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Mladost Ždralovi v HNK Cibalia

Mladost Ždralovi
2–1Full time
HNK Cibalia

First NL · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 17:04
Mladost Ždralovi 2–1 HNK Cibalia MLADOST ŽDRALOVI WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Mladost Ždralovi win42%
The market said43%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.498
The market’s Brier score0.495

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Mladost Ždralovi win42%
Draw27%
HNK Cibalia win31%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 14:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Mladost Ždralovi

Formation not confirmed

12 M. Grahovac

21 M. Bozanovic

5 A. Azinovic

30 M. Nikolic

7 N. Stjepanovic

8 D. Canadjija

6 T. Brezina

27 B. K. Tyongi

10 F. Ozobic

13 J. Simetic

11 N. Mandic

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · L. Misevic

4 · I. Bosnjak

14 · L. Gubijan

18 · P. Santalab

2 · R. Krapec

20 · L. Fernandes

25 · M. Kresic

9 · D. Pavkovic

19 · L. Travaglia

HNK Cibalia

Formation not confirmed

1 L. Marijanovic

21 D. Matic

20 D. Lagancic

6 Britto

5 P. Rubic

13 L. Rajkovic

14 M. Hanuljak

11 L. Bartolovic

88 K. Kamenar

7 G. Boban

9 D. Lukic

Coach · –

Substitutes

12 · P. Katalinic

3 · F. Nekic

4 · R. Kelic

18 · M. Jerkic

22 · M. Kresic

10 · P. Misic

19 · M. Medo

28 · D. Bosnjak

27 · I. Markovic

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Mladost Ždralovi

Formation not confirmed

12 M. Grahovac

21 M. Bozanovic

5 A. Azinovic

30 M. Nikolic

7 N. Stjepanovic

8 D. Canadjija

6 T. Brezina

27 B. K. Tyongi

10 F. Ozobic

13 J. Simetic

11 N. Mandic

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · L. Misevic

4 · I. Bosnjak

14 · L. Gubijan

18 · P. Santalab

2 · R. Krapec

20 · L. Fernandes

25 · M. Kresic

9 · D. Pavkovic

19 · L. Travaglia

HNK Cibalia

Formation not confirmed

1 L. Marijanovic

21 D. Matic

20 D. Lagancic

6 Britto

5 P. Rubic

13 L. Rajkovic

14 M. Hanuljak

11 L. Bartolovic

88 K. Kamenar

7 G. Boban

9 D. Lukic

Coach · –

Substitutes

12 · P. Katalinic

3 · F. Nekic

4 · R. Kelic

18 · M. Jerkic

22 · M. Kresic

10 · P. Misic

19 · M. Medo

28 · D. Bosnjak

27 · I. Markovic

Our number · mladost ždralovi winPublished 9 Oct 14:32
42% The market43%
Us42%
Market43%

We make Mladost Ždralovi a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 43%. We are within 0 points of the market. The model expects 1.3–1.1.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45% 9 OCT 06:189 OCT 07:19
Our probability · mladost ždralovi win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 42% to 43% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Mladost Ždralovi win42%43%0
Draw27%28%−2
HNK Cibalia win31%29%+2
Over 2.5 goals41%46%−5
Both teams to score46%52%−5
Over 1.5 goals67%71%−4
Over 3.5 goals21%26%−5
Mladost Ždralovi or draw69%71%−2
Mladost Ždralovi clean sheet35%––
HNK Cibalia clean sheet28%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.9%
0123450 9.4 10.7 5.4 1 12.9 12.4 6.7 2.4 2 7.9 8.2 4.3 3 3.5 3.6 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Mladost Ždralovi down, HNK Cibalia across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in First NL

MLADOST ŽDRALOVI

WWDWLL2–1 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 1–3 · 0–1

HNK CIBALIA

DDDDWW1–1 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 1–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Jadran LP7+514
2Croatia Zmijavci7+513
3HNK Cibalia7+313
4Bsk Bijelo Brdo7+213
5Segesta Sisak7+111
6Mladost Ždralovi7011
7Sesvete7+19
8Dinamo Zagreb U21709
9Dugopolje709
10Dubrava Zagreb7−18
11Karlovac 19197−28
12Orijent 19197−28
13Vukovar7−38
14Opatija7−27
15Hrvace7−57
16Kustosija7−26

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.