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Halkanoras v Spartakos Kitiou

Halkanoras
2–1Full time
Spartakos Kitiou

2. Division · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 15:38
Halkanoras 2–1 Spartakos Kitiou HALKANORAS WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Halkanoras win43%
The market said37%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.495
The market’s Brier score0.591

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay12 notes · 13 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Halkanoras win at 43%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Halkanoras 43% before kick-off, 43% now. 0–0 · 43–24–34
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Halkanoras v Spartakos Kitiou
  4. 4′A goal for Halkanoras on 4′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 67–18–15
  5. 4′We said Halkanoras at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 67%. 1–0 · 67–18–15
  6. 4′⚽ GOAL · 4' Halkanoras 1–0 Spartakos Kitiou
  7. 4′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 4' Halkanoras win: 43% at kick-off, 67% now
  8. 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.0 we expected. 1–0 · 69–20–11
  9. 35′We said Halkanoras at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 1–0 · 70–20–11
  10. 37′Spartakos Kitiou score on 37′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 37–33–30
  11. 37′⚽ GOAL · 37' Halkanoras 1–1 Spartakos Kitiou
  12. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Halkanoras win: 43% at kick-off, 37% now
  13. 45′HALF-TIME Halkanoras 1–1 Spartakos Kitiou
  14. 46′SECOND HALF Halkanoras 1–1 Spartakos Kitiou
  15. 49′Halkanoras find the net on 49′. 2–1. 2–1 · 72–20–8
  16. 49′⚽ GOAL · 49' Halkanoras 2–1 Spartakos Kitiou
  17. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 49' Halkanoras win: 43% at kick-off, 72% now
  18. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Halkanoras win: 43% at kick-off, 73% now
  19. 58′We said Halkanoras at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 2–1 · 75–19–6
  20. 69′We said Halkanoras at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 2–1 · 80–17–3
  21. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Halkanoras win: 43% at kick-off, 83% now
  22. 77′We said Halkanoras at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–2
  23. 82′We said Halkanoras at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–10–1
  24. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 86' Halkanoras win: 43% at kick-off, 93% now
  25. 89′We said Halkanoras at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
  26. FTFULL TIME Halkanoras 2–1 Spartakos Kitiou
  27. FTHalkanoras 2–1 Spartakos Kitiou · Halkanoras win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Halkanoras are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Halkanoras 43%, draw 24%, Spartakos Kitiou 34%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Halkanoras v Spartakos KitiouBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Halkanoras win43%
Draw24%
Spartakos Kitiou win34%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Halkanoras

Spartakos Kitiou

6Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · 2. Division (Cyprus)

Last match: 17 Oct · 2. Division (Cyprus)

2Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
10Spartakos Kitiou4+14
13Halkanoras4−32

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · halkanoras winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
43% The market37%
Us43%
Market37%

We make Halkanoras a 43% chance to win. The market has them at 37%. We are 6 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.4.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Halkanoras v Spartakos Kitiou1.63 – 1.41
Form · 2. Division this season · since 12 SeptW0 D2 L2 · W1 D1 L2
Table places · points 2 v 413 v 10
The market · Halkanoras win37% · ours 43%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 12:16
Our probability · Halkanoras win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 37% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Halkanoras win43%37%+6
Draw24%28%−4
Spartakos Kitiou win34%35%−1
Over 2.5 goals58%47%+11
Both teams to score59%53%+6
Over 1.5 goals80%71%+9
Over 3.5 goals36%27%+9
Halkanoras or draw66%65%+1
Halkanoras clean sheet25%––
Spartakos Kitiou clean sheet21%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.7%
0123450 5.2 7.0 4.8 2.3 1 8.0 10.7 7.4 3.6 2 6.3 8.5 5.9 2.8 3 3.5 4.7 3.2 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Halkanoras down, Spartakos Kitiou across0–5 goals a side shown (98.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

9 meetings since 2023/24
Goals a meeting2.11
Over 2.54 of 9
Both scored4 of 9
Last meetingsSPA 0–1 HAL · HAL 1–0 SPA · HAL 2–3 SPA · SPA 2–1 HAL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · 2. Division this season · since 12 Sept

HALKANORAS

LDLD0–2 · 0–0 · 3–4 · 1–1

SPARTAKOS KITIOU

LWDL0–1 · 4–1 · 0–0 · 2–3

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Ethnikos Achna5+1112
2Doxa4+510
3Enosis4+510
4PAEEK4+49
5Ermis4+49
6APEA4+28
7ASIL Lysi4+37
8Digenis Morphou4+15
9Iraklis Yerolakkou405
10Spartakos Kitiou4+14
11Anagennisi Deryneia5−73
12Polemidion4−73
13Halkanoras4−32
14Akritas4−32
15Ayia Napa4−61
16MEAP Nisou4−101

The competition's standings before kick-off.