Spartakos Kitiou v Digenis Ypsonas
Spartakos KitiouDigenis YpsonasCup · WED 14 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Digenis Ypsonas win at 52%.
- 1′KICK-OFF Spartakos Kitiou v Digenis Ypsonas
- 2′Much as we predicted: Digenis Ypsonas was 52% before kick-off and our model makes it 52% now. 0–0 · 23–26–52
- 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Digenis Ypsonas win: 52% at kick-off, 42% now
- 44′We said Digenis Ypsonas at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 40%. 0–0 · 20–40–40
- 45′HALF-TIME Spartakos Kitiou 0–0 Digenis Ypsonas
- 46′We said Digenis Ypsonas at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 20–41–39
- 46′SECOND HALF Spartakos Kitiou 0–0 Digenis Ypsonas
- 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Digenis Ypsonas win 37%)
- 56′We said Digenis Ypsonas at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 18–48–34
- 59′We expected about 2.5 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 17–50–33
- 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Digenis Ypsonas win: 52% at kick-off, 31% now
- 65′We said Digenis Ypsonas at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 16–56–29
- 71′We said Digenis Ypsonas at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 13–63–24
- 73′Digenis Ypsonas find the net on 73′. 0–1. 0–1 · 1–11–88
- 73′⚽ GOAL · 73' Spartakos Kitiou 0–1 Digenis Ypsonas
- 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Digenis Ypsonas win: 52% at kick-off, 88% now
- 74′THE CALL SWINGS · 74' Digenis Ypsonas win is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Draw 11%)
- 75′We published Digenis Ypsonas at 52%. Our model now makes it 89%. 0–1 · 1–10–89
- 78′We published Digenis Ypsonas at 52%. Our model now makes it 90%. 0–1 · 1–9–90
- 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 80' Digenis Ypsonas win: 52% at kick-off, 92% now
- 84′We published Digenis Ypsonas at 52%. Our model now makes it 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
- 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Spartakos Kitiou 1–1 Digenis Ypsonas
- 90′A goal for Digenis Ypsonas on 90′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 0–0–100
- 90′We published Digenis Ypsonas at 52%. Our model now makes it 100%. 0–2 · 0–0–100
- 90′GOAL DISALLOWED · 90' Spartakos Kitiou
- 90′⚽ GOAL · 94' Spartakos Kitiou 0–2 Digenis Ypsonas
- FTFULL TIME Spartakos Kitiou 0–2 Digenis Ypsonas
- FTSpartakos Kitiou 0–2 Digenis Ypsonas · Digenis Ypsonas win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassChelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.
Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.
Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.
Pre-match prediction
Published 14 Oct 15:32 · locked at kick-off
Spartakos Kitiou win22%Digenis Ypsonas win52%Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 16:00
Match timeline
All events
Spartakos KitiouMINDigenis YpsonasEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
Spartakos Kitiou
Digenis Ypsonas
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Digenis Ypsonas a 52% chance to win. The market has them at 74%. We are 23 points less confident than the market. The model expects 0.9–1.6.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 74% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spartakos Kitiou win | 22% | 9% | +13 |
| Draw | 26% | 17% | +9 |
| Digenis Ypsonas win | 52% | 74% | −23 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 61% | −16 |
| Both teams to score | 48% | 45% | +3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 81% | −10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 41% | −17 |
| Spartakos Kitiou or draw | 48% | 26% | +23 |
| Spartakos Kitiou clean sheet | 21% | – | – |
| Digenis Ypsonas clean sheet | 39% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
0 meetings since 2020No meetings between these two in Cup since 2020. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.
Form · last six in Cup
SPARTAKOS KITIOU
DIGENIS YPSONAS