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Koprivnica v Inter Zapresic

Koprivnica

1–2Full time

Inter Zapresic

Second NL · MON 12 OCT

Full timeGraded 12 Oct 19:31

Koprivnica 1–2 Inter Zapresic KOPRIVNICA WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Koprivnica win~~40%

~~The market said~~42%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.617

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.705

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay7 notes · 25 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Koprivnica win at 40%.
10′Much as we predicted: Koprivnica was 40% before kick-off and our model makes it 39% now. 0–0 · 39–25–36
16′Much as we predicted: Koprivnica was 40% before kick-off and our model makes it 39% now. 0–0 · 39–26–35
17′Much as we predicted: Koprivnica was 40% before kick-off and our model makes it 38% now. 0–0 · 38–27–35
22′23′ and it is 0–1: Inter Zapresic have scored. 0–1 · 16–21–62
24′We said Koprivnica at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 16%. 0–1 · 16–22–63
24′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 24' Koprivnica win: 40% at kick-off, 16% now
24′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 24' Koprivnica win: 40% at kick-off, 38% now
25′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 25' Koprivnica win: 40% at kick-off, 38% now
25′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 25' Koprivnica win: 40% at kick-off, 16% now
26′22′ and it is 0–1: K. Kovacevic on the scoresheet for Inter Zapresic. 0–1 · 16–22–63
26′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 26' Koprivnica win: 40% at kick-off, 16% now
26′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 26' Koprivnica win: 40% at kick-off, 38% now
27′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 27' Koprivnica win: 40% at kick-off, 38% now
27′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 27' Koprivnica win: 40% at kick-off, 16% now
28′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 28' Koprivnica win: 40% at kick-off, 16% now
28′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 28' Koprivnica win: 40% at kick-off, 38% now
28′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 28' Koprivnica win: 40% at kick-off, 15% now
29′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 29' Koprivnica win: 40% at kick-off, 38% now
29′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 29' Koprivnica win: 40% at kick-off, 15% now
30′Goals are coming at about the 3.2 we expected. 0–1 · 15–22–63
30′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 30' Koprivnica win: 40% at kick-off, 38% now
30′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 30' Koprivnica win: 40% at kick-off, 15% now
31′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 31' Koprivnica win: 40% at kick-off, 38% now
31′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 31' Koprivnica win: 40% at kick-off, 15% now
32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Koprivnica win: 40% at kick-off, 38% now
32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Koprivnica win: 40% at kick-off, 15% now
34′⚽ GOAL · 22' Koprivnica 0–1 Inter Zapresic · K. Kovacevic
63′⚽ GOAL · 63' Koprivnica 0–2 Inter Zapresic · K. Kovacevic
71′⚽ GOAL · 60' Koprivnica 0–1 Inter Zapresic
90′⚽ GOAL · 93' Koprivnica 1–2 Inter Zapresic
92′⚽ GOAL · 92' Koprivnica 1–2 Inter Zapresic · K. Kovacevic
FTFULL TIME Koprivnica 1–2 Inter Zapresic
FTKoprivnica 1–2 Inter Zapresic · Koprivnica win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with a pass — 7 days or 30 days.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published 12 Oct 17:02 · locked at kick-off

Koprivnica win40%

Draw23%

Inter Zapresic win37%

Kick-offMON 12 OCT · 17:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Koprivnica

Inter Zapresic

9Days since last match9

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
12	Inter Zapresic	7	−2	8
15	Koprivnica	7	−8	5

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · koprivnica winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · locked at kick-off

40% The market42%

Us40%

~~Market~~42%

We make Koprivnica a 40% chance to win. The market has them at 42%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.6–1.5.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · koprivnica win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 42% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Koprivnica win	40%	42%	−1
Draw	23%	26%	−3
Inter Zapresic win	37%	32%	+5
Over 2.5 goals	61%	57%	+4
Both teams to score	62%	60%	+2
Over 1.5 goals	82%	78%	+4
Over 3.5 goals	39%	36%	+3
Koprivnica or draw	63%	68%	−5
Koprivnica clean sheet	22%	–	–
Inter Zapresic clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.3%

0123450 4.5 6.7 5.1 2.6 1 7.0 10.3 7.8 4.1 2 5.6 8.2 6.3 3.3 3 3.1 4.5 3.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Koprivnica down, Inter Zapresic across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,031 Second NL matches up to 12 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Second NL matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.3% of games this season, across 62 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Koprivnica at home: 0.67 scored, 2.33 conceded a game (last 3). Inter Zapresic away: 1.40 scored, 1.60 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

1.63 goals for Koprivnica, 1.54 for Inter Zapresic. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2022

No meeting of these two in Second NL since 2022 in our records. Only this competition's matches are held here: cup ties and meetings in other leagues are not, and we say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Second NL

KOPRIVNICA

DLLLLD2–2 · 0–1 · 0–3 · 1–5 · 0–2 · 1–1

INTER ZAPRESIC

WDLWLD3–0 · 2–2 · 2–3 · 2–0 · 0–3 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Dugo Selo	8	+7	16
2	Uskok Klis	7	+11	15
3	Bjelovar	8	+5	14
4	Uljanik	8	+1	14
5	Jarun	7	+5	13
6	Trnje	8	+4	13
7	Solin	8	+2	12
8	Zagora	8	+1	10
9	Križevci	8	−3	10
10	Hrvatski Dragovoljac	8	−4	10
11	Slavonija Požega	8	0	9
12	Inter Zapresic	7	−2	8
13	Lucko	8	−2	8
14	Grobničan Čavle	8	−8	8
15	Koprivnica	7	−8	5
16	Varteks Varaždin	8	−9	5