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Pardubice U19 v Baník Ostrava U19

Pardubice U19

0–4Full time

Baník Ostrava U19

1. Liga U19 · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 13:31

Pardubice U19 0–4 Baník Ostrava U19 BANÍK OSTRAVA U19 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Baník Ostrava U19 win~~43%

~~The market said~~41%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.489

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.525

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Pardubice U19 win35%

Draw22%

Baník Ostrava U19 win43%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 11:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · baník ostrava u19 winPublished 9 Oct 11:02

43% The market41%

Us43%

~~Market~~41%

We make Baník Ostrava U19 a 43% chance to win. The market has them at 41%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.7–1.9.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · baník ostrava u19 win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has not moved either.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Pardubice U19 win	35%	35%	0
Draw	22%	24%	−2
Baník Ostrava U19 win	43%	41%	+2
Over 2.5 goals	70%	71%	−1
Both teams to score	69%	72%	−2
Over 1.5 goals	88%	87%	+1
Over 3.5 goals	49%	51%	−2
Pardubice U19 or draw	57%	59%	−2
Pardubice U19 clean sheet	15%	–	–
Baník Ostrava U19 clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.7%

0123450 2.9 5.0 4.9 3.2 1 4.5 8.7 8.1 5.2 2.6 2 3.9 7.2 6.8 4.4 2.2 3 2.2 4.2 3.9 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Pardubice U19 down, Baník Ostrava U19 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,270 1. Liga U19 matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

1. Liga U19 matches have gone over 2.5 in 78.6% of games this season, across 70 played.

Head to head

10 previous meetings, 3.00 goals a meeting; 6 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Pardubice U19 at home: 2.17 scored, 2.83 conceded a game (last 6). Baník Ostrava U19 away: 1.67 scored, 3.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.72 goals for Pardubice U19, 1.93 for Baník Ostrava U19. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

10 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 10

~~Both scored~~8 of 10

~~Last meetings~~BAN 3–2 PAR · PAR 1–2 BAN · BAN 3–1 PAR · PAR 1–1 BAN

Form · last six in 1. Liga U19

PARDUBICE U19

LLLLWL0–2 · 0–1 · 0–4 · 1–4 · 6–2 · 1–4

BANÍK OSTRAVA U19

WLWLWW1–0 · 2–4 · 2–1 · 0–5 · 3–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Opava U19	9	+12	19
2	Hradec Králové U19	10	+12	18
3	Baník Ostrava U19	8	0	18
4	Dukla Praha U19	9	+7	17
5	Viktoria Plzeň U19	7	+16	16
6	Sigma Olomouc U19	8	+6	16
7	Mladá Boleslav U19	9	+6	16
8	Teplice U19	9	+2	16
9	České Budějovice U19	8	+4	11
10	Zbrojovka Brno U19	9	−2	11
11	Sparta Praha U19	8	+2	10
12	Slovácko U19	9	−5	10
13	Pardubice U19	11	−11	8
14	Karviná U19	9	−18	6
15	Zlín U19	9	−18	4
16	Slavia Praha U19	8	−13	3