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Akritas v Iraklis Yerolakkou
Akritas
Iraklis Yerolakkou2. Division · SAT 17 OCT · Stelios Kyriakides Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Akritas win at 42%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Akritas 42% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 42–30–29
- 1′KICK-OFF Akritas v Iraklis Yerolakkou
- 34′THE CALL SWINGS · 34' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Akritas win 35%)
- 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Akritas win: 42% at kick-off, 32% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Akritas 0–0 Iraklis Yerolakkou
- 46′SECOND HALF Akritas 0–0 Iraklis Yerolakkou
- 49′We said Akritas at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 30%. 0–0 · 30–48–22
- 51′We said Akritas at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–49–22
- 62′We said Akritas at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–58–18
- 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' Akritas win: 42% at kick-off, 22% now
- 70′We said Akritas at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–66–15
- 77′We said Akritas at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–75–11
- 79′We said Akritas at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 12%. 0–0 · 12–79–9
- 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Akritas win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
- 82′We said Akritas at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–84–7
- 89′We said Akritas at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–92–3
- FTFULL TIME Akritas 0–0 Iraklis Yerolakkou
- FTAkritas 0–0 Iraklis Yerolakkou · Akritas win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassAkritas are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Akritas 42%, draw 29%, Iraklis Yerolakkou 29%. Over 2.5 goals 35%, both teams to score 41%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Akritas win42%
Iraklis Yerolakkou win29%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:30
RoundMatchday 4
VenueStelios Kyriakides Stadium
Match timeline
All events
AkritasMIN
Iraklis YerolakkouEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Akritas
Iraklis Yerolakkou
Last match: 10 Oct · 2. Division (Cyprus)
Last match: 10 Oct · 2. Division (Cyprus)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Akritas a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 61%. We are 19 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–0.9.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 61% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Akritas win | 42% | 61% | −19 |
| Draw | 29% | 23% | +6 |
| Iraklis Yerolakkou win | 29% | 15% | +14 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 51% | −16 |
| Both teams to score | 41% | 49% | −8 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 62% | 74% | −12 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17% | 31% | −14 |
| Akritas or draw | 71% | 85% | −14 |
| Akritas clean sheet | 40% | – | – |
| Iraklis Yerolakkou clean sheet | 32% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · 2. Division this season · since 11 Sept
AKRITAS
IRAKLIS YEROLAKKOU
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Enosis | 4 | +5 | 10 |
| 2 | Ethnikos Achna | 3 | +10 | 9 |
| 3 | ASIL Lysi | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 4 | Doxa | 3 | +2 | 7 |
| 5 | PAEEK | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Ermis | 3 | +2 | 6 |
| 7 | APEA | 3 | +1 | 5 |
| 8 | Spartakos Kitiou | 3 | +2 | 4 |
| 9 | Digenis Morphou | 3 | +1 | 4 |
| 10 | Iraklis Yerolakkou | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Polemidion | 3 | −3 | 3 |
| 12 | Ayia Napa | 3 | −3 | 1 |
| 13 | Halkanoras | 3 | −3 | 1 |
| 14 | Akritas | 3 | −3 | 1 |
| 15 | MEAP Nisou | 3 | −8 | 1 |
| 16 | Anagennisi Deryneia | 3 | −6 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Enosis
Ethnikos Achna
ASIL Lysi
Doxa
PAEEK
Ermis
APEA
Spartakos Kitiou
Digenis Morphou
Polemidion
Ayia Napa
Halkanoras
MEAP Nisou
Anagennisi Deryneia