Slovácko U19 v Sigma Olomouc U19 prediction · 1. Liga U19

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 12:44

Slovácko U19 0–1 Sigma Olomouc U19 SIGMA OLOMOUC U19 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Sigma Olomouc U19 win~~49%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.392

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 9 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Sigma Olomouc U19 win at 49%.
1′Much as we predicted: Sigma Olomouc U19 was 49% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 29–22–49
1′KICK-OFF Slovácko U19 v Sigma Olomouc U19
9′PENALTY MISSED · 8' Sigma Olomouc U19
29′Sigma Olomouc U19 score on 29′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 10–18–72
29′⚽ GOAL · 29' Slovácko U19 0–1 Sigma Olomouc U19
29′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 29' Sigma Olomouc U19 win: 49% at kick-off, 72% now
30′We published Sigma Olomouc U19 at 49%. Our model now makes it 72%. 0–1 · 10–18–72
30′Goals are coming at about the 3.4 we expected. 0–1 · 10–18–72
45′HALF-TIME Slovácko U19 0–1 Sigma Olomouc U19
46′SECOND HALF Slovácko U19 0–1 Sigma Olomouc U19
51′We published Sigma Olomouc U19 at 49%. Our model now makes it 75%. 0–1 · 7–19–75
66′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 66' Sigma Olomouc U19 win: 49% at kick-off, 79% now
68′We published Sigma Olomouc U19 at 49%. Our model now makes it 80%. 0–1 · 3–17–80
77′We published Sigma Olomouc U19 at 49%. Our model now makes it 85%. 0–1 · 2–13–85
81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Sigma Olomouc U19 win: 49% at kick-off, 89% now
82′We published Sigma Olomouc U19 at 49%. Our model now makes it 90%. 0–1 · 1–10–90
89′We published Sigma Olomouc U19 at 49%. Our model now makes it 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
FTFULL TIME Slovácko U19 0–1 Sigma Olomouc U19
FTSlovácko U19 0–1 Sigma Olomouc U19 · Sigma Olomouc U19 win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Sigma Olomouc U19 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Slovácko U19 29%, draw 22%, Sigma Olomouc U19 49%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 65%.

The AI’s read on Slovácko U19 v Sigma Olomouc U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Slovácko U19 win29%

Draw22%

Sigma Olomouc U19 win49%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 10:00

RoundMatchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Slovácko U19

Sigma Olomouc U19

8Days since last match8

Last match: 9 Oct · 1. Liga U19

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Sigma Olomouc U19	9	+11	19
12	Slovácko U19	10	−8	10

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sigma olomouc u19 winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

49% The market–

Us49%

We make Sigma Olomouc U19 a 49% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–2.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Slovácko U19 v Sigma Olomouc U19~~1.47 – 1.97

~~Form · last six in 1. Liga U19 this season · since 29 Aug~~W3 D1 L2 · W4 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 10 v 19~~12 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Slovácko U19 win	29%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Sigma Olomouc U19 win	49%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	66%	–	–
Both teams to score	65%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	45%	–	–
Slovácko U19 or draw	51%	–	–
Slovácko U19 clean sheet	15%	–	–
Sigma Olomouc U19 clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.3%

0123450 3.5 6.4 6.2 4.1 2.1 1 4.9 9.3 8.8 5.8 2.9 2 3.6 6.7 6.4 4.2 2.1 3 3.3 3.2 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Slovácko U19 down, Sigma Olomouc U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (97.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,278 1. Liga U19 matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1. Liga U19 matches have gone over 2.5 in 78.2% of games this season, across 78 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.90 goals a meeting; 8 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Slovácko U19 at home: 2.17 scored, 2.50 conceded a game (last 6). Sigma Olomouc U19 away: 2.67 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.47 goals for Slovácko U19, 1.97 for Sigma Olomouc U19. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.90

~~Over 2.5~~8 of 10

~~Both scored~~6 of 10

~~Last meetings~~SLO 1–0 SIG · SIG 2–1 SLO · SLO 3–0 SIG · SIG 2–1 SLO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. Liga U19 this season · since 29 Aug

SLOVÁCKO U19

WWLDWL5–2 · 3–2 · 0–1 · 3–3 · 3–0 · 1–4

SIGMA OLOMOUC U19

LWLWWW0–3 · 5–3 · 2–7 · 2–0 · 4–0 · 6–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Opava U19	10	+13	22
2	Baník Ostrava U19	9	+4	21
3	Viktoria Plzeň U19	8	+17	19
4	Hradec Králové U19	11	+12	19
5	Sigma Olomouc U19	9	+11	19
6	Dukla Praha U19	10	+6	17
7	Mladá Boleslav U19	10	+3	16
8	Teplice U19	10	−3	16
9	České Budějovice U19	9	+9	14
10	Zbrojovka Brno U19	10	+1	14
11	Sparta Praha U19	9	+1	10
12	Slovácko U19	10	−8	10
13	Pardubice U19	12	−15	8
14	Slavia Praha U19	9	−10	6
15	Karviná U19	10	−23	6
16	Zlín U19	10	−18	5