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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Ligue 1 › Saint-Luc v CS Manika

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Congo DR flag

Saint-Luc v CS Manika

Saint-Luc
11:00Upcoming
CS Manika

Ligue 1 · MON 26 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Saint-LucDrawCS Manika
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 11:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Draw 37%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

A draw is the likeliest result.

The Pitchside prediction: Saint-Luc 32%, draw 37%, CS Manika 31%. Over 2.5 goals 21%, both teams to score 29%.

The AI’s read on Saint-Luc v CS ManikaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 20 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Saint-Luc win32%
Draw37%
CS Manika win31%

Kick-offMON 26 OCT · 11:00

RoundMatchday 2

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Saint-Luc

CS Manika

6Days since last match5

Last match: 20 Oct · Ligue 1 (Congo DR)

Last match: 21 Oct · Ligue 1 (Congo DR)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27 · Super Ligue · group 1

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
8CS Manika101
13Saint-Luc1−20

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · drawFirst published 20 Oct 00:01 · updated 22 Oct 00:10 · locked at kick-off
37% The market–
Us37%

We make the draw a 37% chance. The model expects 0.8–0.8, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 22%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Saint-Luc v CS Manika0.79 – 0.77
Form · Ligue 1 this season · since 20 OctW0 D0 L1 · W0 D1 L0
Table places · points 0 v 113 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40% 20 OCT 00:0124 OCT 23:38
Our probability · Draw

Published at 36%, 37% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Saint-Luc win32%––
Draw37%––
CS Manika win31%––
Over 2.5 goals21%––
Both teams to score29%––
Over 1.5 goals46%––
Over 3.5 goals8%––
Saint-Luc or draw69%––
Saint-Luc clean sheet47%––
CS Manika clean sheet46%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 22.0%
0123450 22.0 15.6 6.2 1 16.0 13.0 4.8 2 6.6 4.9 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Saint-Luc down, CS Manika across0–5 goals a side shown (100.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26
Goals a meeting0.50
Over 2.50 of 2
Both scored0 of 2
Last meetingsSAI 1–0 CSM · CSM 0–0 SAI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Ligue 1 this season · since 20 Oct

SAINT-LUC

L0–2

CS MANIKA

D0–0

The table

2026/27 · Super Ligue · group 1
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Simba1+23
2Tanganyika1+13
3Don Bosco101
4Malole101
5Saint Eloi Lupopo101
6Sanga Balende101
7AS New Soger101
8CS Manika101
9TP Mazembe000
10Lubumbashi Sport000
11Butras000
12Blessing1−10
13Saint-Luc1−20

The competition's standings before kick-off.