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Santa Ana v Futbol Consultants Moravia

Santa Ana

1–3Full time

Futbol Consultants Moravia

Liga de Ascenso · SAT 24 OCT · Estadio de Piedades

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 22:33

Santa Ana 1–3 Futbol Consultants Moravia SANTA ANA WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Santa Ana win~~50%

~~The market said~~58%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.873

~~The market’s Brier score~~1.064

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay11 notes · 14 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Santa Ana win at 50%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Santa Ana 50% before kick-off, 50% now. 0–0 · 50–25–25
1′KICK-OFF Santa Ana v Futbol Consultants Moravia
32′A goal for Futbol Consultants Moravia on 32′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 18–25–56
32′We said Santa Ana at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 0–1 · 18–25–56
32′⚽ GOAL · 32' Santa Ana 0–1 Futbol Consultants Moravia
32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Santa Ana win: 50% at kick-off, 18% now
32′THE CALL SWINGS · 32' Futbol Consultants Moravia win is now our likeliest result at 56% (was Santa Ana win 44%)
33′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 0–1 · 18–25–57
43′We said Santa Ana at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–26–60
45′HALF-TIME Santa Ana 0–1 Futbol Consultants Moravia
46′SECOND HALF Santa Ana 0–1 Futbol Consultants Moravia
53′Futbol Consultants Moravia score on 53′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 2–8–89
53′We said Santa Ana at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 2%. 0–2 · 2–8–89
53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Santa Ana 0–2 Futbol Consultants Moravia
53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Santa Ana win: 50% at kick-off, 2% now
56′GOAL DISALLOWED · 56' Futbol Consultants Moravia
75′Futbol Consultants Moravia score on 74′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 0–3–97
75′⚽ GOAL · 74' Santa Ana 0–2 Futbol Consultants Moravia
75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Santa Ana win: 50% at kick-off, under 1% now
79′Santa Ana find the net on 78′. 1–2. 1–2 · 2–15–84
79′⚽ GOAL · 78' Santa Ana 1–2 Futbol Consultants Moravia
81′3 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 1–13–86
96′A goal for Futbol Consultants Moravia on 90′ — 1–3. 1–3 · 0–0–100
96′⚽ GOAL · 90+5' Santa Ana 1–3 Futbol Consultants Moravia
FTFULL TIME Santa Ana 1–3 Futbol Consultants Moravia
FTSanta Ana 1–3 Futbol Consultants Moravia · Santa Ana win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Santa Ana are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Santa Ana 50%, draw 25%, Futbol Consultants Moravia 25%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on Santa Ana v Futbol Consultants MoraviaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Santa Ana win50%

Draw25%

Futbol Consultants Moravia win25%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 20:00

RoundMatchday 13

VenueEstadio de Piedades

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Santa Ana

Futbol Consultants Moravia

6Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Liga de Ascenso

Last match: 17 Oct · Liga de Ascenso

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Santa Ana	12	+10	27
11	Futbol Consultants Moravia	12	0	13

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · santa ana winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

50% The market58%

Us50%

~~Market~~58%

We make Santa Ana a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 58%. We are 8 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–1.1.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Santa Ana v Futbol Consultants Moravia~~1.67 – 1.11

~~Form · last six in Liga de Ascenso this season · since 15 Sept~~W4 D0 L2 · W3 D0 L3

~~Table places · points 27 v 13~~2 v 11

~~The market · Santa Ana win~~58% · ours 50%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Santa Ana win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 58% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Santa Ana win	50%	58%	−8
Draw	25%	24%	+1
Futbol Consultants Moravia win	25%	18%	+7
Over 2.5 goals	52%	53%	−1
Both teams to score	54%	52%	+2
Over 1.5 goals	76%	75%	+1
Over 3.5 goals	30%	33%	−3
Santa Ana or draw	75%	82%	−7
Santa Ana clean sheet	34%	–	–
Futbol Consultants Moravia clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.5%

0123450 6.9 6.7 3.9 1 10.2 11.5 6.2 2.3 2 8.6 9.3 5.1 3 4.8 5.2 2.9 4 2.1 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Santa Ana down, Futbol Consultants Moravia across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,485 Liga de Ascenso matches up to 20 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga de Ascenso matches have gone over 2.5 in 50.6% of games this season, across 83 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.20 goals a meeting; 6 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Santa Ana at home: 2.00 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Futbol Consultants Moravia away: 1.00 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.67 goals for Santa Ana, 1.11 for Futbol Consultants Moravia. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.20

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 10

~~Both scored~~8 of 10

~~Last meetings~~FUT 1–2 SAN · FUT 2–1 SAN · SAN 1–1 FUT · SAN 0–2 FUT

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga de Ascenso this season · since 15 Sept

SANTA ANA

LLWWWW0–1 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 5–0 · 2–1

FUTBOL CONSULTANTS MORAVIA

LWWLLW2–3 · 3–0 · 1–0 · 0–3 · 0–1 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Aserri FC	22	+1	33
2	Santa Ana	12	+10	27
3	ADR Jicaral	10	+13	24
4	Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC	12	+4	20
5	Quepos Cambute	11	+6	19
6	AD Carmelita	12	+6	16
7	Cariari Pococi	12	0	16
8	Municipal Grecia	10	+1	15
9	Guadalupe FC	12	−3	15
10	AD Sarchí	10	−2	14
11	Futbol Consultants Moravia	12	0	13
12	CS Uruguay	12	−16	9
13	AD Cofutpa	10	−8	7
14	Santa Cruz FC	11	−12	6