Vukovar v Dubrava Zagreb

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Vukovar win at 63%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Vukovar 63% before kick-off, 62% now. 0–0 · 62–21–17
3. 1′KICK-OFF Vukovar v Dubrava Zagreb
4. 16′Dubrava Zagreb score on 16′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 31–27–42
5. 16′⚽ GOAL · 16' Vukovar 0–1 Dubrava Zagreb
6. 16′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 16' Vukovar win: 63% at kick-off, 31% now
7. 16′THE CALL SWINGS · 16' Dubrava Zagreb win is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Vukovar win 31%)
8. 17′We said Vukovar at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 31%. 0–1 · 31–27–42
9. 21′We said Vukovar at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–1 · 29–28–43
10. 22′18′: M. Fintic on the scoresheet for Dubrava Zagreb, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 29–28–43
11. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.7 we expected. 0–1 · 25–29–46
12. 32′Vukovar find the net on 31′. 1–1. 1–1 · 53–30–17
13. 32′⚽ GOAL · 31' Vukovar 1–1 Dubrava Zagreb
14. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 32' Vukovar win: 63% at kick-off, 53% now
15. 32′THE CALL SWINGS · 32' Vukovar win is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Dubrava Zagreb win 17%)
16. 37′Vukovar find the net on 31′. 1–1. 1–1 · 51–33–16
17. 38′We said Vukovar at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 51%. 1–1 · 51–33–16
18. 40′A goal for Dubrava Zagreb on 40′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 21–29–50
19. 40′⚽ GOAL · 40' Vukovar 1–2 Dubrava Zagreb
20. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Vukovar win: 63% at kick-off, 21% now
21. 40′THE CALL SWINGS · 40' Dubrava Zagreb win is now our likeliest result at 50% (was Vukovar win 21%)
22. 41′We said Vukovar at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 20%. 1–2 · 20–29–51
23. 41′3 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 20–29–51
24. 43′We said Vukovar at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–2 · 19–29–52
25. 45′HALF-TIME Vukovar 1–2 Dubrava Zagreb
26. 46′SECOND HALF Vukovar 1–2 Dubrava Zagreb
27. 52′🟨 YELLOW · 52' Dubrava Zagreb
28. 52′🟨 YELLOW · 52' Vukovar
29. 53′We said Vukovar at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–2 · 14–29–57
30. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Vukovar win: 63% at kick-off, 13% now
31. 63′We said Vukovar at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–2 · 9–27–64
32. 64′Dubrava Zagreb score on 64′ to make it 1–3. 1–3 · 2–7–91
33. 64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Vukovar 1–3 Dubrava Zagreb
34. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Vukovar win: 63% at kick-off, 2% now
35. 65′We said Vukovar at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 1%. 1–3 · 1–7–92
36. 66′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 1–3 · 1–6–92
37. 68′🟨 YELLOW · 68' Vukovar
38. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Dubrava Zagreb · On: J. Okeke · Off: I. Dominic Corrected
39. 69′🟨 YELLOW · 69' Vukovar
40. 73′🟨 YELLOW · 73' Dubrava Zagreb
41. 85′🟨 YELLOW · 84' Vukovar
42. 86′🟨 YELLOW · 85' Dubrava Zagreb
43. 92′Vukovar find the net on 90′. 2–3. 2–3 · 0–4–96
44. 92′5 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 2–3 · 0–4–96
45. 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+1' Vukovar 2–3 Dubrava Zagreb
46. FTFULL TIME Vukovar 2–3 Dubrava Zagreb
47. FTVukovar 3–2 Dubrava Zagreb · Vukovar win: right · Over 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.