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CS Cartagines v Deportivo Saprissa
CS Cartagines
Deportivo SaprissaPrimera División · SUN 18 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said CS Cartagines win at 37%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: CS Cartagines was 37% before kick-off and our model makes it 37% now. 0–0 · 37–26–37
- 1′KICK-OFF CS Cartagines v Deportivo Saprissa
- 33′🟨 YELLOW · 32' Deportivo Saprissa
- 36′🟥 RED CARD · 36' Deportivo Saprissa
- 37′A red card for Deportivo Saprissa on 37′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–0 · 32–35–32
- 41′THE CALL SWINGS · 41' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was CS Cartagines win 32%)
- 43′We published CS Cartagines at 37%. Our model now makes it 69%. 1–0 · 69–22–9
- 43′⚽ GOAL · 43' CS Cartagines 1–0 Deportivo Saprissa
- 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' CS Cartagines win: 37% at kick-off, 69% now
- 43′THE CALL SWINGS · 43' CS Cartagines win is now our likeliest result at 69% (was Draw 22%)
- 44′CS Cartagines score on 44′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 69–22–9
- 45′Goals are coming at about the 2.8 we expected. 1–0 · 69–22–9
- 45′SECOND HALF CS Cartagines 1–0 Deportivo Saprissa
- 46′We published CS Cartagines at 37%. Our model now makes it 70%. 1–0 · 70–22–9
- 46′🟨 YELLOW · 45+1' CS Cartagines
- 47′🟨 YELLOW · 34' H. Medford · Deportivo Saprissa
- 49′We published CS Cartagines at 37%. Our model now makes it 92%. 2–0 · 92–6–2
- 49′⚽ GOAL · 49' CS Cartagines 2–0 Deportivo Saprissa
- 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 49' CS Cartagines win: 37% at kick-off, 92% now
- 50′CS Cartagines find the net on 50′. 2–0. 2–0 · 92–6–1
- 51′HALF-TIME CS Cartagines 1–0 Deportivo Saprissa
- 52′GOAL DISALLOWED · 52' CS Cartagines
- 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' CS Cartagines win: 37% at kick-off, 71% now
- 56′🟨 YELLOW · 55' CS Cartagines
- 61′We published CS Cartagines at 37%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–0 · 75–20–5
- 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 65' CS Cartagines win: 37% at kick-off, 77% now
- 70′We published CS Cartagines at 37%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–3
- 71′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Deportivo Saprissa · On: O. Sinclair · Off: A. Soto
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 70' CS Cartagines · On: A. Mora · Off: G. M. Morera
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Deportivo Saprissa · On: B. Hernandez · Off: L. Paradela
- 77′SUBSTITUTION · 70' CS Cartagines · On: G. Castro · Off: C. Montero
- 78′We published CS Cartagines at 37%. Our model now makes it 86%. 1–0 · 86–13–1
- 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' CS Cartagines win: 37% at kick-off, 87% now
- 84′SUBSTITUTION · 82' CS Cartagines · On: J. Gaete · Off: D. Gonzalez Hernandez
- 85′SUBSTITUTION · 82' CS Cartagines · On: J. Cortes · Off: Tepa
- 85′🟨 YELLOW · 85' CS Cartagines
- 89′We published CS Cartagines at 37%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
- 91′SUBSTITUTION · 89' CS Cartagines · On: D. Lopez · Off: A. Hernandez
- 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+2' CS Cartagines win: 37% at kick-off, 97% now
- 92′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Deportivo Saprissa · On: A. Rodriguez · Off: N. Williams
- 92′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Deportivo Saprissa · On: D. Guzman · Off: S. Acuna
- 93′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Deportivo Saprissa · On: J. Mora · Off: J. M. Azofeifa Rivas
- 95′Full time, 1–0. We called CS Cartagines at 37% — that one lands. 1–0 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME CS Cartagines 1–0 Deportivo Saprissa
- FTCS Cartagines 1–0 Deportivo Saprissa · CS Cartagines win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with CS Cartagines just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: CS Cartagines 37%, draw 26%, Deportivo Saprissa 37%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 56%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
CS Cartagines win37%
Deportivo Saprissa win37%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 18:00
RoundApertura · matchday 12
Match timeline
All events
CS CartaginesMIN
Deportivo SaprissaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
CS Cartagines
Deportivo Saprissa
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
CS Cartagines
Deportivo Saprissa
Last match: 14 Oct · Primera División (Costa Rica)
Last match: 16 Oct · Primera División (Costa Rica)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
CS Cartagines
Formation not confirmed
1 K. Briceno
12 J. Quiros
2 R. Cordero
4 L. A. Olivas Salcedo
20 D. Mesen
19 D. Gonzalez Hernandez
15 L. Flores
6 C. Montero
31 G. M. Morera
22 A. Hernandez
9 Tepa
Coach · Amarini Villatoro
Substitutes
33 · C. Moya
21 · J. Cortes
39 · M. Villalobos
27 · J. Mora
26 · B. Alfaro
30 · A. Mora
8 · D. Lopez
11 · L. Alfaro
13 · J. Gaete
16 · G. Castro
Deportivo Saprissa
Formation not confirmed
40 A. Madriz
17 G. G. Taylor Dosman
4 K. Waston
21 F. Escobar
22 J. M. Azofeifa Rivas
25 S. Acuna
28 G. Torres
20 M. Torres
26 A. Soto
23 L. Paradela
7 N. Williams
Coach · Hernan Medford
Substitutes
89 · M. Alvarez
3 · P. Arboine
5 · J. Mora
8 · D. Guzman
6 · O. Duarte
39 · A. Barahona
46 · D. Woodly
11 · B. Hernandez
24 · O. Sinclair
14 · A. Rodriguez
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
CS Cartagines
Formation not confirmed
1 K. Briceno
12 J. Quiros
2 R. Cordero
4 L. A. Olivas Salcedo
20 D. Mesen
19 D. Gonzalez Hernandez
15 L. Flores
6 C. Montero
31 G. M. Morera
22 A. Hernandez
9 Tepa
Coach · Amarini Villatoro
Substitutes
33 · C. Moya
21 · J. Cortes
39 · M. Villalobos
27 · J. Mora
26 · B. Alfaro
30 · A. Mora
8 · D. Lopez
11 · L. Alfaro
13 · J. Gaete
16 · G. Castro
Deportivo Saprissa
Formation not confirmed
40 A. Madriz
17 G. G. Taylor Dosman
4 K. Waston
21 F. Escobar
22 J. M. Azofeifa Rivas
25 S. Acuna
28 G. Torres
20 M. Torres
26 A. Soto
23 L. Paradela
7 N. Williams
Coach · Hernan Medford
Substitutes
89 · M. Alvarez
3 · P. Arboine
5 · J. Mora
8 · D. Guzman
6 · O. Duarte
39 · A. Barahona
46 · D. Woodly
11 · B. Hernandez
24 · O. Sinclair
14 · A. Rodriguez
We make CS Cartagines a 37% chance to win. The market has them at 30%. We are 7 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.4.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 38%, 37% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 30% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| CS Cartagines win | 37% | 30% | +7 |
| Draw | 26% | 31% | −5 |
| Deportivo Saprissa win | 37% | 39% | −2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 48% | +4 |
| Both teams to score | 56% | 54% | +2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 72% | +4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 28% | +2 |
| CS Cartagines or draw | 63% | 61% | +2 |
| CS Cartagines clean sheet | 25% | – | – |
| Deportivo Saprissa clean sheet | 25% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Primera División this season · since 30 Aug
CS CARTAGINES
DEPORTIVO SAPRISSA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Saprissa | 11 | +15 | 24 |
| 2 | CS Cartagines | 11 | +8 | 21 |
| 3 | Sporting San Jose | 11 | +4 | 20 |
| 4 | LD Alajuelense | 12 | +6 | 19 |
| 5 | San Carlos | 11 | −1 | 18 |
| 6 | Inter San Carlos | 12 | −3 | 18 |
| 7 | Puntarenas FC | 11 | −7 | 12 |
| 8 | Escorpiones Belén | 11 | −5 | 10 |
| 9 | Perez Zeledon | 11 | −10 | 9 |
| 10 | CS Herediano | 11 | −7 | 8 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Sporting San Jose
LD Alajuelense
San Carlos
Inter San Carlos
Puntarenas FC
Escorpiones Belén
Perez Zeledon
CS Herediano