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APEA v Spartakos Kitiou

APEA
0–0Full time
Spartakos Kitiou

2. Division · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 16:06
APEA 0–0 Spartakos Kitiou APEA WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said APEA win41%
The market said37%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.855
The market’s Brier score0.781

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 7 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said APEA win at 41%.
  2. 1′KICK-OFF APEA v Spartakos Kitiou
  3. 2′Much as we predicted: APEA was 41% before kick-off and our model makes it 40% now. 0–0 · 40–25–34
  4. 45′HALF-TIME APEA 0–0 Spartakos Kitiou
  5. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was APEA win 33%)
  6. 46′SECOND HALF APEA 0–0 Spartakos Kitiou
  7. 59′We said APEA at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 28%. 0–0 · 28–47–25
  8. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' APEA win: 41% at kick-off, 28% now
  9. 80′We said APEA at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 0–0 · 13–75–12
  10. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' APEA win: 41% at kick-off, 13% now
  11. FTFULL TIME APEA 0–0 Spartakos Kitiou
  12. FTAPEA 0–0 Spartakos Kitiou · APEA win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

APEA win41%
Draw25%
Spartakos Kitiou win35%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 13:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · apea winPublished 10 Oct 13:47
41% The market37%
Us41%
Market37%

We make APEA a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 37%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.4.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45% 9 OCT 06:1810 OCT 03:55
Our probability · apea win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 37% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
APEA win41%37%+4
Draw25%28%−3
Spartakos Kitiou win35%35%0
Over 2.5 goals53%49%+5
Both teams to score56%54%+2
Over 1.5 goals77%72%+5
Over 3.5 goals32%29%+3
APEA or draw65%65%0
APEA clean sheet27%––
Spartakos Kitiou clean sheet24%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.3%
0123450 6.3 8.1 5.4 2.5 1 8.9 11.3 7.5 3.5 2 6.5 8.3 5.5 2.5 3 3.3 4.2 2.8 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+APEA down, Spartakos Kitiou across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2025
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.51 of 3
Both scored0 of 3
Last meetingsAPE 4–0 SPA · SPA 2–0 APE · APE 0–0 SPA

Form · last six in 2. Division

APEA

LWWWDW1–3 · 4–0 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 3–3 · 1–0

SPARTAKOS KITIOU

WLLWLW3–0 · 0–4 · 0–1 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 4–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Ethnikos Achna2+56
2Enosis2+34
3ASIL Lysi2+24
4Iraklis Yerolakkou2+24
5Doxa2+14
6APEA2+14
7Spartakos Kitiou2+23
8Ermis2+13
9PAEEK2−13
10Polemidion2−23
11Digenis Morphou2−11
12Ayia Napa2−21
13Akritas2−21
14Halkanoras2−21
15MEAP Nisou2−31
16Anagennisi Deryneia2−40

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.