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Zagora v Slavonija Požega

Zagora
2–2Full time
Slavonija Požega

Second NL · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 17:33
Zagora 2–2 Slavonija Požega ZAGORA WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Zagora win52%
The market said53%
Brier score, this match · lower is better1.002
The market’s Brier score0.918

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 9 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Zagora win at 52%.
  2. 3′Much as we predicted: Zagora was 52% before kick-off and our model makes it 52% now. 0–0 · 52–20–28
  3. 3′KICK-OFF Zagora v Slavonija Požega
  4. 6′⚽ GOAL · 6' Zagora 1–0 Slavonija Požega
  5. 13′⚽ GOAL · 12' Zagora 2–0 Slavonija Požega
  6. 21′M. Maretic scores for Zagora on 11′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 88–8–4
  7. 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 21' Zagora win: 52% at kick-off, 88% now
  8. 41′We published Zagora at 52%. Our model now makes it 91%. 2–0 · 91–7–2
  9. 45′HALF-TIME Zagora 2–0 Slavonija Požega
  10. 48′SECOND HALF Zagora 2–0 Slavonija Požega
  11. 63′⚽ GOAL · 62' Zagora 2–1 Slavonija Požega
  12. 68′⚽ GOAL · 67' Zagora 2–2 Slavonija Požega
  13. FTFULL TIME Zagora 2–2 Slavonija Požega
  14. FTZagora 2–2 Slavonija Požega · Zagora win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Zagora win52%
Draw19%
Slavonija Požega win29%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · zagora winPublished 10 Oct 14:40
52% The market53%
Us52%
Market53%

We make Zagora a 52% chance to win. The market has them at 53%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 2.3–1.7.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Zagora win52%53%−1
Draw19%24%−4
Slavonija Požega win29%24%+5
Over 2.5 goals75%61%+15
Both teams to score72%63%+9
Over 1.5 goals90%82%+8
Over 3.5 goals56%41%+15
Zagora or draw71%76%−5
Zagora clean sheet19%––
Slavonija Požega clean sheet11%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 7.8%
0123450 2.1 3.3 2.7 1 4.5 7.1 5.9 3.4 2 4.9 7.8 6.5 3.7 3 3.7 6.0 4.9 2.8 4 2.2 3.5 2.9 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Zagora down, Slavonija Požega across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2022

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Second NL

ZAGORA

DDDWWL4–4 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 5–0 · 3–1 · 0–4

SLAVONIJA POŽEGA

DLLWDW2–2 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 3–2 · 3–3 · 2–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Uskok Klis7+1115
2Bjelovar7+714
3Uljanik8+114
4Trnje7+513
5Dugo Selo7+513
6Solin7+211
7Jarun6+410
8Križevci8−310
9Hrvatski Dragovoljac8−410
10Zagora7+19
11Slavonija Požega708
12Inter Zapresic7−28
13Grobničan Čavle7−87
14Lucko7−35
15Koprivnica7−85
16Varteks Varaždin7−85

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.