Dauphins Noirs v Rangers prediction · Ligue 1

Full timeGraded 20 Oct 18:01

Dauphins Noirs 0–0 Rangers DAUPHINS NOIRS WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Dauphins Noirs win~~52%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.834

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Dauphins Noirs are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Dauphins Noirs 52%, draw 28%, Rangers 20%. Over 2.5 goals 38%, both teams to score 41%.

The AI’s read on Dauphins Noirs v RangersBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 15 Oct 19:01 · locked at kick-off

Dauphins Noirs win52%

Draw28%

Rangers win20%

Kick-offTUE 20 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Dauphins Noirs

Rangers

194Days since last match191

Last match: 9 Apr · Ligue 1 (Congo DR)

Last match: 12 Apr · Ligue 1 (Congo DR)

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Dauphins Noirs	0	0	0
5	Rangers	0	0	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · dauphins noirs winFirst published 15 Oct 19:01 · locked at kick-off

52% The market–

Us52%

We make Dauphins Noirs a 52% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Dauphins Noirs v Rangers~~1.44 – 0.77

~~Table places · points 0 v 0~~3 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Dauphins Noirs win	52%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Rangers win	20%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	38%	–	–
Both teams to score	41%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	65%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	19%	–	–
Dauphins Noirs or draw	80%	–	–
Dauphins Noirs clean sheet	47%	–	–
Rangers clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.3%

0123450 11.7 8.2 3.3 1 15.3 12.3 4.6 2 11.2 8.5 3.3 3 5.4 4.1 4 2.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Dauphins Noirs down, Rangers across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,584 Ligue 1 matches up to 20 Jun 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ligue 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 31.5% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 7 previous meetings since 2020/21 in every competition we cover, 2.57 goals a meeting; 4 of 7 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Dauphins Noirs at home: 2.00 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Rangers away: 0.83 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.44 goals for Dauphins Noirs, 0.77 for Rangers. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2020/21

~~Goals a meeting~~2.57

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 7

~~Both scored~~5 of 7

~~Last meetings~~RAN 1–1 DAU · DAU 1–2 RAN · RAN 1–1 DAU · DAU 0–2 RAN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Ligue 1 this season

DAUPHINS NOIRS

No matches in our record yet.

RANGERS

No matches in our record yet.

The table

2026/27 · group 2

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Vita Club	0	0	0
2	Maniema Union	0	0	0
3	Dauphins Noirs	0	0	0
4	FC Mk de Kinshasa	0	0	0
5	Rangers	0	0	0
6	Etoile de Kivu	0	0	0
7	JSK	0	0	0
8	Céleste	0	0	0
9	Anges Verts	0	0	0
10	New Jack	0	0	0
11	Novakin	0	0	0
12	Étoile du Congo	0	0	0