Tatung v Tainan City prediction · Taiwan Football Premier League

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 11:42

Tatung 0–0 Tainan City TAINAN CITY WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Tainan City win~~53%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.963

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 14 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Tainan City win at 53%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Tainan City 53% before kick-off, 52% now. 0–0 · 24–24–52
27′Little has changed for our model: Tainan City 53% before kick-off, 47% now. 0–0 · 23–30–47
42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Tainan City win: 53% at kick-off, 45% now
42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Tainan City win: 53% at kick-off, 43% now
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Tainan City win: 53% at kick-off, 43% now
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Tainan City win: 53% at kick-off, 45% now
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Tainan City win: 53% at kick-off, 45% now
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Tainan City win: 53% at kick-off, 43% now
45′We said Tainan City at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 41%. 0–0 · 22–37–41
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Tainan City win: 53% at kick-off, 45% now
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Tainan City win: 53% at kick-off, 43% now
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Tainan City win: 53% at kick-off, 41% now
45′HALF-TIME Tatung 0–0 Tainan City
46′SECOND HALF Tatung 0–0 Tainan City
85′🟥 RED CARD · 85' Tainan City
90′🟥 RED CARD · 85' Tainan City
FTFULL TIME Tatung 0–0 Tainan City
FTTatung 0–0 Tainan City · Tainan City win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Tatung win25%

Draw22%

Tainan City win53%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 09:30

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Tatung

Tainan City

21Days since last match21

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Tatung	2	+1	4
6	Tainan City	2	−2	1

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · tainan city winPublished 11 Oct 09:34

53% The market–

Us53%

We make Tainan City a 53% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.7, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Tatung win	25%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Tainan City win	53%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	54%	–	–
Both teams to score	53%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	76%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	32%	–	–
Tatung or draw	47%	–	–
Tatung clean sheet	18%	–	–
Tainan City clean sheet	34%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 11.3%

0123450 5.2 11.3 8.8 5.2 2.3 1 7.5 10.0 9.4 5.4 2.4 2 3.6 6.0 5.1 3.0 3 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Tatung down, Tainan City across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 464 Taiwan Football Premier League matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Taiwan Football Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.8% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

17 previous meetings, 2.88 goals a meeting; 11 of 17 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Tatung at home: 0.67 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Tainan City away: 1.33 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.09 goals for Tatung, 1.74 for Tainan City. Most likely score 0–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

17 meetings since 2020

~~Goals a meeting~~2.88

~~Over 2.5~~11 of 17

~~Both scored~~8 of 17

~~Last meetings~~TAI 1–0 TAT · TAI 2–1 TAT · TAT 0–0 TAI · TAT 0–5 TAI

Form · last six in Taiwan Football Premier League

TATUNG

LLLDWD0–1 · 0–3 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 0–0

TAINAN CITY

WDWWDL4–2 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Kaohsiung	2	+5	6
2	Taipower	2	+3	6
3	Tatung	2	+1	4
4	AC Taipei	2	+1	3
5	Hang Yuen	2	0	2
6	Tainan City	2	−2	1
7	Taichung Futuro	2	−3	0
8	Taichung Rock FC	2	−5	0