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Sparta Praha U19 v Zbrojovka Brno U19
Sparta Praha U19
Zbrojovka Brno U191. Liga U19 · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Sparta Praha U19 win at 55%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Sparta Praha U19 was 55% before kick-off and our model makes it 55% now. 0–0 · 55–20–25
- 1′KICK-OFF Sparta Praha U19 v Zbrojovka Brno U19
- 21′A goal for Zbrojovka Brno U19 on 21′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 28–23–48
- 21′We said Sparta Praha U19 at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 28%. 0–1 · 28–23–48
- 21′⚽ GOAL · 21' Sparta Praha U19 0–1 Zbrojovka Brno U19
- 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 21' Sparta Praha U19 win: 55% at kick-off, 28% now
- 21′THE CALL SWINGS · 21' Zbrojovka Brno U19 win is now our likeliest result at 48% (was Sparta Praha U19 win 52%)
- 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.7 we expected. 0–1 · 25–24–51
- 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 30' Sparta Praha U19 win: 55% at kick-off, 25% now
- 33′We said Sparta Praha U19 at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–24–51
- 40′Sparta Praha U19 score on 39′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 47–29–24
- 40′⚽ GOAL · 39' Sparta Praha U19 1–1 Zbrojovka Brno U19
- 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 40' Sparta Praha U19 win: 55% at kick-off, 47% now
- 40′THE CALL SWINGS · 40' Sparta Praha U19 win is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Zbrojovka Brno U19 win 53%)
- 45′HALF-TIME Sparta Praha U19 1–1 Zbrojovka Brno U19
- 46′SECOND HALF Sparta Praha U19 1–1 Zbrojovka Brno U19
- 49′We said Sparta Praha U19 at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 43%. 1–1 · 43–33–23
- 58′We said Sparta Praha U19 at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–39–22
- 58′Sparta Praha U19 find the net on 58′. 2–1. 2–1 · 78–17–5
- 58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Sparta Praha U19 2–1 Zbrojovka Brno U19
- 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 58' Sparta Praha U19 win: 55% at kick-off, 78% now
- 59′We published Sparta Praha U19 at 55%. Our model now makes it 78%. 2–1 · 78–17–5
- 64′We published Sparta Praha U19 at 55%. Our model now makes it 80%. 2–1 · 80–16–4
- 75′We published Sparta Praha U19 at 55%. Our model now makes it 85%. 2–1 · 85–14–2
- 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 75' Sparta Praha U19 win: 55% at kick-off, 85% now
- 82′We published Sparta Praha U19 at 55%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
- 89′We published Sparta Praha U19 at 55%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
- 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 89' Sparta Praha U19 win: 55% at kick-off, 95% now
- 90′A goal for Sparta Praha U19 on 90′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 100–0–0
- 90′We published Sparta Praha U19 at 55%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
- 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Sparta Praha U19 3–1 Zbrojovka Brno U19
- 91′4 goals already, more than the 3.7 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME Sparta Praha U19 3–1 Zbrojovka Brno U19
- FTSparta Praha U19 3–1 Zbrojovka Brno U19 · Sparta Praha U19 win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Sparta Praha U19 are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Sparta Praha U19 55%, draw 20%, Zbrojovka Brno U19 25%. Over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 68%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Sparta Praha U19 win55%
Zbrojovka Brno U19 win25%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:00
RoundMatchday 12
Match timeline
All events
Sparta Praha U19MIN
Zbrojovka Brno U19Events will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Sparta Praha U19
Zbrojovka Brno U19
Last match: 17 Oct · 1. Liga U19
Last match: 17 Oct · 1. Liga U19
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Sparta Praha U19 a 55% chance to win. The market has them at 67%. We are 12 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.3–1.5.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 67% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Praha U19 win | 55% | 67% | −12 |
| Draw | 20% | 17% | +3 |
| Zbrojovka Brno U19 win | 25% | 15% | +10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 77% | −6 |
| Both teams to score | 68% | 68% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% | 90% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 51% | 59% | −8 |
| Sparta Praha U19 or draw | 75% | 85% | −10 |
| Sparta Praha U19 clean sheet | 24% | – | – |
| Zbrojovka Brno U19 clean sheet | 11% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 1. Liga U19 this season · since 5 Sept
SPARTA PRAHA U19
ZBROJOVKA BRNO U19
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Opava U19 | 11 | +17 | 25 |
| 2 | Baník Ostrava U19 | 10 | +5 | 24 |
| 3 | Hradec Králové U19 | 12 | +15 | 22 |
| 4 | Sigma Olomouc U19 | 10 | +12 | 22 |
| 5 | Dukla Praha U19 | 11 | +7 | 20 |
| 6 | Viktoria Plzeň U19 | 8 | +17 | 19 |
| 7 | Mladá Boleslav U19 | 11 | +3 | 17 |
| 8 | Teplice U19 | 11 | −6 | 16 |
| 9 | České Budějovice U19 | 11 | +7 | 14 |
| 10 | Zbrojovka Brno U19 | 11 | −3 | 14 |
| 11 | Sparta Praha U19 | 10 | +2 | 13 |
| 12 | Slovácko U19 | 11 | −9 | 10 |
| 13 | Pardubice U19 | 12 | −15 | 8 |
| 14 | Slavia Praha U19 | 10 | −10 | 7 |
| 15 | Karviná U19 | 11 | −24 | 6 |
| 16 | Zlín U19 | 10 | −18 | 5 |
Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.
Opava U19
Baník Ostrava U19
Hradec Králové U19
Sigma Olomouc U19
Dukla Praha U19
Viktoria Plzeň U19
Mladá Boleslav U19
Teplice U19
České Budějovice U19
Slovácko U19
Pardubice U19
Slavia Praha U19
Karviná U19
Zlín U19