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Dugo Selo v Bjelovar

Dugo Selo
3–1Full time
Bjelovar

Second NL · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 17:33
Dugo Selo 3–1 Bjelovar DUGO SELO WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Dugo Selo win37%
The market said42%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.596
The market’s Brier score0.499

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 8 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Dugo Selo win at 37%.
  2. 2′KICK-OFF Dugo Selo v Bjelovar
  3. 3′Much as we predicted: Dugo Selo was 37% before kick-off and our model makes it 37% now. 0–0 · 37–27–36
  4. 39′Dugo Selo find the net on 37′. 1–0. 1–0 · 69–22–9
  5. 39′⚽ GOAL · 37' Dugo Selo 1–0 Bjelovar
  6. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' Dugo Selo win: 37% at kick-off, 69% now
  7. 45′HALF-TIME Dugo Selo 1–0 Bjelovar
  8. 46′SECOND HALF Dugo Selo 1–0 Bjelovar
  9. 52′⚽ GOAL · 50' Dugo Selo 1–1 Bjelovar
  10. 82′⚽ GOAL · 79' Dugo Selo 2–1 Bjelovar
  11. FTFULL TIME Dugo Selo 3–1 Bjelovar
  12. FTDugo Selo 3–1 Bjelovar · Dugo Selo win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Dugo Selo win37%
Draw27%
Bjelovar win36%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · dugo selo winPublished 10 Oct 14:40
37% The market42%
Us37%
Market42%

We make Dugo Selo a 37% chance to win. The market has them at 42%. We are 5 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.2.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Dugo Selo win37%42%−5
Draw27%26%0
Bjelovar win36%31%+5
Over 2.5 goals46%54%−8
Both teams to score50%58%−7
Over 1.5 goals71%76%−5
Over 3.5 goals25%33%−8
Dugo Selo or draw64%69%−5
Dugo Selo clean sheet29%––
Bjelovar clean sheet29%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.4%
0123450 8.5 10.2 6.3 2.7 1 10.4 12.4 7.7 3.3 2 6.5 7.9 4.9 2.1 3 2.8 3.4 2.1 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Dugo Selo down, Bjelovar across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2022
Goals a meeting4.00
Over 2.55 of 8
Both scored5 of 8
Last meetingsBJE 3–0 DUG · DUG 0–2 BJE · BJE 3–2 DUG · DUG 2–5 BJE

Form · last six in Second NL

DUGO SELO

WLLWWW1–0 · 0–3 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 3–0 · 4–0

BJELOVAR

LWWWDD0–2 · 4–1 · 4–0 · 3–2 · 1–1 · 0–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Uskok Klis7+1115
2Bjelovar7+714
3Uljanik8+114
4Trnje7+513
5Dugo Selo7+513
6Solin7+211
7Jarun6+410
8Križevci8−310
9Hrvatski Dragovoljac8−410
10Zagora7+19
11Slavonija Požega708
12Inter Zapresic7−28
13Grobničan Čavle7−87
14Lucko7−35
15Koprivnica7−85
16Varteks Varaždin7−85

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.