Trnje v Zagora

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Trnje win at 46%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Trnje was 46% before kick-off and our model makes it 46% now. 0–0 · 46–22–32
3. 1′KICK-OFF Trnje v Zagora
4. 19′Trnje find the net on 19′. 1–0. 1–0 · 68–18–14
5. 19′⚽ GOAL · 19' Trnje 1–0 Zagora
6. 19′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 19' Trnje win: 46% at kick-off, 68% now
7. 20′We published Trnje at 46%. Our model now makes it 68%. 1–0 · 68–18–13
8. 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.5 we expected. 1–0 · 69–19–12
9. 33′We published Trnje at 46%. Our model now makes it 70%. 1–0 · 70–19–11
10. 45′HALF-TIME Trnje 1–0 Zagora
11. 46′SECOND HALF Trnje 1–0 Zagora
12. 50′⚽ GOAL · 49' Trnje 1–1 Zagora
13. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Trnje win: 46% at kick-off, 36% now
14. 51′A goal for Zagora on 49′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 36–36–28
15. 51′Much as we predicted: Trnje was 46% before kick-off and our model makes it 36% now. 1–1 · 36–36–28
16. 52′Goals are coming at about the 3.5 we expected. 1–1 · 36–37–27
17. 56′We said Trnje at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–39–26
18. 56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Trnje win 34%)
19. 66′We said Trnje at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–48–23
20. 70′Trnje score on 70′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 79–17–3
21. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Trnje win: 46% at kick-off, 26% now
22. 70′⚽ GOAL · 70' Trnje 2–1 Zagora
23. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' Trnje win: 46% at kick-off, 79% now
24. 70′THE CALL SWINGS · 70' Trnje win is now our likeliest result at 79% (was Draw 17%)
25. 71′We published Trnje at 46%. Our model now makes it 80%. 2–1 · 80–17–3
26. 78′Zagora find the net on 78′. 2–2. 2–2 · 19–66–15
27. 78′We said Trnje at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 19–66–15
28. 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Trnje 2–2 Zagora
29. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Trnje win: 46% at kick-off, 19% now
30. 78′THE CALL SWINGS · 78' Draw is now our likeliest result at 66% (was Trnje win 19%)
31. 79′4 goals already, more than the 3.5 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 18–68–14
32. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Trnje win: 46% at kick-off, 16% now
33. 82′We said Trnje at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 14–75–11
34. 86′We said Trnje at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 9–83–8
35. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Trnje win: 46% at kick-off, 6% now
36. 92′We said Trnje at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–93–3
37. FTFULL TIME Trnje 2–2 Zagora
38. FTTrnje 2–2 Zagora · Trnje win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.