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Iraklis Yerolakkou v Enosis
Iraklis Yerolakkou
Enosis2. Division · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Enosis win at 42%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Enosis was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 28–30–42
- 1′KICK-OFF Iraklis Yerolakkou v Enosis
- 14′Enosis score on 14′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 9–18–73
- 14′⚽ GOAL · 14' Iraklis Yerolakkou 0–1 Enosis
- 14′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 14' Enosis win: 42% at kick-off, 73% now
- 15′We published Enosis at 42%. Our model now makes it 73%. 0–1 · 8–18–73
- 21′15′: L. Narsingh on the scoresheet for Enosis, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 8–18–74
- 27′We published Enosis at 42%. Our model now makes it 75%. 0–1 · 7–18–75
- 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.1 we expected. 0–1 · 7–18–75
- 45′HALF-TIME Iraklis Yerolakkou 0–1 Enosis
- 46′SECOND HALF Iraklis Yerolakkou 0–1 Enosis
- 53′We published Enosis at 42%. Our model now makes it 80%. 0–1 · 4–17–80
- 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 60' Enosis win: 42% at kick-off, 82% now
- 67′We published Enosis at 42%. Our model now makes it 85%. 0–1 · 2–14–85
- 77′We published Enosis at 42%. Our model now makes it 90%. 0–1 · 1–10–90
- 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 80' Enosis win: 42% at kick-off, 92% now
- 84′We published Enosis at 42%. Our model now makes it 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
- FTFULL TIME Iraklis Yerolakkou 0–1 Enosis
- FTIraklis Yerolakkou 0–1 Enosis · Enosis win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Enosis are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Iraklis Yerolakkou 28%, draw 30%, Enosis 42%. Over 2.5 goals 34%, both teams to score 39%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Iraklis Yerolakkou win28%
Enosis win42%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00
RoundMatchday 5
Match timeline
All events
Iraklis YerolakkouMIN
EnosisEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Iraklis Yerolakkou
Enosis
Last match: 17 Oct · 2. Division (Cyprus)
Last match: 16 Oct · 2. Division (Cyprus)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Enosis a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 50%. We are 8 points less confident than the market. The model expects 0.9–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 50% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iraklis Yerolakkou win | 28% | 22% | +6 |
| Draw | 30% | 28% | +2 |
| Enosis win | 42% | 50% | −8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 34% | 41% | −7 |
| Both teams to score | 39% | 45% | −6 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 60% | 65% | −5 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16% | 22% | −6 |
| Iraklis Yerolakkou or draw | 58% | 50% | +8 |
| Iraklis Yerolakkou clean sheet | 32% | – | – |
| Enosis clean sheet | 42% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · 2. Division this season · since 12 Sept
IRAKLIS YEROLAKKOU
ENOSIS
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ethnikos Achna | 5 | +11 | 12 |
| 2 | Doxa | 4 | +5 | 10 |
| 3 | Enosis | 4 | +5 | 10 |
| 4 | PAEEK | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 5 | Ermis | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 | APEA | 4 | +2 | 8 |
| 7 | ASIL Lysi | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 8 | Digenis Morphou | 4 | +1 | 5 |
| 9 | Iraklis Yerolakkou | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Spartakos Kitiou | 4 | +1 | 4 |
| 11 | Anagennisi Deryneia | 5 | −7 | 3 |
| 12 | Polemidion | 4 | −7 | 3 |
| 13 | Halkanoras | 4 | −3 | 2 |
| 14 | Akritas | 4 | −3 | 2 |
| 15 | Ayia Napa | 4 | −6 | 1 |
| 16 | MEAP Nisou | 4 | −10 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Ethnikos Achna
Doxa
PAEEK
Ermis
APEA
ASIL Lysi
Digenis Morphou
Spartakos Kitiou
Anagennisi Deryneia
Polemidion
Halkanoras
Akritas
Ayia Napa
MEAP Nisou