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Orijent 1919 v Dubrava Zagreb

Orijent 1919
2–1Full time
Dubrava Zagreb

First NL · SAT 10 OCT · Stadion Krimeja

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 13:46
Orijent 1919 2–1 Dubrava Zagreb ORIJENT 1919 WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Orijent 1919 win50%
The market said49%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.375
The market’s Brier score0.384

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 12 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Orijent 1919 win at 50%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Orijent 1919 was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 50% now. 0–0 · 50–26–24
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Orijent 1919 v Dubrava Zagreb
  4. 28′🟨 YELLOW · 27' Orijent 1919
  5. 30′🟨 YELLOW · 30' Orijent 1919
  6. 45′We said Orijent 1919 at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 38%. 0–0 · 38–41–21
  7. 45′HALF-TIME Orijent 1919 0–0 Dubrava Zagreb
  8. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Orijent 1919 win: 50% at kick-off, 38% now
  9. 46′SECOND HALF Orijent 1919 0–0 Dubrava Zagreb
  10. 49′🟨 YELLOW · 48' Dubrava Zagreb
  11. 56′⚽ GOAL · 56' Orijent 1919 1–0 Dubrava Zagreb
  12. 64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Orijent 1919 2–0 Dubrava Zagreb
  13. 68′⚽ GOAL · 67' Orijent 1919 2–1 Dubrava Zagreb
  14. 76′🟨 YELLOW · 76' Orijent 1919
  15. FTFULL TIME Orijent 1919 2–1 Dubrava Zagreb
  16. FTOrijent 1919 2–1 Dubrava Zagreb · Orijent 1919 win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Orijent 1919 win50%
Draw25%
Dubrava Zagreb win25%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 11:00

Venue · Stadion Krimeja

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Orijent 1919

Formation not confirmed

1 D. I. Maric

4 D. Prpic

2 V. Sare

5 D. Zubovic

17 C. Agada

25 T. Sibi

26 E. Biber

16 E. Vinars

10 F. Andrijasevic

9 M. Ilicic

20 J. Bilajac

Coach · –

Substitutes

12 · N. Vucetic

27 · L. Matic

28 · M. Tadejevic

3 · P. Majdandzic

24 · F. Pecek

22 · F. Cirjak

6 · A. Cumurdzic

29 · M. Radaic

15 · D. Ruzic

Dubrava Zagreb

Formation not confirmed

30 J. Cundekovic

3 N. Radujkovic

24 L. Kristo

5 T. Ljubanovic

2 J. Palic

8 M. Tunjic

4 M. Novak-Stanko

21 M. Karadakic

10 M. Fintic

14 M. Vrdoljak

19 B. Olabige

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · D. Maricevic

26 · J. Okeke

22 · I. Dominic

15 · D. Omazic

6 · S. Ibrahim

25 · M. Prenkpalaj

9 · H. Al Ghoul

23 · J. Dzolan

18 · K. Lekaj

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Orijent 1919

Formation not confirmed

1 D. I. Maric

4 D. Prpic

2 V. Sare

5 D. Zubovic

17 C. Agada

25 T. Sibi

26 E. Biber

16 E. Vinars

10 F. Andrijasevic

9 M. Ilicic

20 J. Bilajac

Coach · –

Substitutes

12 · N. Vucetic

27 · L. Matic

28 · M. Tadejevic

3 · P. Majdandzic

24 · F. Pecek

22 · F. Cirjak

6 · A. Cumurdzic

29 · M. Radaic

15 · D. Ruzic

Dubrava Zagreb

Formation not confirmed

30 J. Cundekovic

3 N. Radujkovic

24 L. Kristo

5 T. Ljubanovic

2 J. Palic

8 M. Tunjic

4 M. Novak-Stanko

21 M. Karadakic

10 M. Fintic

14 M. Vrdoljak

19 B. Olabige

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · D. Maricevic

26 · J. Okeke

22 · I. Dominic

15 · D. Omazic

6 · S. Ibrahim

25 · M. Prenkpalaj

9 · H. Al Ghoul

23 · J. Dzolan

18 · K. Lekaj

Our number · orijent 1919 winPublished 10 Oct 11:13
50% The market49%
Us50%
Market49%

We make Orijent 1919 a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 49%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.5–1.0.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55%60% 9 OCT 06:1810 OCT 03:55
Our probability · orijent 1919 win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 55% to 49% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Orijent 1919 win50%49%+1
Draw25%26%−1
Dubrava Zagreb win25%24%0
Over 2.5 goals44%49%−5
Both teams to score47%52%−5
Over 1.5 goals70%72%−2
Over 3.5 goals23%28%−5
Orijent 1919 or draw75%76%0
Orijent 1919 clean sheet39%––
Dubrava Zagreb clean sheet23%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.2%
0123450 8.4 8.7 4.0 1 13.2 11.8 5.8 2 9.6 9.0 4.3 3 4.8 4.5 2.2 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Orijent 1919 down, Dubrava Zagreb across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

14 meetings since 2021
Goals a meeting2.86
Over 2.58 of 14
Both scored7 of 14
Last meetingsDUB 1–0 ORI · ORI 1–1 DUB · DUB 2–2 ORI · DUB 0–1 ORI

Form · last six in First NL

ORIJENT 1919

WDDLWL3–0 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 0–3

DUBRAVA ZAGREB

LDWDWL1–2 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 0–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Jadran LP8+515
2Mladost Ždralovi8+114
3Croatia Zmijavci7+513
4HNK Cibalia8+213
5Bsk Bijelo Brdo8+113
6Segesta Sisak7+111
7Karlovac 19198−111
8Sesvete8+110
9Dinamo Zagreb U21709
10Dugopolje709
11Dubrava Zagreb7−18
12Opatija8−28
13Orijent 19197−28
14Vukovar7−38
15Kustosija8−27
16Hrvace7−57

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.