

Inter Zapresic v Jarun
Inter Zapresic
JarunSecond NL · SAT 17 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Inter Zapresic win at 44%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Inter Zapresic 44% before kick-off, 43% now. 0–0 · 43–23–33
- 1′KICK-OFF Inter Zapresic v Jarun
- 15′Inter Zapresic find the net on 15′. 1–0. 1–0 · 68–19–14
- 15′⚽ GOAL · 15' Inter Zapresic 1–0 Jarun
- 15′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 15' Inter Zapresic win: 44% at kick-off, 68% now
- 16′We said Inter Zapresic at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 68%. 1–0 · 68–19–14
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.1 we expected. 1–0 · 69–20–11
- 34′We said Inter Zapresic at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 1–0 · 70–20–11
- 45′HALF-TIME Inter Zapresic 1–0 Jarun
- 46′SECOND HALF Inter Zapresic 1–0 Jarun
- 50′A goal for Inter Zapresic on 50′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 92–6–2
- 50′We said Inter Zapresic at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 92%. 2–0 · 92–6–2
- 50′⚽ GOAL · 50' Inter Zapresic 2–0 Jarun
- 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Inter Zapresic win: 44% at kick-off, 92% now
- 52′A goal for Inter Zapresic on 50′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 93–6–1
- 52′We said Inter Zapresic at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 93%. 2–0 · 93–6–1
- 53′The goal count is tracking the 3.1 we expected. 2–0 · 93–6–1
- 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Inter Zapresic win: 44% at kick-off, 94% now
- 60′We said Inter Zapresic at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–0 · 95–5–1
- 77′Jarun score on 77′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 85–14–2
- 77′⚽ GOAL · 77' Inter Zapresic 2–1 Jarun
- 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Inter Zapresic win: 44% at kick-off, 85% now
- 78′We said Inter Zapresic at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 86%. 2–1 · 86–13–1
- 80′Jarun find the net on 80′. 2–2. 2–2 · 15–73–12
- 80′⚽ GOAL · 80' Inter Zapresic 2–2 Jarun
- 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Inter Zapresic win: 44% at kick-off, 15% now
- 80′THE CALL SWINGS · 80' Draw is now our likeliest result at 73% (was Inter Zapresic win 15%)
- 81′We said Inter Zapresic at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 14–75–11
- 81′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.1 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 14–75–11
- 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Inter Zapresic win: 44% at kick-off, 14% now
- 85′We said Inter Zapresic at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 9–83–8
- 91′We said Inter Zapresic at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–92–4
- 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+1' Inter Zapresic win: 44% at kick-off, 4% now
- FTFULL TIME Inter Zapresic 2–2 Jarun
- FTInter Zapresic 2–2 Jarun · Inter Zapresic win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassInter Zapresic are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Inter Zapresic 44%, draw 23%, Jarun 33%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 61%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Inter Zapresic win44%
Jarun win33%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:00
RoundMatchday 9
Match timeline
All events
Inter ZapresicMIN
JarunEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Inter Zapresic
Jarun
Last match: 12 Oct · Second NL
Last match: 10 Oct · Second NL
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Inter Zapresic a 44% chance to win. The market has them at 42%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.7–1.4.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 42%, 44% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 42% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Zapresic win | 44% | 42% | +2 |
| Draw | 23% | 28% | −5 |
| Jarun win | 33% | 30% | +3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 54% | +6 |
| Both teams to score | 61% | 59% | +2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 77% | +4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 34% | +4 |
| Inter Zapresic or draw | 67% | 70% | −3 |
| Inter Zapresic clean sheet | 24% | – | – |
| Jarun clean sheet | 19% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Second NL this season · since 29 Aug
INTER ZAPRESIC
JARUN
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dugo Selo | 8 | +7 | 16 |
| 2 | Uskok Klis | 7 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 | Bjelovar | 8 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 | Uljanik | 9 | −1 | 14 |
| 5 | Jarun | 7 | +5 | 13 |
| 6 | Trnje | 8 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 | Solin | 8 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 | Inter Zapresic | 8 | −1 | 11 |
| 9 | Grobničan Čavle | 9 | −6 | 11 |
| 10 | Zagora | 8 | +1 | 10 |
| 11 | Križevci | 8 | −3 | 10 |
| 12 | Hrvatski Dragovoljac | 8 | −4 | 10 |
| 13 | Slavonija Požega | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 | Lucko | 8 | −2 | 8 |
| 15 | Koprivnica | 8 | −9 | 5 |
| 16 | Varteks Varaždin | 8 | −9 | 5 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Dugo Selo
Uskok Klis
Bjelovar
Uljanik
Trnje
Solin
Grobničan Čavle
Zagora
Križevci
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
Slavonija Požega
Lucko
Koprivnica
Varteks Varaždin