Perez Zeledon v Puntarenas FC prediction · Primera División

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Perez ZeledonDrawPuntarenas FC

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 02:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Perez Zeledon 36%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Perez Zeledon just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Perez Zeledon 36%, draw 28%, Puntarenas FC 36%. Over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 48%.

The AI’s read on Perez Zeledon v Puntarenas FCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Perez Zeledon win36%

Draw28%

Puntarenas FC win36%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 02:00

RoundApertura · matchday 14

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Perez Zeledon

Puntarenas FC

13Days since last match6

Last match: 18 Oct · Primera División (Costa Rica)

Last match: 25 Oct · Primera División (Costa Rica)

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Puntarenas FC	13	−4	18
10	Perez Zeledon	12	−13	9

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · perez zeledon winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

36% The market–

Us36%

We make Perez Zeledon a 36% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Perez Zeledon v Puntarenas FC~~1.20 – 1.19

~~Form · last six in Primera División this season · since 5 Sept~~W1 D1 L4 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 9 v 18~~10 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Perez Zeledon win	36%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Puntarenas FC win	36%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	43%	–	–
Both teams to score	48%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	69%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	22%	–	–
Perez Zeledon or draw	64%	–	–
Perez Zeledon clean sheet	31%	–	–
Puntarenas FC clean sheet	30%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.0%

0123450 9.5 10.8 6.5 2.6 1 10.9 13.0 7.7 3.1 2 6.6 7.7 4.6 3 2.7 3.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Perez Zeledon down, Puntarenas FC across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,332 Primera División matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Primera División matches have gone over 2.5 in 46.7% of games this season, across 60 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.20 goals a meeting; 3 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Perez Zeledon at home: 0.50 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). Puntarenas FC away: 1.33 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.20 goals for Perez Zeledon, 1.19 for Puntarenas FC. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.20

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 10

~~Both scored~~6 of 10

~~Last meetings~~PUN 1–0 PER · PER 3–3 PUN · PUN 1–0 PER · PUN 1–2 PER

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Primera División this season · since 5 Sept

PEREZ ZELEDON

WLLDLL3–2 · 0–2 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 1–4 · 0–3

PUNTARENAS FC

DWDLWW1–1 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 2–1 · 3–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Deportivo Saprissa	12	+14	24
2	CS Cartagines	13	+7	24
3	Sporting San Jose	13	+6	24
4	LD Alajuelense	12	+6	19
5	San Carlos	12	−1	19
6	Puntarenas FC	13	−4	18
7	Inter San Carlos	13	−5	18
8	CS Herediano	13	−2	14
9	Escorpiones Belén	13	−8	10
10	Perez Zeledon	12	−13	9