Omonia 29is Maiou v Polemidion
Omonia 29is MaiouPolemidionCup · WED 14 OCT · Katokopia Stadium
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassChelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.
Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.
Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.
Pre-match prediction
Published 14 Oct 17:28 · postponed, not graded
Omonia 29is Maiou win64%Polemidion win17%Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 18:00
VenueKatokopia Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Omonia 29is MaiouMINPolemidionEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
Omonia 29is Maiou
Polemidion
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Omonia 29is Maiou a 64% chance to win. The market has them at 88%. We are 24 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.2–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 88% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Omonia 29is Maiou win | 64% | 88% | −24 |
| Draw | 20% | 8% | +12 |
| Polemidion win | 17% | 4% | +13 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 79% | −20 |
| Both teams to score | 53% | 43% | +10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 91% | −10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 59% | −21 |
| Omonia 29is Maiou or draw | 83% | 96% | −13 |
| Omonia 29is Maiou clean sheet | 39% | – | – |
| Polemidion clean sheet | 13% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
0 meetings since 2021No meetings between these two in Cup since 2021. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.
Form · last six in Cup
OMONIA 29IS MAIOU
POLEMIDION