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Model 1.2

Home › Football › 1. Liga U19 › Sparta Praha U19 v Zbrojovka Brno U19

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Sparta Praha U19 v Zbrojovka Brno U19

Sparta Praha U19
3–1Full time
Zbrojovka Brno U19

1. Liga U19 · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 14:53
Sparta Praha U19 3–1 Zbrojovka Brno U19 SPARTA PRAHA U19 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Sparta Praha U19 win55%
The market said67%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.300
The market’s Brier score0.162

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay17 notes · 16 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Sparta Praha U19 win at 55%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Sparta Praha U19 was 55% before kick-off and our model makes it 55% now. 0–0 · 55–20–25
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Sparta Praha U19 v Zbrojovka Brno U19
  4. 21′A goal for Zbrojovka Brno U19 on 21′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 28–23–48
  5. 21′We said Sparta Praha U19 at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 28%. 0–1 · 28–23–48
  6. 21′⚽ GOAL · 21' Sparta Praha U19 0–1 Zbrojovka Brno U19
  7. 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 21' Sparta Praha U19 win: 55% at kick-off, 28% now
  8. 21′THE CALL SWINGS · 21' Zbrojovka Brno U19 win is now our likeliest result at 48% (was Sparta Praha U19 win 52%)
  9. 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.7 we expected. 0–1 · 25–24–51
  10. 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 30' Sparta Praha U19 win: 55% at kick-off, 25% now
  11. 33′We said Sparta Praha U19 at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–24–51
  12. 40′Sparta Praha U19 score on 39′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 47–29–24
  13. 40′⚽ GOAL · 39' Sparta Praha U19 1–1 Zbrojovka Brno U19
  14. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 40' Sparta Praha U19 win: 55% at kick-off, 47% now
  15. 40′THE CALL SWINGS · 40' Sparta Praha U19 win is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Zbrojovka Brno U19 win 53%)
  16. 45′HALF-TIME Sparta Praha U19 1–1 Zbrojovka Brno U19
  17. 46′SECOND HALF Sparta Praha U19 1–1 Zbrojovka Brno U19
  18. 49′We said Sparta Praha U19 at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 43%. 1–1 · 43–33–23
  19. 58′We said Sparta Praha U19 at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–39–22
  20. 58′Sparta Praha U19 find the net on 58′. 2–1. 2–1 · 78–17–5
  21. 58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Sparta Praha U19 2–1 Zbrojovka Brno U19
  22. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 58' Sparta Praha U19 win: 55% at kick-off, 78% now
  23. 59′We published Sparta Praha U19 at 55%. Our model now makes it 78%. 2–1 · 78–17–5
  24. 64′We published Sparta Praha U19 at 55%. Our model now makes it 80%. 2–1 · 80–16–4
  25. 75′We published Sparta Praha U19 at 55%. Our model now makes it 85%. 2–1 · 85–14–2
  26. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 75' Sparta Praha U19 win: 55% at kick-off, 85% now
  27. 82′We published Sparta Praha U19 at 55%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
  28. 89′We published Sparta Praha U19 at 55%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
  29. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 89' Sparta Praha U19 win: 55% at kick-off, 95% now
  30. 90′A goal for Sparta Praha U19 on 90′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 100–0–0
  31. 90′We published Sparta Praha U19 at 55%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
  32. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Sparta Praha U19 3–1 Zbrojovka Brno U19
  33. 91′4 goals already, more than the 3.7 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 100–0–0
  34. FTFULL TIME Sparta Praha U19 3–1 Zbrojovka Brno U19
  35. FTSparta Praha U19 3–1 Zbrojovka Brno U19 · Sparta Praha U19 win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Sparta Praha U19 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Sparta Praha U19 55%, draw 20%, Zbrojovka Brno U19 25%. Over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 68%.

The AI’s read on Sparta Praha U19 v Zbrojovka Brno U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Sparta Praha U19 win55%
Draw20%
Zbrojovka Brno U19 win25%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Sparta Praha U19

Zbrojovka Brno U19

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · 1. Liga U19

Last match: 17 Oct · 1. Liga U19

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
10Zbrojovka Brno U1911−314
11Sparta Praha U1910+213

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sparta praha u19 winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
55% The market67%
Us55%
Market67%

We make Sparta Praha U19 a 55% chance to win. The market has them at 67%. We are 12 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.3–1.5.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Sparta Praha U19 v Zbrojovka Brno U192.26 – 1.46
Form · last six in 1. Liga U19 this season · since 5 SeptW3 D1 L2 · W3 D0 L3
Table places · points 13 v 1411 v 10
The market · Sparta Praha U19 win67% · ours 55%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55%60%65%70% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 11:46
Our probability · Sparta Praha U19 win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 67% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Sparta Praha U19 win55%67%−12
Draw20%17%+3
Zbrojovka Brno U19 win25%15%+10
Over 2.5 goals71%77%−6
Both teams to score68%68%0
Over 1.5 goals88%90%−2
Over 3.5 goals51%59%−8
Sparta Praha U19 or draw75%85%−10
Sparta Praha U19 clean sheet24%––
Zbrojovka Brno U19 clean sheet11%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.8%
0123450 2.6 3.6 2.7 1 5.6 8.0 5.8 2.8 2 6.2 8.8 6.3 3.1 3 4.7 6.6 4.8 2.3 4 2.7 3.8 2.7 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Sparta Praha U19 down, Zbrojovka Brno U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (96.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting3.10
Over 2.56 of 10
Both scored6 of 10
Last meetingsSPA 2–2 ZBR · ZBR 1–2 SPA · SPA 2–1 ZBR · ZBR 0–7 SPA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. Liga U19 this season · since 5 Sept

SPARTA PRAHA U19

WLWDLW1–0 · 2–3 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 2–1

ZBROJOVKA BRNO U19

WWLLWL5–0 · 3–2 · 2–3 · 0–3 · 3–0 · 0–4

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Opava U1911+1725
2Baník Ostrava U1910+524
3Hradec Králové U1912+1522
4Sigma Olomouc U1910+1222
5Dukla Praha U1911+720
6Viktoria Plzeň U198+1719
7Mladá Boleslav U1911+317
8Teplice U1911−616
9České Budějovice U1911+714
10Zbrojovka Brno U1911−314
11Sparta Praha U1910+213
12Slovácko U1911−910
13Pardubice U1912−158
14Slavia Praha U1910−107
15Karviná U1911−246
16Zlín U1910−185

Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.