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San Carlos v Inter San Carlos

San Carlos
1–2Full time
Inter San Carlos

Primera División · WED 14 OCT

Full timeGraded 14 Oct 05:30
San Carlos 1–2 Inter San Carlos SAN CARLOS WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said San Carlos win50%
The market said41%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.900
The market’s Brier score0.739

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay15 notes · 46 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said San Carlos win at 50%.
  2. 1′KICK-OFF San Carlos v Inter San Carlos
  3. 2′Little has changed for our model: San Carlos 50% before kick-off, 50% now. 0–0 · 50–27–24
  4. 5′🟨 YELLOW · 6' Inter San Carlos
  5. 26′25′ and it is 1–0: San Carlos have scored. 1–0 · 77–17–6
  6. 26′⚽ GOAL · 25' San Carlos 1–0 Inter San Carlos
  7. 26′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 26' San Carlos win: 50% at kick-off, 77% now
  8. 27′GOAL DISALLOWED · 25' San Carlos
  9. 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 27' San Carlos win: 50% at kick-off, 44% now
  10. 28′🟨 YELLOW · 28' Inter San Carlos
  11. 32′31′ and it is 0–1: Inter San Carlos have scored. 0–1 · 16–27–57
  12. 32′⚽ GOAL · 31' San Carlos 0–1 Inter San Carlos
  13. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' San Carlos win: 50% at kick-off, 16% now
  14. 32′THE CALL SWINGS · 32' Inter San Carlos win is now our likeliest result at 57% (was San Carlos win 16%)
  15. 33′We said San Carlos at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 16%. 0–1 · 16–27–57
  16. 34′The goal count is tracking the 2.4 we expected. 0–1 · 16–27–58
  17. 35′🟨 YELLOW · 6' W. Azofeifa · Inter San Carlos
  18. 35′🟨 YELLOW · 29' Y. M. Villan U. · Inter San Carlos
  19. 36′28′ and it is 0–1: W. Azofeifa on the scoresheet for Inter San Carlos. 0–1 · 15–27–58
  20. 40′We said San Carlos at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–27–60
  21. 45′30′ and it is 0–1: Wílmer Azofeifa on the scoresheet for Inter San Carlos. 0–1 · 12–26–62
  22. 45′🟨 YELLOW · 47' Inter San Carlos
  23. 45′🟨 YELLOW · 51' Inter San Carlos
  24. 45′HALF-TIME San Carlos 0–1 Inter San Carlos
  25. 45′🟨 YELLOW · 4' Wílmer Azofeifa · Inter San Carlos
  26. 45′🟨 YELLOW · 28' Yamir Villan · Inter San Carlos
  27. 45′🟨 YELLOW · 47' Wilson Gonzalez · Inter San Carlos
  28. 45′🟨 YELLOW · 47' Joseph Bolaños · Inter San Carlos
  29. 45′🟨 YELLOW · 51' Randy Vega · Inter San Carlos
  30. 45′🟨 YELLOW · 6' W. Azofeifa · Inter San Carlos
  31. 45′🟨 YELLOW · 29' Y. M. Villan U. · Inter San Carlos
  32. 46′🟨 YELLOW · 4' W. Azofeifa · Inter San Carlos
  33. 46′🟨 YELLOW · 28' Y. M. Villan U. · Inter San Carlos
  34. 46′🟨 YELLOW · 47' W. Gonzalez · Inter San Carlos
  35. 46′🟨 YELLOW · 47' J. Bolanos · Inter San Carlos
  36. 46′🟨 YELLOW · 51' R. Vega · Inter San Carlos
  37. 46′SECOND HALF San Carlos 0–1 Inter San Carlos
  38. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' San Carlos win: 50% at kick-off, 10% now
  39. 50′🟨 YELLOW · 50' San Carlos
  40. 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' San Carlos 0–2 Inter San Carlos
  41. 52′Inter San Carlos find the net on 51′. 0–2. 0–2 · 2–8–90
  42. 53′We said San Carlos at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 2%. 0–2 · 2–8–91
  43. 56′A goal for San Carlos on 56′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 8–25–67
  44. 56′⚽ GOAL · 56' San Carlos 1–2 Inter San Carlos
  45. 57′We said San Carlos at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 1–2 · 8–25–67
  46. 58′3 goals already, more than the 2.4 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 8–24–68
  47. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Inter San Carlos · On: A. Rodriguez Elizondo · Off: W. Gonzalez Corrected
  48. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Inter San Carlos · On: A. Rodriguez Elizondo · Off: W. Gonzalez Corrected
  49. 79′🟨 YELLOW · 64' San Carlos
  50. 81′🟨 YELLOW · 81' San Carlos
  51. 81′🟨 YELLOW · 82' San Carlos
  52. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' San Carlos win: 50% at kick-off, 0% now
  53. 86′🟨 YELLOW · 84' Inter San Carlos
  54. 87′🟨 YELLOW · 86' Inter San Carlos
  55. 90′Inter San Carlos are down to ten from 90′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–2 · 0–5–95
  56. 90′R. Cordoba scores for San Carlos on 54′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 0–5–95
  57. 90′🟥 RED CARD · 90' Inter San Carlos
  58. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Inter San Carlos · On: A. Rodriguez Elizondo · Off: W. Gonzalez
  59. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 46' San Carlos · On: R. Cordoba · Off: E. Hernandez
  60. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 46' San Carlos · On: A. Guevara · Off: J. Pilarte
  61. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 49' A. Guevara · San Carlos
  62. FTFULL TIME San Carlos 1–2 Inter San Carlos
  63. FTSan Carlos 1–2 Inter San Carlos · San Carlos win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

Pass
Example · Everton v Chelsea · written before kick-off

Chelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.

Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.

Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.

The AI’s read on San Carlos v Inter San CarlosBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 14 Oct 02:30 · locked at kick-off

San Carlos win50%
Draw26%
Inter San Carlos win24%

Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 03:00

Line-ups

San Carlos

Inter San Carlos

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

San Carlos

Inter San Carlos

3Days since last match4
1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
4San Carlos10018
6Inter San Carlos10-315

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

San Carlos

Formation not confirmed

23 J. Vega

17 J. Evans

6 Y. Piedra

22 J. Aguero

16 G. Castillo Cespedes

8 E. Hernandez

10 K. Cerdas

20 C. Agualimpia

41 J. Pilarte

21 J. Venegas

9 B. Martinez

Coach · –

Substitutes

77 · J. Vega

2 · J. Valverde

4 · P. Fonseca

5 · C. Martinez

7 · A. Guevara

11 · R. Cordoba

18 · J. Aguilar

27 · D. Masis

30 · P. Aguero

88 · R. Vidal

Inter San Carlos

Formation not confirmed

30 A. Monreal

67 C. Martinez

42 W. Gonzalez

19 J. Perez

2 J. Chacon

79 J. Bolanos

20 W. Azofeifa

8 Y. M. Villan U.

50 R. Vega

10 J. Campbell

9 E. Torres

Coach · Douglas Sequeira

Substitutes

1 · A. Cruz

3 · J. Ramos

13 · A. Rodriguez Elizondo

5 · N. Mendoza

40 · Y. Leal

14 · K. Porras

11 · R. Chirino

7 · S. Castro

17 · C. Villegas Sequeira

31 · F. Aleman

Our number · san carlos winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 14 Oct 02:30 · locked at kick-off
50% The market41%
Us50%
Market41%

We make San Carlos a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 41%. We are 9 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–0.9.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · San Carlos v Inter San Carlos1.50 – 0.94
Last six in Primera DivisiónW5 D0 L1 · W2 D2 L2
Table places · points 18 v 154 v 6
The market · San Carlos win41% · ours 50%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45%50%55% 9 OCT 06:1813 OCT 05:34
Our probability · san carlos win The market, margin stripped

Published at 49%, 50% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 41% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
San Carlos win50%41%+9
Draw26%29%−3
Inter San Carlos win24%30%−6
Over 2.5 goals44%49%−5
Both teams to score47%54%−7
Over 1.5 goals70%72%−3
Over 3.5 goals23%29%−6
San Carlos or draw76%70%+6
San Carlos clean sheet39%––
Inter San Carlos clean sheet23%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.0%
0123450 9.2 8.2 3.9 1 13.0 12.3 5.7 2 9.7 9.0 4.2 3 4.9 4.5 2.1 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+San Carlos down, Inter San Carlos across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.50 of 1
Both scored0 of 1
Last meetingsINT 2–0 SAN

Form · last six in Primera División

SAN CARLOS

WLWWWW1–0 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 1–0

INTER SAN CARLOS

WLWDLD1–0 · 0–2 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 0–5 · 1–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Deportivo Saprissa10921
2Sporting San Jose101020
3CS Cartagines10618
4San Carlos10018
5LD Alajuelense10515
6Inter San Carlos10-315
7Puntarenas FC10-512
8Perez Zeledon10-79
9CS Herediano10-77
10Escorpiones Belén10-87

The competition's standings.