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Model 1.1

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Congo DR flag

Céleste v New Jack

Céleste
13:00Result not confirmed
New Jack

Ligue 1 · WED 21 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

CélesteDrawNew Jack
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Céleste 47%

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Céleste are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Céleste 47%, draw 31%, New Jack 22%. Over 2.5 goals 30%, both teams to score 36%.

The AI’s read on Céleste v New JackBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off

Céleste win47%
Draw31%
New Jack win22%

Kick-offWED 21 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Céleste

New Jack

123Days since last match186

Last match: 20 June · Ligue 1 (Congo DR)

Last match: 18 Apr · Ligue 1 (Congo DR)

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · céleste winFirst published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off
47% The market–
Us47%

We make Céleste a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–0.7, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 17%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Céleste v New Jack1.22 – 0.71

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Céleste win47%––
Draw31%––
New Jack win22%––
Over 2.5 goals30%––
Both teams to score36%––
Over 1.5 goals58%––
Over 3.5 goals13%––
Céleste or draw78%––
Céleste clean sheet49%––
New Jack clean sheet30%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 17.1%
0123450 15.3 10.0 3.8 1 17.1 12.7 4.4 2 10.6 7.4 2.7 3 4.4 3.1 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Céleste down, New Jack across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024/25
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.52 of 4
Both scored2 of 4
Last meetingsNEW 0–0 CEL · NEW 2–1 CEL · CEL 2–0 NEW · NEW 1–2 CEL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Ligue 1 this season

CÉLESTE

No matches in our record yet.

NEW JACK

No matches in our record yet.