strakova

21 K. Buckova

22 M. Slukova

Coach · Michaela Daneckova

Substitutes

30 · A. Zelenkova

3 · N. Korimova

7 · V. Havalec

12 · T. Vesela

14 · N. Chromeckova

15 · V. Hrusovska

16 · J. Sadlova

Our number · slovácko w winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

58% The market–

Us58%

We make Slovácko W a 58% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–2.2, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Baník Ostrava W v Slovácko W~~1.26 – 2.19

~~Form · last six in 1. Liga Women this season · since 22 Aug~~W1 D0 L5 · W2 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 4 v 7~~7 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Baník Ostrava W win	22%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Slovácko W win	58%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	66%	–	–
Both teams to score	62%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	45%	–	–
Baník Ostrava W or draw	42%	–	–
Baník Ostrava W clean sheet	12%	–	–
Slovácko W clean sheet	29%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 9.2%

0123450 3.3 7.2 7.6 5.6 3.1 1 4.2 8.6 9.2 6.7 3.7 2 2.6 5.5 5.8 4.2 2.3 3 2.4 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Baník Ostrava W down, Slovácko W across0–5 goals a side shown (97.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 427 1. Liga Women matches up to 27 Sep 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1. Liga Women matches have gone over 2.5 in 72.0% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 7 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 4.00 goals a meeting; 6 of 7 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Baník Ostrava W at home: 2.17 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Slovácko W away: 1.00 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.26 goals for Baník Ostrava W, 2.19 for Slovácko W. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 7

~~Both scored~~2 of 7

~~Last meetings~~SLO 1–1 BAN · BAN 0–4 SLO · SLO 3–0 BAN · BAN 0–3 SLO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. Liga Women this season · since 22 Aug

BANÍK OSTRAVA W

LLLWLL0–6 · 0–1 · 0–3 · 7–0 · 0–8 · 1–2

SLOVÁCKO W

WLLLLW1–0 · 0–3 · 0–5 · 0–1 · 0–9 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Slavia Praha W	7	+39	21
2	Sparta Praha W	8	+18	18
3	Slovan Liberec W	6	+6	12
4	Prague Raptors W	7	0	12
5	Viktoria Plzeň W	7	−10	9
6	Slovácko W	7	−16	7
7	Baník Ostrava W	7	−12	4
8	Horní Heršpice W	7	−25	0