Blessing v Lubumbashi Sport prediction · Ligue 1

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

BlessingDrawLubumbashi Sport

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Blessing 49%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Blessing are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Blessing 49%, draw 30%, Lubumbashi Sport 21%. Over 2.5 goals 33%, both teams to score 38%.

The AI’s read on Blessing v Lubumbashi SportBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 20 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Blessing win49%

Draw30%

Lubumbashi Sport win21%

Kick-offMON 26 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 2

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Blessing

Lubumbashi Sport

6Days since last match210

Last match: 20 Oct · Ligue 1 (Congo DR)

Last match: 30 Mar · Ligue 1 (Congo DR)

1Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Lubumbashi Sport	0	0	0
12	Blessing	1	−1	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · blessing winFirst published 20 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

49% The market–

Us49%

We make Blessing a 49% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–0.7, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 16%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Blessing v Lubumbashi Sport~~1.28 – 0.74

~~Table places · points 0 v 0~~12 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Blessing win	49%	–	–
Draw	30%	–	–
Lubumbashi Sport win	21%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	33%	–	–
Both teams to score	38%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	60%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	15%	–	–
Blessing or draw	79%	–	–
Blessing clean sheet	48%	–	–
Lubumbashi Sport clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 16.3%

0123450 14.0 9.3 3.7 1 16.3 12.8 4.6 2 10.7 7.8 2.9 3 4.7 3.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Blessing down, Lubumbashi Sport across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,593 Ligue 1 matches up to 21 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ligue 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 31.0% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.20 goals a meeting; 3 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Blessing at home: 1.33 scored, 0.17 conceded a game (last 6). Lubumbashi Sport away: 0.67 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.28 goals for Blessing, 0.74 for Lubumbashi Sport. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.20

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~LUB 1–1 BLE · BLE 2–0 LUB · LUB 1–2 BLE · BLE 1–1 LUB

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Ligue 1 this season · since 20 Oct

BLESSING

L1–2

LUBUMBASHI SPORT

No matches in our record yet.

The table

2026/27 · Super Ligue · group 1

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Simba	1	+2	3
2	Tanganyika	1	+1	3
3	Don Bosco	1	0	1
4	Malole	1	0	1
5	Saint Eloi Lupopo	1	0	1
6	Sanga Balende	1	0	1
7	AS New Soger	1	0	1
8	CS Manika	1	0	1
9	TP Mazembe	0	0	0
10	Lubumbashi Sport	0	0	0
11	Butras	0	0	0
12	Blessing	1	−1	0
13	Saint-Luc	1	−2	0