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Hradec Králové U19 v Slovácko U19

Hradec Králové U19

3–0Full time

Slovácko U19

1. Liga U19 · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 14:04

Hradec Králové U19 3–0 Slovácko U19 HRADEC KRÁLOVÉ U19 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Hradec Králové U19 win~~71%

~~The market said~~72%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.125

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.119

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 9 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Hradec Králové U19 win at 71%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Hradec Králové U19 71% before kick-off, 71% now. 0–0 · 71–16–13
1′KICK-OFF Hradec Králové U19 v Slovácko U19
29′Hradec Králové U19 score on 28′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 86–10–4
29′⚽ GOAL · 28' Hradec Králové U19 1–0 Slovácko U19
29′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 29' Hradec Králové U19 win: 71% at kick-off, 86% now
30′We said Hradec Králové U19 at 71% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 86%. 1–0 · 86–10–4
30′The goal count is tracking the 3.7 we expected. 1–0 · 86–10–4
45′29′: M. Fejgl on the scoresheet for Hradec Králové U19, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 85–11–3
45′HALF-TIME Hradec Králové U19 1–0 Slovácko U19
46′SECOND HALF Hradec Králové U19 1–0 Slovácko U19
59′Hradec Králové U19 find the net on 59′. 2–0. 2–0 · 98–2–0
59′We said Hradec Králové U19 at 71% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 98%. 2–0 · 98–2–0
59′⚽ GOAL · 59' Hradec Králové U19 2–0 Slovácko U19
59′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 59' Hradec Králové U19 win: 71% at kick-off, 98% now
65′A goal for Hradec Králové U19 on 65′ — 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
65′⚽ GOAL · 65' Hradec Králové U19 3–0 Slovácko U19
66′We said Hradec Králové U19 at 71% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
FTFULL TIME Hradec Králové U19 3–0 Slovácko U19
FTHradec Králové U19 3–0 Slovácko U19 · Hradec Králové U19 win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Hradec Králové U19 are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Hradec Králové U19 71%, draw 16%, Slovácko U19 13%. Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Hradec Králové U19 v Slovácko U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Hradec Králové U19 win71%

Draw16%

Slovácko U19 win13%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 11:00

RoundMatchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Hradec Králové U19

Slovácko U19

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · 1. Liga U19

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Hradec Králové U19	12	+15	22
12	Slovácko U19	11	−9	10

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hradec králové u19 winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

71% The market72%

Us71%

~~Market~~72%

We make Hradec Králové U19 a 71% chance to win. The market has them at 72%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 2.7–1.0.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Hradec Králové U19 v Slovácko U19~~2.65 – 1.02

~~Form · last six in 1. Liga U19 this season · since 12 Sept~~W2 D2 L2 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 22 v 10~~2 v 12

~~The market · Hradec Králové U19 win~~72% · ours 71%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Hradec Králové U19 win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 72% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hradec Králové U19 win	71%	72%	−1
Draw	16%	16%	0
Slovácko U19 win	13%	12%	+1
Over 2.5 goals	70%	75%	−5
Both teams to score	59%	62%	−3
Over 1.5 goals	88%	88%	0
Over 3.5 goals	50%	57%	−7
Hradec Králové U19 or draw	87%	88%	−1
Hradec Králové U19 clean sheet	36%	–	–
Slovácko U19 clean sheet	8%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.9%

0123450 2.8 2.7 1 6.9 7.0 3.6 2 8.9 8.9 4.6 3 7.7 7.7 3.9 4 5.1 5.1 2.6 5 2.8 2.8

under 2% 5% 12%+Hradec Králové U19 down, Slovácko U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (94.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,284 1. Liga U19 matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1. Liga U19 matches have gone over 2.5 in 77.4% of games this season, across 84 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 4 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Hradec Králové U19 at home: 2.67 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Slovácko U19 away: 1.50 scored, 3.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.65 goals for Hradec Králové U19, 1.02 for Slovácko U19. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 6

~~Both scored~~3 of 6

~~Last meetings~~HRA 3–1 SLO · SLO 4–2 HRA · HRA 0–1 SLO · SLO 2–1 HRA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. Liga U19 this season · since 12 Sept

HRADEC KRÁLOVÉ U19

LWDLDW2–3 · 4–0 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 2–2 · 4–1

SLOVÁCKO U19

WLDWLL3–2 · 0–1 · 3–3 · 3–0 · 1–4 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Opava U19	11	+17	25
2	Hradec Králové U19	12	+15	22
3	Sigma Olomouc U19	10	+12	22
4	Baník Ostrava U19	9	+4	21
5	Dukla Praha U19	11	+7	20
6	Viktoria Plzeň U19	8	+17	19
7	Mladá Boleslav U19	11	+3	17
8	Teplice U19	11	−6	16
9	České Budějovice U19	10	+8	14
10	Zbrojovka Brno U19	11	−3	14
11	Sparta Praha U19	10	+2	13
12	Slovácko U19	11	−9	10
13	Pardubice U19	12	−15	8
14	Slavia Praha U19	10	−10	7
15	Karviná U19	11	−24	6
16	Zlín U19	10	−18	5