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Opava U19 v Zbrojovka Brno U19

Opava U19

4–0Full time

Zbrojovka Brno U19

1. Liga U19 · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 12:44

Opava U19 4–0 Zbrojovka Brno U19 OPAVA U19 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Opava U19 win~~53%

~~The market said~~53%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.337

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.328

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay11 notes · 12 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Opava U19 win at 53%.
1′Much as we predicted: Opava U19 was 53% before kick-off and our model makes it 53% now. 0–0 · 53–20–28
1′KICK-OFF Opava U19 v Zbrojovka Brno U19
16′Opava U19 find the net on 16′. 1–0. 1–0 · 73–15–12
16′We published Opava U19 at 53%. Our model now makes it 73%. 1–0 · 73–15–12
16′⚽ GOAL · 16' Opava U19 1–0 Zbrojovka Brno U19
16′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 16' Opava U19 win: 53% at kick-off, 73% now
30′Goals are coming at about the 4.0 we expected. 1–0 · 73–17–11
33′A goal for Opava U19 on 33′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 90–7–3
33′We published Opava U19 at 53%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–0 · 90–7–3
33′⚽ GOAL · 33' Opava U19 2–0 Zbrojovka Brno U19
33′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 33' Opava U19 win: 53% at kick-off, 90% now
45′HALF-TIME Opava U19 2–0 Zbrojovka Brno U19
46′SECOND HALF Opava U19 2–0 Zbrojovka Brno U19
51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Opava U19 win: 53% at kick-off, 93% now
61′We published Opava U19 at 53%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
63′Opava U19 score on 63′ to make it 3–0. 3–0 · 99–1–0
63′⚽ GOAL · 63' Opava U19 3–0 Zbrojovka Brno U19
68′Opava U19 find the net on 68′. 4–0. 4–0 · 100–0–0
68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Opava U19 4–0 Zbrojovka Brno U19
69′We published Opava U19 at 53%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 4–0 · 100–0–0
69′4 goals already, more than the 4.0 we expected for the whole match. 4–0 · 100–0–0
76′PENALTY MISSED · 76' Zbrojovka Brno U19
FTFULL TIME Opava U19 4–0 Zbrojovka Brno U19
FTOpava U19 4–0 Zbrojovka Brno U19 · Opava U19 win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Opava U19 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Opava U19 53%, draw 20%, Zbrojovka Brno U19 28%. Over 2.5 goals 75%, both teams to score 71%.

The AI’s read on Opava U19 v Zbrojovka Brno U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Opava U19 win53%

Draw20%

Zbrojovka Brno U19 win28%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 10:00

RoundMatchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Opava U19

Zbrojovka Brno U19

8Days since last match8

Last match: 9 Oct · 1. Liga U19

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Opava U19	10	+13	22
10	Zbrojovka Brno U19	10	+1	14

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · opava u19 winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

53% The market53%

Us53%

~~Market~~53%

We make Opava U19 a 53% chance to win. The market has them at 53%. We are level with the market. The model expects 2.3–1.6.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Opava U19 v Zbrojovka Brno U19~~2.32 – 1.64

~~Form · last six in 1. Liga U19 this season · since 5 Sept~~W5 D1 L0 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 22 v 14~~1 v 10

~~The market · Opava U19 win~~53% · ours 53%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Opava U19 win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 53% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Opava U19 win	53%	53%	0
Draw	20%	22%	−2
Zbrojovka Brno U19 win	28%	25%	+3
Over 2.5 goals	75%	75%	0
Both teams to score	71%	73%	−2
Over 1.5 goals	90%	88%	+2
Over 3.5 goals	55%	56%	−1
Opava U19 or draw	72%	75%	−3
Opava U19 clean sheet	20%	–	–
Zbrojovka Brno U19 clean sheet	11%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.2%

0123450 2.2 3.3 2.7 1 4.6 7.4 5.9 3.2 2 5.2 8.2 6.6 3.6 3 4.0 6.2 5.0 2.8 4 2.3 3.7 2.9 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Opava U19 down, Zbrojovka Brno U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (95.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,278 1. Liga U19 matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1. Liga U19 matches have gone over 2.5 in 78.2% of games this season, across 78 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 4.25 goals a meeting; 4 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Opava U19 at home: 3.00 scored, 2.33 conceded a game (last 6). Zbrojovka Brno U19 away: 1.50 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.32 goals for Opava U19, 1.64 for Zbrojovka Brno U19. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~4.25

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~OPA 3–2 ZBR · ZBR 4–0 OPA · ZBR 3–1 OPA · OPA 0–4 ZBR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. Liga U19 this season · since 5 Sept

OPAVA U19

WWWDWW4–2 · 4–3 · 5–0 · 3–3 · 3–1 · 1–0

ZBROJOVKA BRNO U19

DWWLLW2–2 · 5–0 · 3–2 · 2–3 · 0–3 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Opava U19	10	+13	22
2	Baník Ostrava U19	9	+4	21
3	Viktoria Plzeň U19	8	+17	19
4	Hradec Králové U19	11	+12	19
5	Sigma Olomouc U19	9	+11	19
6	Dukla Praha U19	10	+6	17
7	Mladá Boleslav U19	10	+3	16
8	Teplice U19	10	−3	16
9	České Budějovice U19	9	+9	14
10	Zbrojovka Brno U19	10	+1	14
11	Sparta Praha U19	9	+1	10
12	Slovácko U19	10	−8	10
13	Pardubice U19	12	−15	8
14	Slavia Praha U19	9	−10	6
15	Karviná U19	10	−23	6
16	Zlín U19	10	−18	5