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Halkanoras v Doxa

Halkanoras
3–4Full time
Doxa

2. Division · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 16:06
Halkanoras 3–4 Doxa HALKANORAS WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Halkanoras win42%
The market said30%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.690
The market’s Brier score0.504

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay6 notes · 15 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Halkanoras win at 42%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Halkanoras 42% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 42–25–33
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Halkanoras v Doxa
  4. 9′⚽ GOAL · 9' Halkanoras 0–1 Doxa
  5. 21′9′ and it is 0–1: N. Trujic on the scoresheet for Doxa. 0–1 · 17–23–60
  6. 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 21' Halkanoras win: 42% at kick-off, 17% now
  7. 21′THE CALL SWINGS · 21' Doxa win is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Halkanoras win 17%)
  8. 41′We said Halkanoras at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 12%. 0–1 · 12–24–65
  9. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Halkanoras win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
  10. 45′A goal for Halkanoras on 45′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 11–24–66
  11. 45′⚽ GOAL · 46' Halkanoras 0–2 Doxa
  12. 45′⚽ GOAL · 48' Halkanoras 1–2 Doxa
  13. 45′HALF-TIME Halkanoras 1–2 Doxa
  14. 46′SECOND HALF Halkanoras 1–2 Doxa
  15. 50′⚽ GOAL · 49' Halkanoras 1–3 Doxa
  16. 59′⚽ GOAL · 59' Halkanoras 2–3 Doxa
  17. 60′Halkanoras find the net on 59′. 2–3. 2–3 · 6–22–71
  18. 71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Halkanoras 2–4 Doxa
  19. 83′80′ and it is 3–4: Ayibaemi on the scoresheet for Halkanoras. 3–4 · 1–10–90
  20. 83′⚽ GOAL · 80' Halkanoras 3–4 Doxa
  21. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Halkanoras win: 42% at kick-off, 1% now
  22. FTFULL TIME Halkanoras 3–4 Doxa
  23. FTHalkanoras 3–4 Doxa · Halkanoras win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Halkanoras win42%
Draw25%
Doxa win33%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 13:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · halkanoras winPublished 10 Oct 13:47
42% The market30%
Us42%
Market30%

We make Halkanoras a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 30%. We are 12 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.3.

How the number movedSince we published
25%30%35%40%45% 9 OCT 06:1810 OCT 03:55
Our probability · halkanoras win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 31% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Halkanoras win42%30%+12
Draw25%28%−3
Doxa win33%42%−9
Over 2.5 goals53%49%+5
Both teams to score55%54%+2
Over 1.5 goals76%72%+5
Over 3.5 goals32%28%+3
Halkanoras or draw67%58%+9
Halkanoras clean sheet28%––
Doxa clean sheet23%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.3%
0123450 6.3 8.0 5.1 2.3 1 9.2 11.3 7.3 3.3 2 6.8 8.4 5.4 2.4 3 3.5 4.4 2.8 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Halkanoras down, Doxa across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2025
Goals a meeting3.75
Over 2.53 of 4
Both scored3 of 4
Last meetingsDOX 2–1 HAL · HAL 4–2 DOX · DOX 3–1 HAL · DOX 2–0 HAL

Form · last six in 2. Division

HALKANORAS

WWWDLD3–1 · 3–0 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 0–2 · 0–0

DOXA

DWLLDW0–0 · 2–0 · 1–5 · 0–3 · 3–3 · 2–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Ethnikos Achna2+56
2Enosis2+34
3ASIL Lysi2+24
4Iraklis Yerolakkou2+24
5Doxa2+14
6APEA2+14
7Spartakos Kitiou2+23
8Ermis2+13
9PAEEK2−13
10Polemidion2−23
11Digenis Morphou2−11
12Ayia Napa2−21
13Akritas2−21
14Halkanoras2−21
15MEAP Nisou2−31
16Anagennisi Deryneia2−40

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.