Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.2

Home › Football › Ligue 1 › AS New Soger v Don Bosco

Back
Congo DR flag

AS New Soger v Don Bosco

AS New Soger
11:00Upcoming
Don Bosco

Ligue 1 · MON 26 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

AS New SogerDrawDon Bosco
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 11:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Don Bosco 42%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Don Bosco are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: AS New Soger 28%, draw 30%, Don Bosco 42%. Over 2.5 goals 37%, both teams to score 43%.

The AI’s read on AS New Soger v Don BoscoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 20 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

AS New Soger win28%
Draw30%
Don Bosco win42%

Kick-offMON 26 OCT · 11:00

RoundMatchday 2

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

AS New Soger

Don Bosco

6Days since last match6

Last match: 20 Oct · Ligue 1 (Congo DR)

Last match: 20 Oct · Ligue 1 (Congo DR)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27 · Super Ligue · group 1

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
3Don Bosco101
7AS New Soger101

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · don bosco winFirst published 20 Oct 00:01 · updated 21 Oct 00:10 · locked at kick-off
42% The market–
Us42%

We make Don Bosco a 42% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · AS New Soger v Don Bosco0.94 – 1.24
Form · Ligue 1 this season · since 20 OctW0 D1 L0 · W0 D1 L0
Table places · points 1 v 17 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50% 20 OCT 00:0125 OCT 02:15
Our probability · Don Bosco win

Published at 44%, 42% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
AS New Soger win28%––
Draw30%––
Don Bosco win42%––
Over 2.5 goals37%––
Both teams to score43%––
Over 1.5 goals64%––
Over 3.5 goals18%––
AS New Soger or draw58%––
AS New Soger clean sheet30%––
Don Bosco clean sheet39%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.4%
0123450 12.2 13.3 8.6 3.6 1 10.2 13.4 7.8 3.3 2 5.1 6.1 3.7 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+AS New Soger down, Don Bosco across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26
Goals a meeting1.00
Over 2.50 of 2
Both scored0 of 2
Last meetingsDON 0–1 ASN · ASN 1–0 DON

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Ligue 1 this season · since 20 Oct

AS NEW SOGER

D0–0

DON BOSCO

D1–1

The table

2026/27 · Super Ligue · group 1
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Simba1+23
2Tanganyika1+13
3Don Bosco101
4Malole101
5Saint Eloi Lupopo101
6Sanga Balende101
7AS New Soger101
8CS Manika101
9TP Mazembe000
10Lubumbashi Sport000
11Butras000
12Blessing1−10
13Saint-Luc1−20

The competition's standings before kick-off.