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Model 1.2

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Malole v Simba

Malole
13:00Upcoming
Simba

Ligue 1 · TUE 27 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

MaloleDrawSimba
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Simba 36%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Simba just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Malole 31%, draw 33%, Simba 36%. Over 2.5 goals 29%, both teams to score 37%.

The AI’s read on Malole v SimbaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Malole win31%
Draw33%
Simba win36%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 2

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Malole

Simba

7Days since last match7

Last match: 20 Oct · Ligue 1 (Congo DR)

Last match: 20 Oct · Ligue 1 (Congo DR)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27 · Super Ligue · group 1

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
1Simba1+23
4Malole101

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · simba winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
36% The market–
Us36%

We make Simba a 36% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–1.0, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 16%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Malole v Simba0.88 – 0.99
Form · Ligue 1 this season · since 20 OctW0 D1 L0 · W1 D0 L0
Table places · points 1 v 34 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Malole win31%––
Draw33%––
Simba win36%––
Over 2.5 goals29%––
Both teams to score37%––
Over 1.5 goals56%––
Over 3.5 goals12%––
Malole or draw64%––
Malole clean sheet38%––
Simba clean sheet42%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 16.4%
0123450 16.4 14.6 7.5 2.5 1 13.0 13.7 6.5 2.2 2 6.0 5.8 2.8 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Malole down, Simba across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024/25
Goals a meeting2.75
Over 2.52 of 4
Both scored1 of 4
Last meetingsSIM 3–1 MAL · MAL 1–0 SIM · MAL 1–0 SIM · SIM 5–0 MAL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Ligue 1 this season · since 20 Oct

MALOLE

D1–1

SIMBA

W2–0

The table

2026/27 · Super Ligue · group 1
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Simba1+23
2Tanganyika1+13
3Don Bosco101
4Malole101
5Saint Eloi Lupopo101
6Sanga Balende101
7AS New Soger101
8CS Manika101
9TP Mazembe000
10Lubumbashi Sport000
11Butras000
12Blessing1−10
13Saint-Luc1−20

The competition's standings before kick-off.