JSK v Maniema Union prediction · Ligue 1

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

JSKDrawManiema Union

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Maniema Union 33%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Maniema Union just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: JSK 33%, draw 33%, Maniema Union 33%. Over 2.5 goals 29%, both teams to score 37%.

The AI’s read on JSK v Maniema UnionBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

JSK win33%

Draw33%

Maniema Union win33%

Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 3

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

JSK

Maniema Union

5Days since last match11

Last match: 24 Oct · Ligue 1 (Congo DR)

Last match: 18 Oct · CAF Confederation Cup

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	JSK	2	0	3
11	Maniema Union	0	0	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · maniema union winFirst published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

33% The market–

Us33%

We make Maniema Union a 33% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–0.9, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 16%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · JSK v Maniema Union~~0.94 – 0.94

~~Table places · points 3 v 0~~3 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
JSK win	33%	–	–
Draw	33%	–	–
Maniema Union win	33%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	29%	–	–
Both teams to score	37%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	57%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	12%	–	–
JSK or draw	67%	–	–
JSK clean sheet	39%	–	–
Maniema Union clean sheet	39%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 16.1%

0123450 16.1 13.7 6.8 2.2 1 13.6 13.8 6.2 2 6.7 6.2 2.9 3 2.2 2.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+JSK down, Maniema Union across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,595 Ligue 1 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ligue 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 31.2% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 1.80 goals a meeting; 4 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

JSK at home: 1.00 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Maniema Union away: 1.17 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.94 goals for JSK, 0.94 for Maniema Union. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~1.80

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 10

~~Both scored~~4 of 10

~~Last meetings~~MAN 1–1 JSK · JSK 2–1 MAN · MAN 0–1 JSK · JSK 0–0 MAN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Ligue 1 this season · since 20 Oct

JSK

LW0–1 · 2–1

MANIEMA UNION

No matches in our record yet.

The table

2026/27 · Super Ligue · group 2

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Anges Verts	1	+2	3
2	Étoile du Congo	1	+1	3
3	JSK	2	0	3
4	FC Mk de Kinshasa	1	0	1
5	Céleste	1	0	1
6	Dauphins Noirs	1	0	1
7	Rangers	1	0	1
8	Etoile de Kivu	1	0	1
9	New Jack	2	−2	1
10	Vita Club	0	0	0
11	Maniema Union	0	0	0
12	FC Renaissance	0	0	0
13	Novakin	1	−1	0