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Santa Fe v Once Caldas
Santa FeOnce CaldasCopa Colombia · WED 21 OCT
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Santa Fe are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Santa Fe 50%, draw 28%, Once Caldas 22%. Over 2.5 goals 40%, both teams to score 44%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 17 Oct 16:34 · postponed, not graded
Santa Fe win50%Once Caldas win22%Kick-offWED 21 OCT · 21:00
RoundQuarter-finals
Match timeline
All events
Santa FeMINOnce CaldasEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Santa Fe
Once Caldas
Last match: 19 Oct · Primera A
Last match: 18 Oct · Primera A
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Santa Fe a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 51%, 50% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Fe win | 50% | – | – |
| Draw | 28% | – | – |
| Once Caldas win | 22% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 44% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% | – | – |
| Santa Fe or draw | 78% | – | – |
| Santa Fe clean sheet | 43% | – | – |
| Once Caldas clean sheet | 24% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Copa Colombia this season · since 22 July
SANTA FE
ONCE CALDAS