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Model 1.1

Home › Football › Ligue 1 › Dauphins Noirs v Etoile de Kivu

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Congo DR flag

Dauphins Noirs v Etoile de Kivu

Dauphins Noirs
14:00Result not confirmed
Etoile de Kivu

Ligue 1 · TUE 20 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Dauphins NoirsDrawEtoile de Kivu
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Dauphins Noirs 56%

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Dauphins Noirs are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Dauphins Noirs 56%, draw 26%, Etoile de Kivu 19%. Over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 44%.

The AI’s read on Dauphins Noirs v Etoile de KivuBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 14 Oct 04:28 · locked at kick-off

Dauphins Noirs win56%
Draw26%
Etoile de Kivu win19%

Kick-offTUE 20 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Dauphins Noirs

Etoile de Kivu

194Days since last match188

Last match: 9 Apr · Ligue 1 (Congo DR)

Last match: 15 Apr · Ligue 1 (Congo DR)

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · dauphins noirs winFirst published 14 Oct 04:28 · locked at kick-off
56% The market–
Us56%

We make Dauphins Noirs a 56% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Dauphins Noirs v Etoile de Kivu1.62 – 0.80

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Dauphins Noirs win56%––
Draw26%––
Etoile de Kivu win19%––
Over 2.5 goals43%––
Both teams to score44%––
Over 1.5 goals69%––
Over 3.5 goals23%––
Dauphins Noirs or draw81%––
Dauphins Noirs clean sheet45%––
Etoile de Kivu clean sheet21%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.0%
0123450 9.8 7.0 3.0 1 14.0 11.7 4.6 2 11.4 8.9 3.6 3 6.2 4.8 4 2.6 2.0 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Dauphins Noirs down, Etoile de Kivu across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting2.43
Over 2.53 of 7
Both scored2 of 7
Last meetingsDAU 3–2 ETO · ETO 0–3 DAU · ETO 2–3 DAU · DAU 0–2 ETO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Ligue 1 this season

DAUPHINS NOIRS

No matches in our record yet.

ETOILE DE KIVU

No matches in our record yet.