

HNK Cibalia v Segesta Sisak
HNK Cibalia
Segesta SisakFirst NL · SAT 17 OCT · Stadion HNK Cibalia
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said HNK Cibalia win at 51%.
- 22′Little has changed for our model: HNK Cibalia 51% before kick-off, 47% now. 0–0 · 47–30–24
- 26′🟨 YELLOW · 26' HNK Cibalia
- 29′Segesta Sisak find the net on 29′. 0–1. 0–1 · 18–26–55
- 29′⚽ GOAL · 29' HNK Cibalia 0–1 Segesta Sisak
- 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 29' HNK Cibalia win: 51% at kick-off, 18% now
- 29′THE CALL SWINGS · 29' Segesta Sisak win is now our likeliest result at 55% (was HNK Cibalia win 18%)
- 30′We said HNK Cibalia at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 0–1 · 18–26–56
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.6 we expected. 0–1 · 18–26–56
- 41′We said HNK Cibalia at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–26–59
- 43′🟨 YELLOW · 43' Segesta Sisak
- 45′HALF-TIME HNK Cibalia 0–1 Segesta Sisak
- 46′SECOND HALF HNK Cibalia 0–1 Segesta Sisak
- 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' HNK Cibalia win: 51% at kick-off, 11% now
- 54′🟨 YELLOW · 54' HNK Cibalia
- 55′We said HNK Cibalia at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–25–65
- 57′🟨 YELLOW · 56' HNK Cibalia
- 63′🟨 YELLOW · 62' Segesta Sisak
- 69′We said HNK Cibalia at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–21–74
- 72′🟨 YELLOW · 71' HNK Cibalia
- 74′A goal for Segesta Sisak on 74′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 0–3–97
- 74′⚽ GOAL · 74' HNK Cibalia 0–2 Segesta Sisak
- 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' HNK Cibalia win: 51% at kick-off, under 1% now
- 77′HNK Cibalia score on 77′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 2–16–82
- 77′⚽ GOAL · 77' HNK Cibalia 1–2 Segesta Sisak
- 78′3 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 2–15–83
- 78′🟨 YELLOW · 77' Segesta Sisak
- 80′SUBSTITUTION · 58' HNK Cibalia · On: P. Misic · Off: M. Medo
- 84′🟨 YELLOW · 84' Segesta Sisak
- 87′Segesta Sisak find the net on 86′. 1–3. 1–3 · 0–0–100
- 87′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.6 across ninety minutes. 1–3 · 0–0–100
- 87′⚽ GOAL · 86' HNK Cibalia 1–3 Segesta Sisak
- 90′A goal for Segesta Sisak on 90′ — 1–4. 1–4 · 0–0–100
- 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' HNK Cibalia 1–4 Segesta Sisak
- 91′5 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 1–4 · 0–0–100
- FTFULL TIME HNK Cibalia 1–4 Segesta Sisak
- FTHNK Cibalia 1–4 Segesta Sisak · HNK Cibalia win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassHNK Cibalia are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: HNK Cibalia 51%, draw 24%, Segesta Sisak 25%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 49%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
HNK Cibalia win51%
Segesta Sisak win25%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 17:00
RoundMatchday 9
VenueStadion HNK Cibalia
Match timeline
All events
HNK CibaliaMIN
Segesta SisakEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
HNK Cibalia
Segesta Sisak
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
HNK Cibalia
Segesta Sisak
Last match: 9 Oct · First NL
Last match: 11 Oct · First NL
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
HNK Cibalia
Formation not confirmed
1 L. Marijanovic
21 D. Matic
20 D. Lagancic
6 Britto
5 P. Rubic
14 M. Hanuljak
13 L. Rajkovic
11 L. Bartolovic
19 M. Medo
7 G. Boban
9 D. Lukic
Coach · –
Substitutes
12 · P. Katalinic
3 · F. Nekic
4 · R. Kelic
22 · M. Kresic
10 · P. Misic
17 · M. Marojevic
18 · M. Jerkic
28 · D. Bosnjak
27 · I. Markovic
Segesta Sisak
Formation not confirmed
1 I. Djilas
18 F. Mekic
6 K. Bilic
13 V. Dalic
3 N. Godec
8 I. Jajalo
10 L. Kozic
9 S. Sanogo
14 P. Brlek
25 D. Spehar
22 T. Majic
Coach · –
Substitutes
12 · L. Herceg
4 · I. Bjelivuk
5 · E. Chardey
15 · M. Rados
33 · T. Kukoc
16 · N. Culina
23 · L. Ivancic
27 · I. Radosevic
17 · S. Ivanisevic Dvornik
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
HNK Cibalia
Formation not confirmed
1 L. Marijanovic
21 D. Matic
20 D. Lagancic
6 Britto
5 P. Rubic
14 M. Hanuljak
13 L. Rajkovic
11 L. Bartolovic
19 M. Medo
7 G. Boban
9 D. Lukic
Coach · –
Substitutes
12 · P. Katalinic
3 · F. Nekic
4 · R. Kelic
22 · M. Kresic
10 · P. Misic
17 · M. Marojevic
18 · M. Jerkic
28 · D. Bosnjak
27 · I. Markovic
Segesta Sisak
Formation not confirmed
1 I. Djilas
18 F. Mekic
6 K. Bilic
13 V. Dalic
3 N. Godec
8 I. Jajalo
10 L. Kozic
9 S. Sanogo
14 P. Brlek
25 D. Spehar
22 T. Majic
Coach · –
Substitutes
12 · L. Herceg
4 · I. Bjelivuk
5 · E. Chardey
15 · M. Rados
33 · T. Kukoc
16 · N. Culina
23 · L. Ivancic
27 · I. Radosevic
17 · S. Ivanisevic Dvornik
We make HNK Cibalia a 51% chance to win. The market has them at 51%. We are level with the market. The model expects 1.6–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 49%, 51% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 51% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| HNK Cibalia win | 51% | 51% | 0 |
| Draw | 24% | 27% | −3 |
| Segesta Sisak win | 25% | 22% | +3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 49% | −1 |
| Both teams to score | 49% | 51% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 72% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 28% | −2 |
| HNK Cibalia or draw | 75% | 78% | −3 |
| HNK Cibalia clean sheet | 37% | – | – |
| Segesta Sisak clean sheet | 21% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in First NL this season · since 2 Sept
HNK CIBALIA
SEGESTA SISAK
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Croatia Zmijavci | 8 | +6 | 16 |
| 2 | Jadran LP | 8 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 | Mladost Ždralovi | 8 | +1 | 14 |
| 4 | Karlovac 1919 | 9 | 0 | 14 |
| 5 | HNK Cibalia | 8 | +2 | 13 |
| 6 | Bsk Bijelo Brdo | 8 | +1 | 13 |
| 7 | Dinamo Zagreb U21 | 9 | +1 | 12 |
| 8 | Segesta Sisak | 8 | −1 | 11 |
| 9 | Opatija | 9 | −1 | 11 |
| 10 | Orijent 1919 | 8 | −1 | 11 |
| 11 | Vukovar | 8 | −2 | 11 |
| 12 | Sesvete | 9 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Dugopolje | 8 | −1 | 9 |
| 14 | Dubrava Zagreb | 8 | −2 | 8 |
| 15 | Kustosija | 8 | −2 | 7 |
| 16 | Hrvace | 8 | −6 | 7 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Croatia Zmijavci
Jadran LP
Mladost Ždralovi
Karlovac 1919
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
Dinamo Zagreb U21
Opatija
Orijent 1919
Vukovar
Sesvete
Dugopolje
Dubrava Zagreb
Kustosija
Hrvace