Home › Football › Primera División › Sporting San Jose v San Carlos
Back

Sporting San Jose v San Carlos
Sporting San Jose
San CarlosPrimera División · TUE 20 OCT · Estadio Puente de Piedra
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Sporting San Jose win at 47%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Sporting San Jose 47% before kick-off, 47% now. 0–0 · 47–27–26
- 1′KICK-OFF Sporting San Jose v San Carlos
- 2′🟨 YELLOW · 2' San Carlos
- 8′Sporting San Jose score on 8′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 74–17–9
- 8′⚽ GOAL · 8' Sporting San Jose 1–0 San Carlos
- 8′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 8' Sporting San Jose win: 47% at kick-off, 74% now
- 9′We said Sporting San Jose at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 74%. 1–0 · 74–17–9
- 13′We said Sporting San Jose at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–17–8
- 22′7′: A. Lopez on the scoresheet for Sporting San Jose, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 75–17–7
- 25′Sporting San Jose find the net on 25′. 2–0. 2–0 · 93–6–2
- 25′⚽ GOAL · 25' Sporting San Jose 2–0 San Carlos
- 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Sporting San Jose win: 47% at kick-off, 93% now
- 26′We said Sporting San Jose at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 93%. 2–0 · 93–6–1
- 28′A goal for San Carlos on 27′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 76–18–7
- 28′⚽ GOAL · 27' Sporting San Jose 2–1 San Carlos
- 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 28' Sporting San Jose win: 47% at kick-off, 76% now
- 30′3 goals already, more than the 2.4 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 76–18–7
- 31′Sporting San Jose score on 31′ to make it 3–1. 3–1 · 94–5–1
- 31′⚽ GOAL · 31' Sporting San Jose 3–1 San Carlos
- 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 31' Sporting San Jose win: 47% at kick-off, 94% now
- 32′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.4 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 94–5–1
- 32′🟨 YELLOW · 32' Sporting San Jose
- 35′🟨 YELLOW · 35' Sporting San Jose
- 41′We said Sporting San Jose at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 3–1 · 95–4–1
- 45′HALF-TIME Sporting San Jose 3–1 San Carlos
- 46′🟨 YELLOW · 16' K. Espinoza · Sporting San Jose
- 46′SECOND HALF Sporting San Jose 3–1 San Carlos
- 49′🟨 YELLOW · 48' Sporting San Jose
- 55′San Carlos find the net on 55′. 3–2. 3–2 · 80–17–3
- 55′⚽ GOAL · 55' Sporting San Jose 3–2 San Carlos
- 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Sporting San Jose win: 47% at kick-off, 80% now
- 56′We said Sporting San Jose at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 3–2 · 80–16–3
- 57′5 goals already, more than the 2.4 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 81–16–3
- 58′San Carlos pull one back on 54′ through Y. Piedra. 3–2. 3–2 · 81–16–3
- 63′🟨 YELLOW · 63' San Carlos
- 69′We said Sporting San Jose at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 3–2 · 85–13–2
- 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 73' Sporting San Jose win: 47% at kick-off, 87% now
- 74′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Sporting San Jose · On: G. Leiva · Off: J. Navarro
- 74′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Sporting San Jose · On: R. Carballo · Off: M. George Clayton
- 75′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Sporting San Jose · On: Y. Salas · Off: A. Lopez
- 75′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Sporting San Jose · On: J. Mendez · Off: M. Urena
- 75′SUBSTITUTION · 55' San Carlos · On: J. Aguilar · Off: C. Martinez
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 54' San Carlos · On: C. Agualimpia · Off: G. Castillo Cespedes
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 75' San Carlos · On: D. Masis · Off: J. Valverde
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 75' San Carlos · On: A. Guevara · Off: K. Cerdas
- 79′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Sporting San Jose · On: D. Colindres · Off: J. Pinto
- 80′A goal for San Carlos on 80′ — 3–3. 3–3 · 13–78–9
- 80′⚽ GOAL · 80' Sporting San Jose 3–3 San Carlos
- 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Sporting San Jose win: 47% at kick-off, 13% now
- 80′THE CALL SWINGS · 80' Draw is now our likeliest result at 78% (was Sporting San Jose win 91%)
- 81′We said Sporting San Jose at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 12%. 3–3 · 12–80–8
- 83′That is 6, and we only asked for 2.4 across ninety minutes. 3–3 · 10–84–7
- 84′We said Sporting San Jose at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 3–3 · 8–86–6
- 84′🟨 YELLOW · 84' San Carlos
- 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Sporting San Jose win: 47% at kick-off, 7% now
- 90′We said Sporting San Jose at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 3–3 · 4–93–3
- 91′🟨 YELLOW · 90' Sporting San Jose
- 91′SUBSTITUTION · 89' San Carlos · On: P. Fonseca · Off: Y. Piedra
- FTFULL TIME Sporting San Jose 3–3 San Carlos
- FTSporting San Jose 3–3 San Carlos · Sporting San Jose win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Sporting San Jose are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Sporting San Jose 47%, draw 27%, San Carlos 26%. Over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 47%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 14 Oct 04:28 · locked at kick-off
Sporting San Jose win47%
San Carlos win26%Kick-offTUE 20 OCT · 01:00
RoundApertura · matchday 12
VenueEstadio Puente de Piedra
Match timeline
All events
Sporting San JoseMIN
San CarlosEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Sporting San Jose
San Carlos
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Sporting San Jose
San Carlos
Last match: 16 Oct · Primera División (Costa Rica)
Last match: 14 Oct · Primera División (Costa Rica)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Sporting San Jose
Formation not confirmed
23 L. Moreira
98 I. Gomez
2 Y. Salinas
5 A. Soto
3 K. Espinoza
8 C. Pineda
9 M. George Clayton
7 J. Pinto
10 A. Lopez
28 J. Navarro
21 M. Urena
Coach · Andres Carevic
Substitutes
99 · R. Leal
33 · E. Pastrana
22 · Y. Salas
20 · R. Bolanos
36 · J. Hernandez
6 · G. Leiva
14 · D. Colindres
19 · J. Mendez
16 · R. Ramirez
11 · R. Carballo
San Carlos
Formation not confirmed
23 J. Vega
2 J. Valverde
6 Y. Piedra
16 G. Castillo Cespedes
17 J. Evans
22 J. Aguero
5 C. Martinez
10 K. Cerdas
11 R. Cordoba
21 J. Venegas
88 R. Vidal
Coach · –
Substitutes
77 · J. Vega
4 · P. Fonseca
7 · A. Guevara
8 · E. Hernandez
18 · J. Aguilar
20 · C. Agualimpia
27 · D. Masis
30 · P. Aguero
38 · K. Gomez
41 · J. Pilarte
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Sporting San Jose
Formation not confirmed
23 L. Moreira
98 I. Gomez
2 Y. Salinas
5 A. Soto
3 K. Espinoza
8 C. Pineda
9 M. George Clayton
7 J. Pinto
10 A. Lopez
28 J. Navarro
21 M. Urena
Coach · Andres Carevic
Substitutes
99 · R. Leal
33 · E. Pastrana
22 · Y. Salas
20 · R. Bolanos
36 · J. Hernandez
6 · G. Leiva
14 · D. Colindres
19 · J. Mendez
16 · R. Ramirez
11 · R. Carballo
San Carlos
Formation not confirmed
23 J. Vega
2 J. Valverde
6 Y. Piedra
16 G. Castillo Cespedes
17 J. Evans
22 J. Aguero
5 C. Martinez
10 K. Cerdas
11 R. Cordoba
21 J. Venegas
88 R. Vidal
Coach · –
Substitutes
77 · J. Vega
4 · P. Fonseca
7 · A. Guevara
8 · E. Hernandez
18 · J. Aguilar
20 · C. Agualimpia
27 · D. Masis
30 · P. Aguero
38 · K. Gomez
41 · J. Pilarte
We make Sporting San Jose a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 55%. We are 8 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 48%, 47% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 55% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting San Jose win | 47% | 55% | −8 |
| Draw | 27% | 26% | +1 |
| San Carlos win | 26% | 19% | +7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 48% | −6 |
| Both teams to score | 47% | 50% | −3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% | 72% | −3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 28% | −6 |
| Sporting San Jose or draw | 74% | 81% | −7 |
| Sporting San Jose clean sheet | 38% | – | – |
| San Carlos clean sheet | 25% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Primera División this season · since 29 Aug
SPORTING SAN JOSE
SAN CARLOS
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Saprissa | 12 | +14 | 24 |
| 2 | CS Cartagines | 12 | +9 | 24 |
| 3 | Sporting San Jose | 11 | +4 | 20 |
| 4 | LD Alajuelense | 12 | +6 | 19 |
| 5 | San Carlos | 11 | −1 | 18 |
| 6 | Inter San Carlos | 12 | −3 | 18 |
| 7 | Puntarenas FC | 11 | −7 | 12 |
| 8 | CS Herediano | 12 | −4 | 11 |
| 9 | Escorpiones Belén | 11 | −5 | 10 |
| 10 | Perez Zeledon | 12 | −13 | 9 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Deportivo Saprissa
CS Cartagines
LD Alajuelense
Inter San Carlos
Puntarenas FC
CS Herediano
Escorpiones Belén
Perez Zeledon