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Inter San Carlos v Perez Zeledon

Inter San Carlos

1–1Full time

Perez Zeledon

Primera División · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 00:30

Inter San Carlos 1–1 Perez Zeledon INTER SAN CARLOS WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Inter San Carlos win~~51%

~~The market said~~54%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.861

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.903

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 22 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Inter San Carlos win at 51%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Inter San Carlos 51% before kick-off, 51% now. 0–0 · 51–26–23
1′KICK-OFF Inter San Carlos v Perez Zeledon
2′Little has changed for our model: Inter San Carlos 51% before kick-off, 51% now. 0–0 · 51–26–23
4′🟨 YELLOW · 5' Perez Zeledon
33′🟨 YELLOW · 5' A. Amador · Perez Zeledon
42′⚽ GOAL · 42' Inter San Carlos 0–1 Perez Zeledon
43′⚽ GOAL · 43' Inter San Carlos 0–1 Perez Zeledon
45′⚽ GOAL · 43' Inter San Carlos 0–1 Perez Zeledon
45′SECOND HALF Inter San Carlos 0–1 Perez Zeledon
50′⚽ GOAL · 50' Inter San Carlos 1–1 Perez Zeledon · J. Aguirre
50′⚽ GOAL · 51' Inter San Carlos 1–1 Perez Zeledon
54′SUBSTITUTION · 53' Inter San Carlos · On: K. Porras · Off: R. Vega
58′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Perez Zeledon · On: K. Carvajal · Off: A. Fallas
58′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Perez Zeledon · On: B. Sequeira · Off: A. Amador
61′🟨 YELLOW · 61' Perez Zeledon
65′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Perez Zeledon · On: W. Renteria · Off: J. Cordoba
65′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Perez Zeledon · On: K. Gonzalez · Off: R. Rodriguez
68′🟨 YELLOW · 69' Perez Zeledon
74′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Inter San Carlos · On: C. Martinez · Off: Y. Leal
74′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Perez Zeledon · On: E. Quesada · Off: M. Angulo
82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Inter San Carlos · On: S. Roman · Off: J. Bolanos
82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Inter San Carlos · On: A. Pennant · Off: E. Torres
82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Inter San Carlos · On: C. Villegas Sequeira · Off: J. Campbell
FTFULL TIME Inter San Carlos 1–1 Perez Zeledon
FTInter San Carlos 1–1 Perez Zeledon · Inter San Carlos win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Inter San Carlos win51%

Draw26%

Perez Zeledon win23%

Published before kick-off · 10 Oct 03:01

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 22:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Inter San Carlos

Formation not confirmed

99 G. Jimenez

50 R. Vega

19 J. Perez

42 W. Gonzalez

79 J. Bolanos

5 N. Mendoza

13 A. Rodriguez Elizondo

8 Y. M. Villan U.

40 Y. Leal

10 J. Campbell

9 E. Torres

Coach · Douglas Sequeira

Substitutes

30 · A. Monreal

4 · J. Ramos

16 · A. Ramos

67 · C. Martinez

20 · W. Azofeifa

14 · K. Porras

11 · R. Chirino

70 · S. Roman

17 · C. Villegas Sequeira

21 · A. Pennant

Perez Zeledon

Formation not confirmed

1 B. Segura

4 R. Rodriguez

5 W. Fernandez

23 J. Aguirre

28 M. Nunez

10 M. Angulo

15 A. Porras

27 A. Fallas

62 A. Amador

90 J. Cordoba

9 J. Alvarado

Coach · Antonio Giacone Garita Jose

Substitutes

99 · M. Aju

14 · K. Guzman

17 · K. Carvajal

– · E. Marin

18 · E. Quesada

32 · J. Canales

19 · W. Renteria

11 · B. Sequeira

38 · K. Gonzalez

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Inter San Carlos

Formation not confirmed

99 G. Jimenez

50 R. Vega

19 J. Perez

42 W. Gonzalez

79 J. Bolanos

5 N. Mendoza

13 A. Rodriguez Elizondo

8 Y. M. Villan U.

40 Y. Leal

10 J. Campbell

9 E. Torres

Coach · Douglas Sequeira

Substitutes

30 · A. Monreal

4 · J. Ramos

16 · A. Ramos

67 · C. Martinez

20 · W. Azofeifa

14 · K. Porras

11 · R. Chirino

70 · S. Roman

17 · C. Villegas Sequeira

21 · A. Pennant

Perez Zeledon

Formation not confirmed

1 B. Segura

4 R. Rodriguez

5 W. Fernandez

23 J. Aguirre

28 M. Nunez

10 M. Angulo

15 A. Porras

27 A. Fallas

62 A. Amador

90 J. Cordoba

9 J. Alvarado

Coach · Antonio Giacone Garita Jose

Substitutes

99 · M. Aju

14 · K. Guzman

17 · K. Carvajal

– · E. Marin

18 · E. Quesada

32 · J. Canales

19 · W. Renteria

11 · B. Sequeira

38 · K. Gonzalez

Our number · inter san carlos winPublished 10 Oct 22:04

51% The market54%

Us51%

~~Market~~54%

We make Inter San Carlos a 51% chance to win. The market has them at 54%. We are 4 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.0.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · inter san carlos win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 54% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Inter San Carlos win	51%	54%	−4
Draw	26%	25%	+1
Perez Zeledon win	23%	21%	+3
Over 2.5 goals	46%	57%	−11
Both teams to score	48%	57%	−9
Over 1.5 goals	71%	78%	−7
Over 3.5 goals	24%	36%	−12
Inter San Carlos or draw	77%	79%	−3
Inter San Carlos clean sheet	39%	–	–
Perez Zeledon clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.5%

0123450 8.6 7.7 3.8 1 12.5 12.1 5.7 2 9.7 9.1 4.4 3 5.0 4.7 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Inter San Carlos down, Perez Zeledon across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,316 Primera División matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Primera División matches have gone over 2.5 in 40.9% of games this season, across 44 played.

Head to head

1 previous meetings, 1.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Inter San Carlos at home: 1.25 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 4). Perez Zeledon away: 0.83 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.55 goals for Inter San Carlos, 0.96 for Perez Zeledon. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~1.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 1

~~Both scored~~0 of 1

~~Last meetings~~PER 0–1 INT

Form · last six in Primera División

INTER SAN CARLOS

WWLWDL1–0 · 1–0 · 0–2 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 0–5

PEREZ ZELEDON

LLDWLL0–1 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 3–2 · 0–2 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Deportivo Saprissa	9	+10	21
2	CS Cartagines	9	+8	18
3	Sporting San Jose	9	+8	17
4	San Carlos	8	+2	15
5	LD Alajuelense	9	+5	14
6	Inter San Carlos	9	−3	14
7	Puntarenas FC	9	−2	12
8	Perez Zeledon	9	−7	8
9	CS Herediano	9	−9	5
10	Escorpiones Belén	8	−12	1