

Križevci v Lucko
Križevci
LuckoSecond NL · SAT 17 OCT · Gradski stadion Krizevci
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Križevci win at 55%.
- 2′Much as we predicted: Križevci was 55% before kick-off and our model makes it 55% now. 0–0 · 55–25–21
- 2′KICK-OFF Križevci v Lucko
- 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Križevci win: 55% at kick-off, 45% now
- 42′We said Križevci at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 43%. 0–0 · 43–37–19
- 45′We published Križevci at 55%. Our model now makes it 81%. 1–0 · 81–15–4
- 45′Goals are coming at about the 2.6 we expected. 1–0 · 81–15–4
- 45′HALF-TIME Križevci 1–0 Lucko
- 46′SECOND HALF Križevci 1–0 Lucko
- 47′A goal for Križevci on 45′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 81–15–4
- 47′⚽ GOAL · 45+2' Križevci 1–0 Lucko
- 47′PENALTY MISSED · 45+2' Križevci
- 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+2' Križevci win: 55% at kick-off, 81% now
- 51′A goal for Križevci on 45′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 82–15–3
- 51′We published Križevci at 55%. Our model now makes it 82%. 1–0 · 82–15–3
- 63′We published Križevci at 55%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
- 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 63' Križevci win: 55% at kick-off, 85% now
- 64′Lucko score on 64′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 31–54–15
- 64′We said Križevci at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 31%. 1–1 · 31–54–15
- 64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Križevci 1–1 Lucko
- 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Križevci win: 55% at kick-off, 31% now
- 64′THE CALL SWINGS · 64' Draw is now our likeliest result at 54% (was Križevci win 31%)
- 65′Goals are coming at about the 2.6 we expected. 1–1 · 30–55–15
- 67′We said Križevci at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–57–14
- 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Križevci win: 55% at kick-off, 25% now
- 72′We said Križevci at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–63–12
- 77′We said Križevci at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–71–10
- 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Križevci win: 55% at kick-off, 15% now
- 81′We said Križevci at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–78–7
- 85′We said Križevci at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–86–5
- 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Križevci win: 55% at kick-off, 5% now
- 91′We said Križevci at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–93–2
- FTFULL TIME Križevci 1–1 Lucko
- FTKriževci 1–1 Lucko · Križevci win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassKriževci are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Križevci 55%, draw 24%, Lucko 21%. Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 48%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Križevci win55%
Lucko win21%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:00
RoundMatchday 9
VenueGradski stadion Krizevci
Match timeline
All events
KriževciMIN
LuckoEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Križevci
Lucko
Last match: 9 Oct · Second NL
Last match: 10 Oct · Second NL
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Križevci a 55% chance to win. The market has them at 52%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–0.9.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 52% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Križevci win | 55% | 52% | +3 |
| Draw | 24% | 26% | −2 |
| Lucko win | 21% | 22% | −1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 52% | −5 |
| Both teams to score | 48% | 54% | −6 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 75% | −3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 32% | −6 |
| Križevci or draw | 79% | 78% | +1 |
| Križevci clean sheet | 41% | – | – |
| Lucko clean sheet | 19% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2020/21Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Second NL this season · since 4 Sept
KRIŽEVCI
LUCKO
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dugo Selo | 8 | +7 | 16 |
| 2 | Uskok Klis | 7 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 | Bjelovar | 8 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 | Uljanik | 9 | −1 | 14 |
| 5 | Jarun | 7 | +5 | 13 |
| 6 | Trnje | 8 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 | Solin | 8 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 | Inter Zapresic | 8 | −1 | 11 |
| 9 | Grobničan Čavle | 9 | −6 | 11 |
| 10 | Zagora | 8 | +1 | 10 |
| 11 | Križevci | 8 | −3 | 10 |
| 12 | Hrvatski Dragovoljac | 8 | −4 | 10 |
| 13 | Slavonija Požega | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 | Lucko | 8 | −2 | 8 |
| 15 | Koprivnica | 8 | −9 | 5 |
| 16 | Varteks Varaždin | 8 | −9 | 5 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Dugo Selo
Uskok Klis
Bjelovar
Uljanik
Jarun
Trnje
Solin
Inter Zapresic
Grobničan Čavle
Zagora
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
Slavonija Požega
Koprivnica
Varteks Varaždin