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Model 1.2

Home › Football › 1. Liga U19 › České Budějovice U19 v Baník Ostrava U19

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České Budějovice U19 v Baník Ostrava U19

České Budějovice U19
1–2Full time
Baník Ostrava U19

1. Liga U19 · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 11:38
České Budějovice U19 1–2 Baník Ostrava U19 ČESKÉ BUDĚJOVICE U19 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG2–2 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said České Budějovice U19 win44%
The market said45%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.634
The market’s Brier score0.708

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay12 notes · 15 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said České Budějovice U19 win at 44%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: České Budějovice U19 was 44% before kick-off and our model makes it 44% now. 0–0 · 44–19–37
  3. 1′KICK-OFF České Budějovice U19 v Baník Ostrava U19
  4. 14′A goal for České Budějovice U19 on 14′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 64–17–19
  5. 14′We published České Budějovice U19 at 44%. Our model now makes it 64%. 1–0 · 64–17–19
  6. 14′⚽ GOAL · 14' České Budějovice U19 1–0 Baník Ostrava U19
  7. 14′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 14' České Budějovice U19 win: 44% at kick-off, 64% now
  8. 23′We published České Budějovice U19 at 44%. Our model now makes it 65%. 1–0 · 65–18–18
  9. 45′HALF-TIME České Budějovice U19 1–0 Baník Ostrava U19
  10. 46′SECOND HALF České Budějovice U19 1–0 Baník Ostrava U19
  11. 57′Baník Ostrava U19 score on 57′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 35–34–31
  12. 57′⚽ GOAL · 57' České Budějovice U19 1–1 Baník Ostrava U19
  13. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' České Budějovice U19 win: 44% at kick-off, 35% now
  14. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' České Budějovice U19 win: 44% at kick-off, 34% now
  15. 62′THE CALL SWINGS · 62' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was České Budějovice U19 win 35%)
  16. 63′We said České Budějovice U19 at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 32%. 1–1 · 32–39–29
  17. 69′We said České Budějovice U19 at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–45–26
  18. 75′We said České Budějovice U19 at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–54–22
  19. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' České Budějovice U19 win: 44% at kick-off, 24% now
  20. 80′We said České Budějovice U19 at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–64–17
  21. 83′We said České Budějovice U19 at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–72–13
  22. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' České Budějovice U19 win: 44% at kick-off, 14% now
  23. 85′Baník Ostrava U19 find the net on 84′. 1–2. 1–2 · 1–11–88
  24. 85′We said České Budějovice U19 at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 1%. 1–2 · 1–11–88
  25. 85′⚽ GOAL · 84' České Budějovice U19 1–2 Baník Ostrava U19
  26. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' České Budějovice U19 win: 44% at kick-off, 1% now
  27. 85′THE CALL SWINGS · 85' Baník Ostrava U19 win is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Draw 76%)
  28. FTFULL TIME České Budějovice U19 1–2 Baník Ostrava U19
  29. FTČeské Budějovice U19 1–2 Baník Ostrava U19 · České Budějovice U19 win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 2–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

České Budějovice U19 are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: České Budějovice U19 44%, draw 19%, Baník Ostrava U19 37%. Over 2.5 goals 82%, both teams to score 79%.

The AI’s read on České Budějovice U19 v Baník Ostrava U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

České Budějovice U19 win44%
Draw19%
Baník Ostrava U19 win37%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 09:00

RoundMatchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

České Budějovice U19

Baník Ostrava U19

7Days since last match15

Last match: 17 Oct · 1. Liga U19

Last match: 9 Oct · 1. Liga U19

1Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
4Baník Ostrava U199+421
9České Budějovice U1910+814

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · české budějovice u19 winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
44% The market45%
Us44%
Market45%

We make České Budějovice U19 a 44% chance to win. The market has them at 45%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 2.4–2.2.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · České Budějovice U19 v Baník Ostrava U192.38 – 2.16
Form · last six in 1. Liga U19 this season · since 29 AugW2 D1 L3 · W4 D0 L2
Table places · points 14 v 219 v 4
The market · České Budějovice U19 win45% · ours 44%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 08:38
Our probability · České Budějovice U19 win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 45% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
České Budějovice U19 win44%45%−1
Draw19%23%−4
Baník Ostrava U19 win37%33%+4
Over 2.5 goals82%76%+6
Both teams to score79%75%+4
Over 1.5 goals94%90%+4
Over 3.5 goals66%58%+8
České Budějovice U19 or draw63%67%−4
České Budějovice U19 clean sheet12%––
Baník Ostrava U19 clean sheet10%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–2 at 6.8%
0123450 2.5 2.6 1 2.7 5.6 5.9 4.2 2.3 2 3.1 6.4 6.8 4.8 2.6 3 2.4 5.0 5.3 3.8 2.1 4 3.0 3.2 2.3 5
under 2% 5% 12%+České Budějovice U19 down, Baník Ostrava U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (93.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting3.90
Over 2.57 of 10
Both scored6 of 10
Last meetingsBAN 1–4 CES · CES 1–5 BAN · CES 3–5 BAN · BAN 2–1 CES

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. Liga U19 this season · since 29 Aug

ČESKÉ BUDĚJOVICE U19

LLWDWL2–4 · 1–2 · 4–1 · 1–1 · 5–0 · 2–3

BANÍK OSTRAVA U19

LWLWWW2–4 · 2–1 · 0–5 · 3–1 · 2–1 · 4–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Opava U1911+1725
2Hradec Králové U1912+1522
3Sigma Olomouc U1910+1222
4Baník Ostrava U199+421
5Dukla Praha U1911+720
6Viktoria Plzeň U198+1719
7Mladá Boleslav U1911+317
8Teplice U1911−616
9České Budějovice U1910+814
10Zbrojovka Brno U1911−314
11Sparta Praha U1910+213
12Slovácko U1911−910
13Pardubice U1912−158
14Slavia Praha U1910−107
15Karviná U1911−246
16Zlín U1910−185

Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.