Saint Eloi Lupopo v AS New Soger prediction · Ligue 1

Full timeGraded 20 Oct 18:31

Saint Eloi Lupopo 0–0 AS New Soger SAINT ELOI LUPOPO WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Saint Eloi Lupopo win~~74%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.207

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Saint Eloi Lupopo are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Saint Eloi Lupopo 74%, draw 19%, AS New Soger 8%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 32%.

The AI’s read on Saint Eloi Lupopo v AS New SogerBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 14 Oct 04:28 · locked at kick-off

Saint Eloi Lupopo win74%

Draw19%

AS New Soger win8%

Kick-offTUE 20 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 1

VenueStade de la Victoire

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Saint Eloi Lupopo

AS New Soger

122Days since last match193

Last match: 20 June · Ligue 1 (Congo DR)

Last match: 10 Apr · Ligue 1 (Congo DR)

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Saint Eloi Lupopo	0	0	0
7	AS New Soger	0	0	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · saint eloi lupopo winFirst published 14 Oct 04:28 · locked at kick-off

74% The market–

Us74%

We make Saint Eloi Lupopo a 74% chance to win. The model expects 2.1–0.5, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 16%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Saint Eloi Lupopo v AS New Soger~~2.06 – 0.47

~~Table places · points 0 v 0~~2 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Saint Eloi Lupopo win	74%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
AS New Soger win	8%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	46%	–	–
Both teams to score	32%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	71%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	25%	–	–
Saint Eloi Lupopo or draw	92%	–	–
Saint Eloi Lupopo clean sheet	63%	–	–
AS New Soger clean sheet	14%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 16.4%

0123450 8.8 3.8 1 16.2 8.0 2 16.4 7.5 3 11.2 5.1 4 6.0 2.6 5 2.7

under 2% 5% 12%+Saint Eloi Lupopo down, AS New Soger across0–5 goals a side shown (97.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,584 Ligue 1 matches up to 20 Jun 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ligue 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 31.5% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 6.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Saint Eloi Lupopo at home: 0.67 scored, 0.33 conceded a game (last 6). AS New Soger away: 0.50 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.06 goals for Saint Eloi Lupopo, 0.47 for AS New Soger. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~6.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~SAI 4–1 ASN · ASN 2–6 SAI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Ligue 1 this season

SAINT ELOI LUPOPO

No matches in our record yet.

AS NEW SOGER

No matches in our record yet.

The table

2026/27 · group 1

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	TP Mazembe	0	0	0
2	Saint Eloi Lupopo	0	0	0
3	Don Bosco	0	0	0
4	Saint-Luc	0	0	0
5	Sanga Balende	0	0	0
6	Lubumbashi Sport	0	0	0
7	AS New Soger	0	0	0
8	Simba	0	0	0
9	Blessing	0	0	0
10	Tanganyika	0	0	0
11	Malole	0	0	0
12	CS Manika	0	0	0
13	Butras	0	0	0