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Teplice U19 v Hradec Králové U19

Teplice U19

1–4Full time

Hradec Králové U19

1. Liga U19 · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 12:44

Teplice U19 1–4 Hradec Králové U19 HRADEC KRÁLOVÉ U19 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Hradec Králové U19 win~~53%

~~The market said~~53%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.340

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.338

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay13 notes · 14 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Hradec Králové U19 win at 53%.
1′Much as we predicted: Hradec Králové U19 was 53% before kick-off and our model makes it 53% now. 0–0 · 28–19–53
1′KICK-OFF Teplice U19 v Hradec Králové U19
12′Hradec Králové U19 find the net on 12′. 0–1. 0–1 · 13–15–72
12′⚽ GOAL · 12' Teplice U19 0–1 Hradec Králové U19
12′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 12' Hradec Králové U19 win: 53% at kick-off, 72% now
13′We published Hradec Králové U19 at 53%. Our model now makes it 72%. 0–1 · 13–15–72
30′Goals are coming at about the 4.2 we expected. 0–1 · 11–16–72
37′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 37' Hradec Králové U19 win: 53% at kick-off, 73% now
43′A goal for Hradec Králové U19 on 43′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 3–7–90
43′We published Hradec Králové U19 at 53%. Our model now makes it 90%. 0–2 · 3–7–90
43′⚽ GOAL · 43' Teplice U19 0–2 Hradec Králové U19
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' Hradec Králové U19 win: 53% at kick-off, 90% now
44′Teplice U19 score on 44′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 9–18–73
44′⚽ GOAL · 44' Teplice U19 1–2 Hradec Králové U19
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Hradec Králové U19 win: 53% at kick-off, 73% now
45′HALF-TIME Teplice U19 1–2 Hradec Králové U19
46′SECOND HALF Teplice U19 1–2 Hradec Králové U19
55′We published Hradec Králové U19 at 53%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–2 · 7–18–75
65′Hradec Králové U19 find the net on 65′. 1–3. 1–3 · 1–4–95
65′We published Hradec Králové U19 at 53%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–3 · 1–4–95
65′⚽ GOAL · 65' Teplice U19 1–3 Hradec Králové U19
65′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 65' Hradec Králové U19 win: 53% at kick-off, 95% now
71′A goal for Hradec Králové U19 on 70′ — 1–4. 1–4 · 0–0–100
71′⚽ GOAL · 70' Teplice U19 1–4 Hradec Králové U19
72′We published Hradec Králové U19 at 53%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 1–4 · 0–0–100
72′That is 5, and we only asked for 4.2 across ninety minutes. 1–4 · 0–0–100
FTFULL TIME Teplice U19 1–4 Hradec Králové U19
FTTeplice U19 1–4 Hradec Králové U19 · Hradec Králové U19 win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Hradec Králové U19 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Teplice U19 28%, draw 19%, Hradec Králové U19 53%. Over 2.5 goals 78%, both teams to score 74%.

The AI’s read on Teplice U19 v Hradec Králové U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Teplice U19 win28%

Draw19%

Hradec Králové U19 win53%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 10:00

RoundMatchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Teplice U19

Hradec Králové U19

8Days since last match8

Last match: 9 Oct · 1. Liga U19

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Hradec Králové U19	11	+12	19
8	Teplice U19	10	−3	16

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hradec králové u19 winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

53% The market53%

Us53%

~~Market~~53%

We make Hradec Králové U19 a 53% chance to win. The market has them at 53%. We are level with the market. The model expects 1.8–2.4.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Teplice U19 v Hradec Králové U19~~1.75 – 2.44

~~Form · last six in 1. Liga U19 this season · since 26 Aug~~W2 D1 L3 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 16 v 19~~8 v 4

~~The market · Hradec Králové U19 win~~53% · ours 53%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Hradec Králové U19 win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 53% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Teplice U19 win	28%	26%	+2
Draw	19%	22%	−3
Hradec Králové U19 win	53%	53%	0
Over 2.5 goals	78%	73%	+5
Both teams to score	74%	71%	+3
Over 1.5 goals	92%	88%	+4
Over 3.5 goals	60%	54%	+6
Teplice U19 or draw	47%	47%	0
Teplice U19 clean sheet	9%	–	–
Hradec Králové U19 clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 7.6%

0123450 3.9 4.6 3.7 2.3 1 2.8 6.5 7.6 6.1 3.8 2 2.5 5.6 6.6 5.2 3.2 3 3.3 3.9 3.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Teplice U19 down, Hradec Králové U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (94.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,278 1. Liga U19 matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1. Liga U19 matches have gone over 2.5 in 78.2% of games this season, across 78 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Teplice U19 at home: 2.00 scored, 2.50 conceded a game (last 4). Hradec Králové U19 away: 1.83 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.75 goals for Teplice U19, 2.44 for Hradec Králové U19. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. Liga U19 this season · since 26 Aug

TEPLICE U19

WWLDLL6–2 · 2–1 · 3–5 · 1–1 · 0–5 · 1–6

HRADEC KRÁLOVÉ U19

WLWDLD2–1 · 2–3 · 4–0 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Opava U19	10	+13	22
2	Baník Ostrava U19	9	+4	21
3	Viktoria Plzeň U19	8	+17	19
4	Hradec Králové U19	11	+12	19
5	Sigma Olomouc U19	9	+11	19
6	Dukla Praha U19	10	+6	17
7	Mladá Boleslav U19	10	+3	16
8	Teplice U19	10	−3	16
9	České Budějovice U19	9	+9	14
10	Zbrojovka Brno U19	10	+1	14
11	Sparta Praha U19	9	+1	10
12	Slovácko U19	10	−8	10
13	Pardubice U19	12	−15	8
14	Slavia Praha U19	9	−10	6
15	Karviná U19	10	−23	6
16	Zlín U19	10	−18	5