Home › Football › 2. Division › Ethnikos Achna v APEA
Back
Ethnikos Achna v APEA
Ethnikos AchnaAPEA2. Division · SAT 17 OCT · Ethnikos Achnas
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Ethnikos Achna win at 64%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Ethnikos Achna was 64% before kick-off and our model makes it 64% now. 0–0 · 64–19–17
- 1′KICK-OFF Ethnikos Achna v APEA
- 7′APEA score on 7′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 41–22–37
- 7′We said Ethnikos Achna at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 41%. 0–1 · 41–22–37
- 7′⚽ GOAL · 7' Ethnikos Achna 0–1 APEA
- 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 7' Ethnikos Achna win: 64% at kick-off, 41% now
- 11′We said Ethnikos Achna at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–1 · 39–23–38
- 21′THE CALL SWINGS · 21' APEA win is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Ethnikos Achna win 35%)
- 24′We said Ethnikos Achna at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–1 · 34–24–41
- 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 24' Ethnikos Achna win: 64% at kick-off, 34% now
- 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.4 we expected. 0–1 · 32–25–43
- 35′We said Ethnikos Achna at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–1 · 29–26–45
- 45′We said Ethnikos Achna at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–27–49
- 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Ethnikos Achna win: 64% at kick-off, 24% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Ethnikos Achna 0–1 APEA
- 46′SECOND HALF Ethnikos Achna 0–1 APEA
- 53′We said Ethnikos Achna at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–28–53
- 61′We said Ethnikos Achna at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–27–58
- 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Ethnikos Achna win: 64% at kick-off, 14% now
- 69′We said Ethnikos Achna at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–25–65
- 77′7′: M. Christodoulou on the scoresheet for APEA, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 4–21–75
- 77′We said Ethnikos Achna at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–21–75
- 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Ethnikos Achna win: 64% at kick-off, 4% now
- FTFULL TIME Ethnikos Achna 0–1 APEA
- FTEthnikos Achna 0–1 APEA · Ethnikos Achna win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassEthnikos Achna are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Ethnikos Achna 64%, draw 19%, APEA 17%. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 54%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Ethnikos Achna win64%APEA win17%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:30
RoundMatchday 4
VenueEthnikos Achnas
Match timeline
All events
Ethnikos AchnaMINAPEAEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Ethnikos Achna
APEA
Last match: 14 Oct · Cup (Cyprus)
Last match: 10 Oct · 2. Division (Cyprus)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ethnikos Achna | 3 | +10 | 9 |
| 7 | APEA | 3 | +1 | 5 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Ethnikos Achna a 64% chance to win. The market has them at 61%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.4–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 61% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ethnikos Achna win | 64% | 61% | +3 |
| Draw | 19% | 23% | −4 |
| APEA win | 17% | 16% | +1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 57% | +6 |
| Both teams to score | 54% | 53% | +1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 79% | +3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 36% | +6 |
| Ethnikos Achna or draw | 83% | 84% | −1 |
| Ethnikos Achna clean sheet | 38% | – | – |
| APEA clean sheet | 12% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2022/23No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2022/23.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · 2. Division this season · since 12 Sept
ETHNIKOS ACHNA
APEA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Enosis | 4 | +5 | 10 |
| 2 | Ethnikos Achna | 3 | +10 | 9 |
| 3 |  ASIL Lysi | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 4 |  Doxa | 3 | +2 | 7 |
| 5 |  PAEEK | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 |  Ermis | 3 | +2 | 6 |
| 7 | APEA | 3 | +1 | 5 |
| 8 |  Spartakos Kitiou | 3 | +2 | 4 |
| 9 |  Digenis Morphou | 3 | +1 | 4 |
| 10 |  Iraklis Yerolakkou | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 |  Polemidion | 3 | −3 | 3 |
| 12 |  Ayia Napa | 3 | −3 | 1 |
| 13 |  Halkanoras | 3 | −3 | 1 |
| 14 |  Akritas | 3 | −3 | 1 |
| 15 |  MEAP Nisou | 3 | −8 | 1 |
| 16 |  Anagennisi Deryneia | 3 | −6 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.