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Enosis v ASIL Lysi
Enosis
ASIL Lysi2. Division · FRI 16 OCT · Paralimni Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Enosis win at 53%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Enosis was 53% before kick-off and our model makes it 54% now. 0–0 · 54–23–23
- 1′KICK-OFF Enosis v ASIL Lysi
- 15′Enosis score on 15′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 77–15–8
- 15′⚽ GOAL · 15' Enosis 1–0 ASIL Lysi
- 15′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 15' Enosis win: 53% at kick-off, 77% now
- 16′We published Enosis at 53%. Our model now makes it 77%. 1–0 · 77–15–7
- 31′Goals are coming at about the 2.9 we expected. 1–0 · 78–16–6
- 41′ASIL Lysi find the net on 41′. 1–1. 1–1 · 44–35–21
- 41′⚽ GOAL · 41' Enosis 1–1 ASIL Lysi
- 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Enosis win: 53% at kick-off, 44% now
- 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Enosis win: 53% at kick-off, 43% now
- 45′ASIL Lysi level it on 40′ through M. Ogkmpoe. 1–1. 1–1 · 42–37–21
- 45′HALF-TIME Enosis 1–1 ASIL Lysi
- 46′SECOND HALF Enosis 1–1 ASIL Lysi
- 47′We said Enosis at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 41%. 1–1 · 41–38–21
- 51′We said Enosis at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–40–20
- 54′THE CALL SWINGS · 54' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Enosis win 38%)
- 61′We said Enosis at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–48–18
- 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Enosis win: 53% at kick-off, 33% now
- 67′We said Enosis at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–54–16
- 73′We said Enosis at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–62–14
- 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Enosis win: 53% at kick-off, 23% now
- 78′We said Enosis at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–71–11
- 82′We said Enosis at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 1–1 · 13–79–8
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Enosis win: 53% at kick-off, 13% now
- 86′We said Enosis at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–86–5
- 91′A goal for Enosis on 90′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 97–3–0
- 91′⚽ GOAL · 90' Enosis 2–1 ASIL Lysi
- 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+1' Enosis win: 53% at kick-off, 97% now
- 91′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+1' Enosis win is now our likeliest result at 97% (was Draw 3%)
- 92′We published Enosis at 53%. Our model now makes it 98%. 2–1 · 98–2–0
- 92′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 98–2–0
- FTFULL TIME Enosis 2–1 ASIL Lysi
- FTEnosis 2–1 ASIL Lysi · Enosis win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassEnosis are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Enosis 53%, draw 23%, ASIL Lysi 24%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 52%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Enosis win53%
ASIL Lysi win24%Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 17:00
RoundMatchday 4
VenueParalimni Stadium
Match timeline
All events
EnosisMIN
ASIL LysiEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Enosis
ASIL Lysi
Last match: 10 Oct · 2. Division (Cyprus)
Last match: 10 Oct · 2. Division (Cyprus)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Enosis a 53% chance to win. The market has them at 47%. We are 6 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–1.1.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 47% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Enosis win | 53% | 47% | +6 |
| Draw | 23% | 28% | −5 |
| ASIL Lysi win | 24% | 25% | −1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 46% | +7 |
| Both teams to score | 52% | 50% | +2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 70% | +6 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 26% | +6 |
| Enosis or draw | 76% | 75% | +1 |
| Enosis clean sheet | 36% | – | – |
| ASIL Lysi clean sheet | 19% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
5 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · 2. Division this season · since 12 Sept
ENOSIS
ASIL LYSI
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ethnikos Achna | 3 | +10 | 9 |
| 2 | ASIL Lysi | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 3 | Enosis | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 4 | Doxa | 3 | +2 | 7 |
| 5 | PAEEK | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Ermis | 3 | +2 | 6 |
| 7 | APEA | 3 | +1 | 5 |
| 8 | Spartakos Kitiou | 3 | +2 | 4 |
| 9 | Digenis Morphou | 3 | +1 | 4 |
| 10 | Iraklis Yerolakkou | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Polemidion | 3 | −3 | 3 |
| 12 | Ayia Napa | 3 | −3 | 1 |
| 13 | Halkanoras | 3 | −3 | 1 |
| 14 | Akritas | 3 | −3 | 1 |
| 15 | MEAP Nisou | 3 | −8 | 1 |
| 16 | Anagennisi Deryneia | 3 | −6 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Ethnikos Achna
Doxa
PAEEK
Ermis
APEA
Spartakos Kitiou
Digenis Morphou
Iraklis Yerolakkou
Polemidion
Ayia Napa
Halkanoras
Akritas
MEAP Nisou
Anagennisi Deryneia