Quepos Cambute v ADR Jicaral prediction · Liga de Ascenso

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Quepos CambuteDrawADR Jicaral

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:00

Before kick-off · Match result · ADR Jicaral 40%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

ADR Jicaral are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Quepos Cambute 32%, draw 28%, ADR Jicaral 40%. Over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 48%.

The AI’s read on Quepos Cambute v ADR JicaralBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Quepos Cambute win32%

Draw28%

ADR Jicaral win40%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 19:00

RoundMatchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Quepos Cambute

ADR Jicaral

5Days since last match14

Last match: 20 Oct · Liga de Ascenso

Last match: 11 Oct · Liga de Ascenso

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	ADR Jicaral	10	+13	24
5	Quepos Cambute	11	+6	19

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · adr jicaral winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · updated 21 Oct 00:10 · locked at kick-off

40% The market–

Us40%

We make ADR Jicaral a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Quepos Cambute v ADR Jicaral~~1.12 – 1.29

~~Form · last six in Liga de Ascenso this season · since 6 Sept~~W3 D0 L3 · W4 D2 L0

~~Table places · points 19 v 24~~5 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · ADR Jicaral win

Published at 39%, 40% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Quepos Cambute win	32%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
ADR Jicaral win	40%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	43%	–	–
Both teams to score	48%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	69%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	23%	–	–
Quepos Cambute or draw	60%	–	–
Quepos Cambute clean sheet	28%	–	–
ADR Jicaral clean sheet	33%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.9%

0123450 9.8 11.4 7.5 3.3 1 9.8 12.9 8.1 3.5 2 5.6 7.0 4.5 3 2.2 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Quepos Cambute down, ADR Jicaral across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,488 Liga de Ascenso matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga de Ascenso matches have gone over 2.5 in 52.3% of games this season, across 86 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.60 goals a meeting; 5 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Quepos Cambute at home: 2.17 scored, 0.33 conceded a game (last 6). ADR Jicaral away: 1.17 scored, 0.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.12 goals for Quepos Cambute, 1.29 for ADR Jicaral. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.60

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 10

~~Both scored~~3 of 10

~~Last meetings~~ADR 2–0 QUE · ADR 3–1 QUE · QUE 1–0 ADR · QUE 4–0 ADR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga de Ascenso this season · since 6 Sept

QUEPOS CAMBUTE

LWWLWL0–2 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 0–1

ADR JICARAL

WDDWWW2–0 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 3–1 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Aserri FC	23	−4	33
2	Santa Ana	13	+8	27
3	ADR Jicaral	10	+13	24
4	Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC	12	+4	20
5	Quepos Cambute	11	+6	19
6	Municipal Grecia	11	+2	18
7	Guadalupe FC	13	−2	18
8	AD Sarchí	11	+3	17
9	AD Carmelita	12	+6	16
10	Futbol Consultants Moravia	13	+2	16
11	Cariari Pococi	12	0	16
12	CS Uruguay	13	−17	9
13	AD Cofutpa	11	−9	7
14	Santa Cruz FC	11	−12	6