

Grobničan Čavle v Uljanik
Grobničan Čavle
UljanikSecond NL · FRI 16 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Uljanik win at 45%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Uljanik was 45% before kick-off and our model makes it 45% now. 0–0 · 34–21–45
- 1′KICK-OFF Grobničan Čavle v Uljanik
- 2′Grobničan Čavle score on 1′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 55–19–26
- 2′⚽ GOAL · 1' Grobničan Čavle 1–0 Uljanik
- 2′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 2' Uljanik win: 45% at kick-off, 26% now
- 2′THE CALL SWINGS · 2' Grobničan Čavle win is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Uljanik win 26%)
- 3′We said Uljanik at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 25%. 1–0 · 55–19–25
- 3′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 3' Uljanik win: 45% at kick-off, 25% now
- 8′We said Uljanik at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–0 · 56–20–24
- 30′We said Uljanik at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 59–22–19
- 31′Goals are coming at about the 3.9 we expected. 1–0 · 59–22–19
- 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Uljanik win: 45% at kick-off, 15% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Grobničan Čavle 1–0 Uljanik
- 46′SECOND HALF Grobničan Čavle 1–0 Uljanik
- 47′We said Uljanik at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 62–23–14
- 61′We said Uljanik at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–0 · 67–23–9
- 64′Grobničan Čavle find the net on 64′. 2–0. 2–0 · 92–7–2
- 64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Grobničan Čavle 2–0 Uljanik
- 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Uljanik win: 45% at kick-off, 2% now
- 65′We said Uljanik at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 1%. 2–0 · 92–6–1
- FTFULL TIME Grobničan Čavle 2–0 Uljanik
- FTGrobničan Čavle 2–0 Uljanik · Uljanik win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 1–2 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassUljanik are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Grobničan Čavle 34%, draw 20%, Uljanik 45%. Over 2.5 goals 74%, both teams to score 72%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off
Grobničan Čavle win34%
Uljanik win45%Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 14:00
RoundMatchday 9
Match timeline
All events
Grobničan ČavleMIN
UljanikEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Grobničan Čavle
Uljanik
Last match: 11 Oct · Second NL
Last match: 9 Oct · Second NL
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Uljanik a 45% chance to win. The market has them at 49%. We are 4 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–2.1.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 46%, 45% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 49% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grobničan Čavle win | 34% | 26% | +8 |
| Draw | 20% | 25% | −5 |
| Uljanik win | 45% | 49% | −4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 74% | 60% | +14 |
| Both teams to score | 72% | 61% | +11 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89% | 79% | +10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 54% | 39% | +15 |
| Grobničan Čavle or draw | 55% | 51% | +4 |
| Grobničan Čavle clean sheet | 13% | – | – |
| Uljanik clean sheet | 17% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
8 meetings since 2020/21Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Second NL this season · since 4 Sept
GROBNIČAN ČAVLE
ULJANIK
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dugo Selo | 8 | +7 | 16 |
| 2 | Uskok Klis | 7 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 | Bjelovar | 8 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 | Uljanik | 8 | +1 | 14 |
| 5 | Jarun | 7 | +5 | 13 |
| 6 | Trnje | 8 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 | Solin | 8 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 | Inter Zapresic | 8 | −1 | 11 |
| 9 | Zagora | 8 | +1 | 10 |
| 10 | Križevci | 8 | −3 | 10 |
| 11 | Hrvatski Dragovoljac | 8 | −4 | 10 |
| 12 | Slavonija Požega | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Lucko | 8 | −2 | 8 |
| 14 | Grobničan Čavle | 8 | −8 | 8 |
| 15 | Koprivnica | 8 | −9 | 5 |
| 16 | Varteks Varaždin | 8 | −9 | 5 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Dugo Selo
Uskok Klis
Bjelovar
Jarun
Trnje
Solin
Inter Zapresic
Zagora
Križevci
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
Slavonija Požega
Lucko
Koprivnica
Varteks Varaždin