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APEA v Spartakos Kitiou
2. Division · SAT 10 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said APEA win at 41%.
- 1′KICK-OFF APEA v Spartakos Kitiou
- 2′Much as we predicted: APEA was 41% before kick-off and our model makes it 40% now. 0–0 · 40–25–34
- 45′HALF-TIME APEA 0–0 Spartakos Kitiou
- 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was APEA win 33%)
- 46′SECOND HALF APEA 0–0 Spartakos Kitiou
- 59′We said APEA at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 28%. 0–0 · 28–47–25
- 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' APEA win: 41% at kick-off, 28% now
- 80′We said APEA at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 0–0 · 13–75–12
- 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' APEA win: 41% at kick-off, 13% now
- FTFULL TIME APEA 0–0 Spartakos Kitiou
- FTAPEA 0–0 Spartakos Kitiou · APEA win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
Match updates
Recorded match details below.
Timeline
Events will appear when the match starts.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Match information
SAT 10 OCT · 13:30
The game so far
Recorded statisticsMatch statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Players on the pitch
Recorded line-upsLine-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make APEA a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 37%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.4.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 37% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| APEA win | 41% | 37% | +4 |
| Draw | 25% | 28% | −3 |
| Spartakos Kitiou win | 35% | 35% | 0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 49% | +5 |
| Both teams to score | 56% | 54% | +2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 72% | +5 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 29% | +3 |
| APEA or draw | 65% | 65% | 0 |
| APEA clean sheet | 27% | – | – |
| Spartakos Kitiou clean sheet | 24% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
3 meetings since 2025Form · last six in 2. Division
APEA
SPARTAKOS KITIOU
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ethnikos Achna | 2 | +5 | 6 |
| 2 | Enosis | 2 | +3 | 4 |
| 3 | ASIL Lysi | 2 | +2 | 4 |
| 4 | Iraklis Yerolakkou | 2 | +2 | 4 |
| 5 | Doxa | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 6 | APEA | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 7 | Spartakos Kitiou | 2 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 | Ermis | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 | PAEEK | 2 | −1 | 3 |
| 10 | Polemidion | 2 | −2 | 3 |
| 11 | Digenis Morphou | 2 | −1 | 1 |
| 12 | Ayia Napa | 2 | −2 | 1 |
| 13 | Akritas | 2 | −2 | 1 |
| 14 | Halkanoras | 2 | −2 | 1 |
| 15 | MEAP Nisou | 2 | −3 | 1 |
| 16 | Anagennisi Deryneia | 2 | −4 | 0 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Ethnikos Achna
Enosis
ASIL Lysi
Iraklis Yerolakkou
Doxa
Ermis
PAEEK
Polemidion
Digenis Morphou
Ayia Napa
Akritas
Halkanoras
MEAP Nisou
Anagennisi Deryneia